<<But the immediate effect is more known, and very plausible as you yourself have conceded. As such, I'm not making that "could" gamble, but no one is stopping you from advocating such a one sided weakened position.>>
You've got it turned around exactly 180 degrees. Any new policy is a step into the unknown. I speculate that giving up the West Bank at this point will be interpreted as a sign of weakness. That's not known, that's speculation. I speculate that there could be more attacks if weakness is perceived. OTOH, I know for a fact that the present policy of occupation and settlement has led to thousands of deaths and continuing ongoing humiliation and total deprivation of human rights for three million Palestinians and outrage all over the Muslim world, turning to hatred of both the U.S.A. and Israel. Because you are so afraid of the future, you have convinced yourself that the future carnage resulting from a conciliatory move will be worse than the carnage already demonstrated to be the inevitable result of the ongoing brutalization of an entire people.
<<In fact I've made many references as to how such a situation could change . . . >>
As far as I can recall, they all involved radical change on the part of the "fanatical" "evil" "extremist" Muslims as a first step, which is outrageous. You don't rob and humiliate an entire people, steal half their land and imprison them in their own homes for 40 years and then tell them you'll give them back their homes and their land if they change their bad attitude! That's just outrageous. If wrongs and injustices could be ranked on a scale of one to a hundred, the occupation would be up in the 70s or 80s and the hatred that extremist Muslims harbour towards the Jews would be in the 20s or 30s. Bad deeds are always more evil than bad thoughts.
<<I'm looking at all sides, you insist on looking thru your "Israel is bad" blinders. >>
It looks to me like you're looking at this from a purely Israeli POV. I don't see any real attempt by you to see this from the Arab side, although I don't know for sure that you don't. I've seen constant attempts to demonize Arabs and Muslims, papered over by the "explanation" that it's only the "extremists" you have in mind. But then you constantly bewail the "silence" of the Muslim "moderates" which basically calls into question the very existence of Muslim moderates.
I DO look at this from the "occupation is bad" side, also from the historical injustice side as well - - a huge injustice was done to the Arabs when the State of Israel was founded. I wouldn't like to think "Israel is bad." Israel is a necessity - - a necessary evil, as it turns out - - it came into being because of anti-Semitism, but the real solution to anti-Semitism IMHO is the brotherhood of man, not another national state fighting other national states for a few acres of land, torturing and killing for it just like all the others. Unfortunately the world is not ready for the brotherhood of man to become a practical reality anytime soon and in the meantime the State of Israel is an ugly necessity for the survival of the Jewish people.
I think you need to distinguish between "Israel is bad" and "the occupation is bad." You can't accept that the occupation is so bad that people are willing to kill as many Jews as they can, and don't care whether they themselves live or die. BUt that's a fact. Recognizing that fact isn't the same as thinking that "Israel is bad." And thinking that "Israel is bad" is just a non-issue. Israel will defend itself regardless of what people think. But I don't confuse the occupation with self-defence. The one has nothing to do with the other.
<<Ignoring the history books, yet again Tee?. Hitler (and Naziism) was aggressively & actively expanding, so the "defending himself" is pretty much null & void especiallly since neither Poland nor France were massing their militaries on Germany's borders, nor did the French President pledge to destroy Germany. >>
Well a pretty good argument could be made that Israel was also aggressively expansionist, notwithstanding its claims to the contrary. The point was that in both cases, land was conquered by force of arms and a claim by the conquering nation that it can't give up the occupied territories because it is holding them "defensively" is absurd. Especially absurd after the passage of 40 years, the death of the President who made the alleged threats, the peace treaties now in place with two of the three "threatening" nations and last but not least the utter illegality of the occupation even by treaties to which Israel itself is a signatory.