Author Topic: Really, Guys, You Are Making A Huge Egotistical Error  (Read 2126 times)

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Brassmask

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Really, Guys, You Are Making A Huge Egotistical Error
« on: September 18, 2008, 10:18:49 AM »
Over and over again, Palin is making mistake after mistake and telling lie after lie.  She shoots totally off the cuff, totally making her answers up for questions that arise.  I know you like her.  She's pretty and sassy and who wouldn't like that in a woman but her record speaks for itself and, sadly, so does she.

It has turned out that most of her "story" has turned out to be a pile of half-truths and simple outright lies.  She has turned out to be capable of forming coherent sentences and not fall over when on camera but she is no "reformer"  She is no "maverick".  Sadly, she's turned out to be the new Edsel model. Unfortunately, she's still an Edsel.

NBC reported this morning that she became mayor of Wasila when it had a surplus but left it millions in debt.

As governor, she's pursued earmarks, not fought against them.  That famous "bridge to nowhere" lie she keeps telling?  Come on!

I think it is time you guys cut your losses, just make it through the next 8 years of President Obama (like we've suffered through the Bush Junta) and regroup, refresh and come out swinging in 2016.  And, for pete's sakes, don't be obstructionists for those eight Obama years.  Your rep is already in the terlet.


Epic Fail: Palin can’t answer softball question about national security experience at first town hall meeting

Probably because she doesn’t have any. At all. Well, not unless you count the proximity of Alaska to Russia. Sarah Palin made her first unscripted appearance Wednesday at a town hall meeting with John McCain and proved exactly why the McCain campaign has tried their damnedest to keep her as far away from those things as possible. In this clip, a questioner throws up a softball about national security cred and Palin can’t remember her talking points about being able to see Russia from some remote island or that she’s the “Commander-in-Chief” of the Alaska National Guard.

video_wmv Download | Play  video_mov Download | Play

    UNIDENTIFIED FEMALE: Governor Palin, there has been quite a bit of discussion about your perceived lack of foreign policy experience. And I want to give you your chance. If you could please respond to that criticism and give us specific skills that you think you have to bring to the White House to rebut that or mitigate that concern.

    PALIN: Well, I think because I’m a Washington outsider that opponents are going to be looking for a whole lot of things that they can criticize and they can kind of try to beat the candidates here, who chose me as his partner, to kind of tear down the ticket. But as for foreign policy, you know, I think that I am prepared and I know that on January 20th, if we are so blessed as to be sworn into office as your president and vice president, certainly we’ll be ready. I’ll be ready. I have that confidence. I have that readiness.

    And if you want specifics with specific policy or countries, go ahead and you can ask me. You can even play stump the candidate if you want to. But we are ready to serve.

Turns out the town hall was pre-ticketed and she still couldn’t answer the question coherently. Sheesh.

    McCain town hall style meetings are generally open to the public where anyone may wait in line on the day of the event and come in without an advanced invitation.

    However, at tonight’s 3,500 person townhall in Grand Rapids, Michigan–the first time Palin is taking questions from the public– only ticketholders are allowed in.



http://www.crooksandliars.com/2008/09/18/epic-fail-palin-cant-answer-softball-question-about-national-security-experience-at-first-town-hall-meeting/

sirs

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Re: Really, Guys, You Are Making A Huge Egotistical Error
« Reply #1 on: September 18, 2008, 11:40:35 AM »
Yea, she sure pulled that ticket down, didn't she Brass?  Leaded anchor and all.  They have her replaced now, right?
"The worst form of inequality is to try to make unequal things equal." -- Aristotle

BT

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Re: Really, Guys, You Are Making A Huge Egotistical Error
« Reply #2 on: September 18, 2008, 12:43:21 PM »
Quote
PALIN: Well, I think because I’m a Washington outsider that opponents are going to be looking for a whole lot of things that they can criticize and they can kind of try to beat the candidates here, who chose me as his partner, to kind of tear down the ticket. But as for foreign policy, you know, I think that I am prepared and I know that on January 20th, if we are so blessed as to be sworn into office as your president and vice president, certainly we’ll be ready. I’ll be ready. I have that confidence. I have that readiness.

Nothing wrong with that answer.

Brassmask

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Re: Really, Guys, You Are Making A Huge Egotistical Error
« Reply #3 on: September 18, 2008, 01:55:01 PM »
Nothing wrong with that answer.


Um, did you read the question?

Quote
UNIDENTIFIED FEMALE: Governor Palin, there has been quite a bit of discussion about your perceived lack of foreign policy experience. And I want to give you your chance. If you could please respond to that criticism and give us specific skills that you think you have to bring to the White House to rebut that or mitigate that concern.

    PALIN: Well, I think because I’m a Washington outsider that opponents are going to be looking for a whole lot of things that they can criticize and they can kind of try to beat the candidates here, who chose me as his partner, to kind of tear down the ticket. But as for foreign policy, you know, I think that I am prepared and I know that on January 20th, if we are so blessed as to be sworn into office as your president and vice president, certainly we’ll be ready. I’ll be ready. I have that confidence. I have that readiness.


So, you're ok with "readiness" and "prepared"-ness as "specific skills"?

BT

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Re: Really, Guys, You Are Making A Huge Egotistical Error
« Reply #4 on: September 18, 2008, 04:20:35 PM »
Quote
So, you're ok with "readiness" and "prepared"-ness as "specific skills"?

Yes.

Aptitude is what i am looking for.

I don't see where Obama brings anything different to the table.




Brassmask

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Re: Really, Guys, You Are Making A Huge Egotistical Error
« Reply #5 on: September 18, 2008, 04:38:38 PM »
Quote
So, you're ok with "readiness" and "prepared"-ness as "specific skills"?

Yes.

Aptitude is what i am looking for.

I don't see where Obama brings anything different to the table.

Actually, Obama has met with and has the support of lots of people around the world who would support his decisions more readily than a comely, less intelligent version of Dick Cheney.

BT

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Re: Really, Guys, You Are Making A Huge Egotistical Error
« Reply #6 on: September 18, 2008, 04:44:42 PM »
Quote
Actually, Obama has met with and has the support of lots of people around the world who would support his decisions more readily than a comely, less intelligent version of Dick Cheney.

I don't think running on the platform that he is not Palin will help him.

The only foreign experience of his  that i am aware of was his meddling in the Iraq SOFA.

Brassmask

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Re: Really, Guys, You Are Making A Huge Egotistical Error
« Reply #7 on: September 18, 2008, 07:19:15 PM »
Quote
Actually, Obama has met with and has the support of lots of people around the world who would support his decisions more readily than a comely, less intelligent version of Dick Cheney.

I don't think running on the platform that he is not Palin will help him.

The only foreign experience of his  that i am aware of was his meddling in the Iraq SOFA.

Do you mean other than his multinational family?

In a 2006 interview, Obama highlighted the diversity of his extended family. "Michelle will tell you that when we get together for Christmas or Thanksgiving, it's like a little mini-United Nations," he said. "I've got relatives who look like Bernie Mac, and I've got relatives who look like Margaret Thatcher."[155] Obama has seven half-siblings from his Kenyan father's family, six of them living, and a half-sister, Maya Soetoro-Ng, the daughter of his mother and her Indonesian second husband.[156] Soetoro-Ng is married to a Chinese Canadian.[157] Obama's mother is survived by her Kansas-born mother, Madelyn Dunham.[158] In Dreams from My Father, Obama ties his mother's family history to possible Native American ancestors and distant relatives of Jefferson Davis, president of the southern Confederacy during the American Civil War.[159]
( http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Barack_Obama#Family_and_personal_life )

Or how about some of this stuff?

Committees

Quote
Obama held assignments on the Senate Committees for Foreign Relations, Environment and Public Works and Veterans' Affairs through December 2006.[72] In January 2007, he left the Environment and Public Works committee and took additional assignments with Health, Education, Labor and Pensions and Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs.[73] He also became Chairman of the Senate's subcommittee on European Affairs.[74] As a member of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, Obama has made official trips to Eastern Europe, the Middle East, Central Asia and Africa.[75][76][77][78]
( http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Barack_Obama#Committees )

And here's just a little bit more info...

Does Barack Obama have enough experience to be president?
Newt Gingrich, commenting on Obama's experience: "Well, Abraham Lincoln served two years in the U.S.House, and seemed to do all right." (Meet The Press 12/17)
Does Barack Obama have enough experience to be president? - Obamapedia

Following George W. Bush, who only served six years as the Governor of Texas before his presidency and hasn't been that well-received, to put it lightly, the American people should make sure they vote for a qualified candidate. And in their never ending coverage of Obama, the American media loves to repeat the "experience question." Barack, a political unknown until his Democratic National Convention Speech in 2004, has been portrayed as "green", the implication being that if he's elected president, he would somehow not be ready to handle the task of the presidency, or at least not as well as his political opponents.

He has ten years experience in public office, more than the two other leading Democratic candidates, Hillary Clinton (six-plus years as Senator from New York) and John Edwards (six years as Senator from North Carolina). Barack's first eight years spent in the Illinois senate before his two years (and counting) of service in the U.S. Senate, should not be forgotten. Far away from the Washington spotlight, he introduced, voted on and passed bills, debated with his colleagues—something that was missing in Washington, where everything is settled in the backroom—and arduously worked to satisfy his constituents. Most important of all, he learned that how to work across the aisle, and get stuff done.
"When you come in, especially as a freshman, and work on something like ethics reform, it's not necessarily a way to endear yourself to some of the veteran members of the Illinois General Assembly," said state Sen. Kirk W. Dillard, a Republican who became a friend. "And working on issues like racial profiling was contentious, but Barack had a way both intellectually and in demeanor that defused skeptics." Washington Post

Illinois State Senate

"In the Illinois State Senate, this meant working with both Democrats and Republicans to help working families get ahead by creating programs like the state Earned Income Tax Credit, which in three years provided over $100 million in tax cuts to families across the state. He also pushed through an expansion of early childhood education, and after a number of inmates on death row were found innocent, Senator Obama worked with law enforcement officials to require the videotaping of interrogations and confessions in all capital cases." Link
"
United States Senate

He has continued this inclusive and productive style of work in the U.S. Senate: "In the U.S. Senate, he has focused on tackling the challenges of a globalized, 21st century world with fresh thinking and a politics that no longer settles for the lowest common denominator. His first law was passed with Republican Tom Coburn, a measure to rebuild trust in government by allowing every American to go online and see how and where every dime of their tax dollars are spent. He has also been the lead voice in championing ethics reform that would root out Jack Abramoff-style corruption in Congress.

Foreign Policy

Obama's foreign policy experience includes graduating from Columbia University with a degree in political science with an emphasis on international relations. In the U.S. Senate Obama is unique among Senators in that he serves on three of the four Senate Committees dealing with foreign policy issues including the Foreign Relations; Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs; and Veterans' Affairs committees and is the Chair of the Foreign Relations Subcommittee on European Relations which is responsible fore U.S. relations with European countries, the European Union, and the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (i.e., NATO). When comparing Obama's foreign policy experience with other candidates for President you have Democrat Joseph Biden who is Chairman of the Foreign Relations Committee, Democrat Hillary Clinton who is a member of the Armed Services Committee and John McCain who is the Ranking Member of the Armed Services Committee yet there is no Senator except for Barack Obama who serves on three of the four committees that deal with foreign policy.

Foreign Relations Committee

Obama service on the Foreign Relations committee has placed him in an unique position in that he is the Chair of the Subcommittee on European Relations and serves on the Subcommittees on African Affairs; East Asia and Pacific Affairs; and International Development and Foreign Assistance, Economic Affairs, and International Environmental Protection. This cross-section of subcommittees places Obama in a unique position of having knowledge about Asian, African and European issues. The only other member of the Foreign Relations committee who is running for President is Democrat Joseph Biden who is Chairman of the full Foreign Relations Committee yet unlike Obama he does not serve on any of the other foreign policy committees and his experience is limited to foreign policy issues covered by the Foreign Relations Committee.

Obama has also traveled extensively in his capacity as a member of the Foreign Relations Committee and has visited Russia, Ukraine, and Azerbaijan in Asia; Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, and the Palestinian Territories in the Middle East; and Chad, Djibouti, Ethiopia, Kenya, and South Africa in Africa. Obama has also co-sponsored the "Lugar-Obama Act" with Republican Senator Richard Lugar who was Chairman of the Committee on Foreign Relations at the time. This act was a bi-partisan effort to increase U.S. security in terms of the elimination of conventional weapons and weapons of mass destruction. This legislation came out of Obama's trip with Senator Richard Lugar to Russia, the Ukraine and Azerbaijan.

Obama has also sponsored legislation such as the "Democratic Republic of Congo Relief, Security, and Democracy Promotion Act" which was signed into law by President Bush on December 22, 2006. Obama has co-sponsored immigration related bills related to his service on the Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs Committee including the Secure America and Orderly Immigration Act. His extensive foreign policy experience exceeds that of every other Presidential candidate including his trips abroad in the performance of his official duties as a member of committees dealing with foreign relation issues.

While some have criticized Obama's foreign travel claiming that he is the most traveled freshman Senator in doing so they often fail to mention that as a result of his extensive trips abroad is legislation such as the Lugar-Obama Act instead preferring to make the political connection between his travels abroad to his run for President yet others will recognize the experience he has gained as a result of his foreign trips and recognize that as a member of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee that he is expected to travel extensively and that his travels often were with the Chairman of the Foreign Relations Committee.

Among the three top freshman who have received attention along with Obama in terms of foreign travel you have Barack Obama who serves on three committees dealing with foreign policy, Republican Richard Burr who serves on the Select Committee on Intelligence and Republican Tom Coburn who serves on the Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs Committee and it must be noted that such travel was part of an official delegation and was approved and paid for by the Senate.

Veterans' Affairs Committee

As a member of the Veterans' Affairs Committee, Senator Obama has fought to help Illinois veterans get the disability pay they were promised, while working to prepare the VA for the return of the thousands of veterans who will need care after Iraq and Afghanistan. Recognizing the terrorist threat posed by weapons of mass destruction, he traveled to Russia with Republican Dick Lugar to begin a new generation of non-proliferation efforts designed to find and secure deadly weapons around the world. And knowing the threat we face to our economy and our security from America's addiction to oil, he's working to bring auto companies, unions, farmers, businesses and politicians of both parties together to promote the greater use of alternative fuels and higher fuel standards in our cars."Link

Ethics
"Obama has made ethics reform a central part of his political career. Two years into his first term in the U.S. Senate, he has had limited opportunities to leave a mark at the federal level, especially as a member of the minority party. But he has worked with Republicans on new good-government laws. He co-sponsored one, signed in September, that will create a federal spending database so Web users can track all grants, loans and awards greater than $25,000. He also pushed to limit the Federal Emergency Management Agency's authority to award open-ended, no-bid contracts in the wake of major disasters — a reaction to post-Katrina abuses. More to the point, last year Senate Democrats tapped Obama as the chief negotiator for their caucus in talks over post-Abramoff ethics reforms, though those negotiations faltered. Ethics reform was one of Obama's signature issues in Springfield, as well. Beyond the Gift Ban Act, he helped push Democratic Gov. Rod Blagojevich's 2003 ethics reforms. The gift ban law, the first broad ethics reform in Illinois since the Watergate era, prohibited politicians from using campaign funds for personal use, barred fundraising on state property, established ethics commissions, curtailed fundraisers in Springfield during legislative sessions and mandated online reporting of campaign finances. The 2003 ethics package created independent inspectors general with subpoena powers to look into abuses by legislators, statewide officeholders and their employees. It further clamped down on the types of gifts lawmakers can receive and prohibited lobbyists and their spouses from sitting on state boards and commissions. Obama also touted publicly financed judicial campaigns, an idea that was approved by the Illinois Senate but languished in the House."Link

Read more about Obama's work in the U.S. Senate on Obsidian Wings

Life Experience

This experience in public office is just a taste of what makes Obama ready for the presidency. He has had a goulash of a life. He was born to white a woman from Kansas and a black man from Kenya in Hawaii, then moved to Indonesia for five years with his step-father from ages six to ten.

After returning to Hawaii for middle and high school, he went Occidental College, a liberal arts school in L.A. After a couple years at Occidental, he transferred to Columbia University, where he majored in political science with a specialization in International Relations.

After graduating, he went to work as a community organizer in Chicago. Following three years of helping some of Chicago's poorest residents recover from a steel mill closing through job training programs, he went to Harvard Law. There, he became the first black editor of the Harvard Law Review. Instead of seeking a high paying job upon graduating from Harvard, he returned to Chicago and went back to the neighborhood communities by organizing and helping to register 150,000 voters. He then began working at a civil rights firm and went on to teach constitutional law at the University of Chicago. He did all of this before his career in politics began.

His ability to understand and earn respect from political opponents while being a genuine progressive; his success in the classroom and on the street; and his unparalleled background have helped him become the intelligent, fair, and courageous leader he is today.
Before the war in Iraq in 2002, he exclaimed: "Now let me be clear: I suffer no illusions about Saddam Hussein. He is a brutal man. A ruthless man. A man who butchers his own people to secure his own power.... The world, and the Iraqi people, would be better off without him. But I also know that Saddam poses no imminent and direct threat to the United States, or to his neighbors...and that in concert with the international community he can be contained until, in the way of all petty dictators, he falls away into the dustbin of history. I know that even a successful war against Iraq will require a U.S. occupation of undetermined length, at undetermined cost, with undetermined consequences. I know that an invasion of Iraq without a clear rationale and without strong international support will only fan the flames of the Middle East, and encourage the worst, rather than best, impulses of the Arab world, and strengthen the recruitment arm of al-Qaeda. I am not opposed to all wars. I'm opposed to dumb wars. So for those of us who seek a more just and secure world for our children, let us send a clear message to the president." Link

For a short overview of his years in the Illinois State Legislature check out his wikipedia page or our building collection of transcripts from the Illinois State Senate.

Despite any charges of inexperience, Senator Obama clearly showed good judgment in assessing the Iraq situation in the fall of 2002.

Here's an interview with Obama from 2002:


While his opponents were voting us into Iraq, Barack made quite an inexperienced statement.

BT

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Re: Really, Guys, You Are Making A Huge Egotistical Error
« Reply #8 on: September 18, 2008, 09:40:03 PM »
What was Obama's committee attendance record ?

What does coming from a multiracial background have to do with foreign relations?


Brassmask

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Re: Really, Guys, You Are Making A Huge Egotistical Error
« Reply #9 on: September 19, 2008, 02:11:14 PM »
What was Obama's committee attendance record ?

What is McCain's attendance record on the Senate Armed Services Committee?
Quote
Of the three Afghanistan-related hearings that the Senate Foreign Relations Committee has had over the past 22 months, Obama, the presumptive Democratic candidate, has only attended one.

Meanwhile, DeMint, who most recently attacked Obama over Afghanistan, didn't attend any. Sen. Joe Biden of Delaware, the Democratic chairman of the Foreign Relations Committee, missed one of the Afghanistan hearings too -- while he was in the midst of his own presidential campaign.

A review of the Senate Armed Services Committee hearings as listed on the committee Web site for the past two years reveals that McCain's committee has held six hearings that included the word "Afghanistan" in the title or Central Command -- which overseas U.S. troops in Afghanistan.

McCain missed them all.

http://blogs.abcnews.com/politicalradar/2008/07/hearing-gate-ex.html

What does coming from a multiracial background have to do with foreign relations?

Hmmmm, nobody said multiracial background, BT.

Let me re-print what was actually said and maybe then could ask a different or more honest question.

Quote
Do you mean other than his multinational family?

In a 2006 interview, Obama highlighted the diversity of his extended family. "Michelle will tell you that when we get together for Christmas or Thanksgiving, it's like a little mini-United Nations," he said. "I've got relatives who look like Bernie Mac, and I've got relatives who look like Margaret Thatcher."[155] Obama has seven half-siblings from his Kenyan father's family, six of them living, and a half-sister, Maya Soetoro-Ng, the daughter of his mother and her Indonesian second husband.[156] Soetoro-Ng is married to a Chinese Canadian.[157] Obama's mother is survived by her Kansas-born mother, Madelyn Dunham.[158] In Dreams from My Father, Obama ties his mother's family history to possible Native American ancestors and distant relatives of Jefferson Davis, president of the southern Confederacy during the American Civil War.[159]
( http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Barack_Obama#Family_and_personal_life )


You said "multiracial background" which to me implies that you are just talking about how his mother is white and his father is black.  That, of course, lends little credibility to his being able to handle foreign relations.  My term was "multinational family".  My intent was to imply that since he has family  from all several nations (right now in the present) that his understanding of other countries might be heightened.

Does he have a degree in foreign relations?  No, of course not.  Has he been to other countries and met with other leaders of nations?  Absolutely.  His family is multinational, so that seems to me that he would have an easier go of relating to other leaders around the world.

BT

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Re: Really, Guys, You Are Making A Huge Egotistical Error
« Reply #10 on: September 19, 2008, 05:35:24 PM »
The multiracial aspect of his family is part and parce of his multinational heritage, his father was kenyan, no?

My grandfather cane from Ireland.

My greatgranfather came from Germany. I knew them both.

And i don't think i am a foreign relations expert, even though i lived in Iceland for two years.

Plane

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Re: Really, Guys, You Are Making A Huge Egotistical Error
« Reply #11 on: September 19, 2008, 05:40:29 PM »
And, for pete's sakes, don't be obstructionists for those eight Obama years.  Your rep is already in the terlet.




If BHO becomes President the obstructionist will be Nancy Pelosi.

Brassmask

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Re: Really, Guys, You Are Making A Huge Egotistical Error
« Reply #12 on: September 19, 2008, 08:31:05 PM »
The multiracial aspect of his family is part and parce of his multinational heritage, his father was kenyan, no?

Well, again, you are using phraseology that implies (perhaps by design, perhaps not) that it is Obama's father and Kenyan family alone that I believe would give him an easier go in relating to foreign leaders thus leading to greater accomplishment diplomatically speaking.

His Kenyan father is part of it but I wouldn't say that it is the whole deal as you imply with your phrase: "part and parce" [sic]. (The definition is "something that cannot be separated from a condition or activity".)

My greatgranfather came from Germany. I knew them both.
And i don't think i am a foreign relations expert, even though i lived in Iceland for two years.

Well, if it came down to needing someone to deal with a foreign country between you and me, I would easily defer to you since you did live abroad for two years and I have been past any further west in the US than Oklahoma.

But that point aside, again, you are trying to imply that I think Obama's multinational family makes him "a foreign relations expert".  I never said that.  Let me reprint what I did say.  Maybe you'll understand then. 
Quote
Does he have a degree in foreign relations?  No, of course not.  Has he been to other countries and met with other leaders of nations?  Absolutely.  His family is multinational, so that seems to me that he would have an easier go of relating to other leaders around the world.

I did not say nor did I imply that all the stuff I posted about Obama's foreign relations experience made him an "expert".  I did mean to state that he is prepared to deal with foreign leaders a little more easily and to flatly prove that he had more foreign experience beyond "meddling in the Iraq SOFA."

So, again, you are trying to say (or imply) something slightly different from what I am saying.

BT

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Re: Really, Guys, You Are Making A Huge Egotistical Error
« Reply #13 on: September 19, 2008, 09:44:35 PM »
This bigger point is this.

You see that Obama has the aptitude for foreign relations.

I see that Palin has the aptitude for foreign relations.

The way i look at it anyone who can negotiate a multinational pipeline project can probably handle a treaty.

Has Obama done that? Think he could?





Brassmask

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Re: Really, Guys, You Are Making A Huge Egotistical Error
« Reply #14 on: September 20, 2008, 12:44:32 PM »
This bigger point is this.

You see that Obama has the aptitude for foreign relations.

I see that Palin has the aptitude for foreign relations.

The way i look at it anyone who can negotiate a multinational pipeline project can probably handle a treaty.

Has Obama done that? Think he could?

Here again is another of the Sarah Palin outright lies.

Palin hasn't negotiated jack crap yet.  What she's done is promise 500 million bucks to whoever winds up hammering out the details with Canada.  That's not negotiation with a foreign nation.

In fact, she's just attempting to take credit for something that started 30 years ago and may not happen for another 10 or may not happen ever.

Check it out.



http://www.reportonbusiness.com/servlet/story/RTGAM.20080911.wdrohan0912/BNStory/robColumnsBlogs/home


Sarah Palin's pipeline

“I fought to bring about the largest private-sector infrastructure project in North American history and when that deal was struck, we began a nearly forty billion dollar natural gas pipeline to help lead America to energy independence.”

-Sarah Palin in an address to Republican delegates, Sept. 3, 2008

Anyone listening to Alaska Governor Sarah Palin at the recent U.S. Republican convention would believe that TransCanada workers are poised, shovels at the ready, to start construction of a 2,760-kilometre pipeline bringing natural gas from Alaska through Canada to the lower 48 states. They would be wrong.

The companies who have won the licence from Alaska to build the pipeline, TransCanada Alaska and Foothills Pipe Lines (both wholly owned subsidiaries of TransCanada Corp.), must still cross numerous hurdles before actual construction can even be contemplated.

U.S. analysis of the deal, including articles in the  Washington Post  and  New York Times , tends to focus on potential American obstacles, ignoring the fact that 1,550 kilometres of the pipeline would run through Canada. The assumption is that if U.S. conditions are met, Canada will fall in line.

It's true that the project would fail if the major oil companies went ahead with a rival pipeline, or if the U.S. Federal Energy Regulatory Commission did not issue the necessary certificate. However, it is equally true that unless Canadian conditions are also met, Alaskan natural gas will remain stranded in Alaska.
None of this is to say that TransCanada, which already operates some 59,000 kilometres of pipeline, will not sail over all the hurdles in its path and open the valves as planned in September, 2018. Still, it's worth looking at where things could go wrong.

The company is counting on using the Northern Pipeline Act, federal legislation that was passed 30 years ago when a similar pipeline was envisaged, as a way to fast track regulatory approvals for the project in Canada. That act set up the Northern Pipeline Agency, a one-stop shop for all the federal approvals the pipeline required. That agency is currently mothballed, with a skeleton staff of two.

In correspondence with the government of Alaska earlier this year (which can be accessed at the governor's website ), TransCanada said that parliament “made irrevocable judgments and decisions” with respect to the Alaska pipeline when it passed that legislation in 1978, including that it was in the public interest and would have acceptable social and environmental impacts.

While TransCanada concedes it would have to update the social and environmental assessments of the project, it wants to do so under the Northern Pipeline Act and not through the Canadian Environmental Assessment Act of 1992 or similar Yukon legislation passed in 2003.

It may well be that the company's view will prevail. However, there is potential for someone to say that a 30-year-old act should not be used in its current form and requires updating, or that the federal environmental assessment act be used. Very few, if any, decisions that parliament makes can be considered irrevocable. What one government has done can be undone by the next.

Another potential hurdle is ensuring that all the affected aboriginal communities are onboard - the pipeline would cut across the southern Yukon, northern British Columbia, and northern Alberta. In recent years, aboriginal consent has become a crucial element in major natural resource projects. TransCanada says it has been consulting with the communities where the pipeline route has been determined, but it's not yet known whether those consultations will have smoothed the way.

There is also the matter of acquiring legal access to all the land that the pipeline will traverse. The company has arranged this for almost all of the route through Canada, but there are missing chunks in B.C. and Alberta, on both privately owned and Crown land. One private landowner refusing to sell would not necessarily scupper the entire deal, but would result in delays.

And finally there is the question of whether the workers, equipment and material would be available when they are needed and at a price that would keep the Alaska pipeline economical. The Mackenzie Valley pipeline project, in which TransCanada has a minor interest, is also heading toward construction, although whether it will get there remains uncertain. TransCanada believes that the Mackenzie valley project will be nearing completion in 2014, round about the time that construction should start on the Alaska pipeline. This would be perfect timing as workers and equipment could shift to the Alaska project.

But given that both pipelines have experienced 30 years of delays, it is not too much of a stretch to imagine that construction on the first would still be ongoing when the second is due to start. That would lead to competition for workers, equipment and materials, forcing the price of all three up, perhaps to the point where the project no longer made economic sense.

The pipeline Ms. Palin bragged about may never happen. The beauty of this from her point of view as a politician on the campaign trail in 2008 is that it could be years before anyone knows for sure.