DebateGate

General Category => 3DHS => Topic started by: kimba1 on May 08, 2007, 05:38:57 PM

Title: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: kimba1 on May 08, 2007, 05:38:57 PM
http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/g/a/2007/05/08/apop.DTL

I`m actually starting getting flak for this.
just yesterday some kids drove by doing that gun pose by the virginia tech video
and reference to that incidents is getting kinda frequent.

I was worried my nephew was gonna be messed with
never thought I would get annoyed.
i wonder if i need a gun now?
Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: Lanya on May 08, 2007, 07:20:29 PM
I don't know how to advise you on that. Do you have pepper spray?
 But I am very sorry for the pack mentality that these people are showing, and I really hope it dissipates.  And disappears.   
Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: kimba1 on May 08, 2007, 08:46:47 PM
the gun part just pop up there and ended up for me to write there
strangely or not racism has never been too much of a deal for me since i live in san francisco.
it`s fairly minor here
I`m not saying everybody is treated equal(lets be real here)
but actual violence has pretty much been non racial catagory.
ex. drugs,money etc.
in fact on the subject of racism
it not much of a issue to most asian immigrants.
remember here in america working is almost a right while most of earth working is a privilege.
in the philipines you need to be a college student to work in macdonalds
most of my relatives don`t understand the newspaper saying their is a work shortage ,but everybody can get a job in fastfood right away.
don`t get me wrong ,racism is still wrong and should still addressed
but as long as we can still work it`ll never be a primary concern.
I still laugh when my race is accused of stealing jobs.
when the real truth is people just don`t bother doing those jobs.


Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: Michael Tee on May 08, 2007, 09:29:03 PM
I'm really sorry, kimba.

I hope you don't get a gun, because IMHO, they cause more violence than they prevent.  I can visualize quite a few scenarios where you get hurt because you had a gun and only one where you get saved by a gun.  It's only in the movies that the good guys with the guns beat the bad guys with the guns.  In real life the good guys are too good and the bad guys are too bad.  They're faster than you, meaner than you, more experienced than you and most importantly they have nothing to lose.  That's because they're punks.  They're not afraid of hurting you and going to jail and you just don't have it in you to be that ruthless and that savage.

So I'd ignore whatever right-wing fantasies you hear about gun ownership.  I'd say there's a 5% chance it could save your ass in a tight corner and a 95% chance it could really fuck you up.

If you feel there's a chance they might break into where you live, that's a whole nuther story, of course.  Then I'd want to check with a lawyer, a gun shop and a gun club, explore the options, maybe speak to a couple of cops if you know any well enough to get their honest opinion, and make an informed decision.  I sure as hell hope you won't need one.
Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: kimba1 on May 08, 2007, 09:39:02 PM
not too worried about breakins
I live in a fairly asian neighborhood,It would be extremely stupid to mess this area.
we`re a very aggressive community here.
that kind of behaiviour would not be tolerated at all
the gun thing just popped in my head and got written down
no biggie.
violence is pretty low in these parts
robbery is another matter
upper middle income area will have these problems.
Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: Plane on May 09, 2007, 12:04:14 AM
http://www.gunbroker.com/
http://www.gunbroker.com/Auction/ViewItem.asp?Item=71215872
(http://nas4.atlanta.gbhinc.com/GB/071215000/71215872/pix668940281.jpg)

If you want a gun , start by educateing yourself and seek instruction , it is a big step , a large responsibility and worth the effort to do it right.


There are guns that are lemons , there are guns that tho generally good won't be suitable to your purpose.

MT is right that you can hurt yourself , learn the safety tecniques  , so that you won't be more dangerous to what you are protecting than the origional threat.

Find out what the law is , as it applys to you , even if you intend to break the law it should not be from ignorance. Ignorance of the law helps you get caught , doesn't help you avoid penaltys.



There are guns availible that have  built in lock which needs a special key , I like this feature .


If you reject lethal force there are still wepons that work pretty well , I like this one -http://www.dyewitness.com/

Tho it might not be as certain as shooting it does allow a shot in the dark without worying that you will be killing your grandmother.
Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: kimba1 on May 09, 2007, 01:00:06 AM
I already got the training
it`s required in one of my jobs
I used to have a exposed gun permit.
I gonna sound wimpy,but I`m gonna have to retrain later on.
as I`m getting older my cracked elbow is making it seriosly harder to fire a gun with my right hand
I`m gonna have to learn how to use my left from now on.
It`s getting harder to lift with my right hand now
right now I can give one solid punch and it`ll be useless for a few days.
can`t even use a mouse.
this is why people need to watch thier step near a swimming pool or slip and fall on their elbow.
I looks more painful than it really feels
my friends were seriously flinching more than me.
Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: Plane on May 09, 2007, 01:30:39 AM
The Dywitness product is very light and recoil free , this or a tazer could be your weak hand weapon with a left handed pistol for more power.

http://www.gunbroker.com/Auction/ViewItem.asp?Item=71433693

(http://nas4.atlanta.gbhinc.com/GB/071433000/71433693/pix1113774203.jpg)

The preparation you choose seems to depend on the sort of attack you think possible or likely.

If you are going to be attacked by gunmen , a gun is best , but if you are attacked by lawyers another lawyer is the better weapon.
Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: Michael Tee on May 09, 2007, 11:33:10 AM
<<MT is right that you can hurt yourself , learn the safety tecniques  , so that you won't be more dangerous to what you are protecting than the origional threat.>>

Safety first, sure, but I was also referring to the possibility that a guy who goes for his weapon but doesn't get to it fast enough or misses on his first shot can wind up a lot worse off than if he never had a weapon to start with.  We don't all have the speed and reflexes of a jacked-up 22-yr-old street fighter, whatever illusions we might want to hold on to.
Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: Amianthus on May 09, 2007, 12:03:08 PM
We don't all have the speed and reflexes of a jacked-up 22-yr-old street fighter, whatever illusions we might want to hold on to.

And there are precious few "jacked-up 22-yr-old street fighters" running around.

Most of 'em are drug-adled punks that have barely handled a firearm and couldn't hit the broad side of a barn.
Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: Michael Tee on May 09, 2007, 12:32:42 PM
<<And there are precious few "jacked-up 22-yr-old street fighters" running around.

<<Most of 'em are drug-adled punks that have barely handled a firearm and couldn't hit the broad side of a barn.>>

You hear that, kimba?  You can start packin heat now.  Ami says your chances of getting the drop on the bad guys is, what is it Ami, 80%?  90% ?   Boy, THAT'S good news!
Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: Plane on May 09, 2007, 12:39:16 PM
<<And there are precious few "jacked-up 22-yr-old street fighters" running around.

<<Most of 'em are drug-adled punks that have barely handled a firearm and couldn't hit the broad side of a barn.>>

You hear that, kimba?  You can start packin heat now.  Ami says your chances of getting the drop on the bad guys is, what is it Ami, 80%?  90% ?   Boy, THAT'S good news!

What are the odds of surviveing such an encounter if you have no wepon?

Seems that if you did not pull your wepon the odds would not be worse , haveing the choice is 100% improvement and 0% drawback.
Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: Michael Tee on May 09, 2007, 01:21:29 PM
What are the odds of surviveing such an encounter if you have no wepon?

Seems that if you did not pull your wepon the odds would not be worse , haveing the choice is 100% improvement and 0% drawback.
####################################################################

Could be better odds of surviving without.  Probably are.  The guy just might want your wallet.   Or to score a few points by insulting or humiliating you in some small way.  They're not all homicidal, but try to draw down on them and they could get pissed off pretty fast.  Or their self-preservation instinct could go into overdrive.

Your big mistake seems to be in assuming that all these encounters begin with the bad guy determined to kill the good guy or wreak serious physical harm on him.  In fact most of them are random encounters where the motive is simple robbery or theft, or just an exchange of street insults.  There are relatively few homicidal maniacs roaming the streets and lots of petty grifters, muggers, punks etc.

You're also ignoring the false sense of security that a weapon can give - - it could unwisely embolden somebody in an escalating confrontation to take just one little step that he might otherwise not have taken, to linger a bit longer in an unpleasant situation or to enter a bar where he obviously should't be.
Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: kimba1 on May 09, 2007, 01:56:47 PM
I`ve never had a situation which the other guy had a gun
baseball bat-yes
but never a gun
p.s. no matter how skill you are
nobody wins in a knife-fight
both sides loses blood
Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: The_Professor on May 09, 2007, 02:06:29 PM
What are the odds of surviveing such an encounter if you have no wepon?

Seems that if you did not pull your wepon the odds would not be worse , haveing the choice is 100% improvement and 0% drawback.
####################################################################

Could be better odds of surviving without.  Probably are.  The guy just might want your wallet.   Or to score a few points by insulting or humiliating you in some small way.  They're not all homicidal, but try to draw down on them and they could get pissed off pretty fast.  Or their self-preservation instinct could go into overdrive.

Your big mistake seems to be in assuming that all these encounters begin with the bad guy determined to kill the good guy or wreak serious physical harm on him.  In fact most of them are random encounters where the motive is simple robbery or theft, or just an exchange of street insults.  There are relatively few homicidal maniacs roaming the streets and lots of petty grifters, muggers, punks etc.

You're also ignoring the false sense of security that a weapon can give - - it could unwisely embolden somebody in an escalating confrontation to take just one little step that he might otherwise not have taken, to linger a bit longer in an unpleasant situation or to enter a bar where he obviously should't be.

Think: Bernard Goetz.
Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: kimba1 on May 09, 2007, 02:44:01 PM
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bernard_Goetz

I think what sanked him was he shot one kid again after saying "you look ok here`s another"
it ain`t selfdefense when you do that.
your not supposed to mess with your attackers after shooting them.
the victim status will get revoked for such things
Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: Michael Tee on May 09, 2007, 03:05:37 PM
<<Think: Bernard Goetz>>

I thought Bernhardt Goetz or however he spells his first name.  If he didn't have the five bucks those punks were demanding, he was probably one of the exceptions to the rule - - better them than him.  OTOH, if he had the five bucks, better in the long run for everybody if he'd just handed it over.  The gunplay wound up costing the poor bugger everything he had.  Proving incidentally that if you DO shoot a street punk, you're probably way ahead of the game if you shoot to kill rather than merely wounding him.
Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: Amianthus on May 09, 2007, 03:23:09 PM
The gunplay wound up costing the poor bugger everything he had.  Proving incidentally that if you DO shoot a street punk, you're probably way ahead of the game if you shoot to kill rather than merely wounding him.

And don't bury the evidence in another state before turning yourself in. If you're gonna claim self-defence, turn yourself in immediately and cooperate with the police.
Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: kimba1 on May 09, 2007, 03:26:47 PM
what I didn`t know is he was able to file bankruptcy
I thought he`ll just owe the kid for life.
Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: Michael Tee on May 09, 2007, 03:35:24 PM
<<And don't bury the evidence in another state before turning yourself in. If you're gonna claim self-defence, turn yourself in immediately and cooperate with the police.>>

Exactly.   If his chances were good, he might have been justified in taking his shot at anonymity.  Turning himself in late was the worst of both worlds - - he should have thought it through carefully and decided right away: head for the hills or face the music.  Either or.  And stick with that first decision.
Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: Plane on May 09, 2007, 04:30:45 PM
If you are well armed you have the option to surrender .


If you are unarmed you have less option to fight , if I saw that I was going to loose the cash in my wallet and no more , I might just give it up rather than go to the trouble it takes to clean the gun.

If I were beset by someone that I perceived was liable to harm me , I would wish I were well prepared to resist.


What percent of Mugging victims are seriously hurt?

Home invasion victims?

How about rape victims?


At the beginning of this subject K mentioned the possiblibility of racially motivated harrassment , is submission the best choice more often than not?

I personally know one person who avoided being robbed by brandishing a gun that I had loaned to him,.....


...That was twelve years ago .... I might not be getting that gun back.
Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: _JS on May 09, 2007, 05:00:50 PM
Very few policemen, highway patrolmen, or park rangers ever have cause to draw their weapons, a very tiny percentage of them have had sufficient cause to discharge their weapon and kill another human being. It is not something to be taken lightly.

As was mentioned, be sure that you know the laws. Self-defense is not as cut and dry as some people make it out to be. Use of deadly force (in this case a firearm) is an extremely serious matter in most states and often it is incumbent on one to prove that the violence used was proportionate to the threat faced.

Defense of others is even more difficult to prove and there are duty to retreat issues as well.
Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: kimba1 on May 09, 2007, 05:19:07 PM
on crime in general having a gun may cut it down
but as a person who has worked with the public for over a decade
I have some serious doubts about the competency of the general population to use a gun.
having a gun doesn`t increase a persons intelligence
Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: Amianthus on May 09, 2007, 05:20:55 PM
I have some serious doubts about the competency of the general population to use a gun.
having a gun doesn`t increase a persons intelligence

Think of it as "evolution in action."
Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: _JS on May 09, 2007, 05:23:04 PM
Quote
Think of it as "evolution in action."

I thought that was driving.
Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: Amianthus on May 09, 2007, 05:24:52 PM
I thought that was driving.

Evolution manifests itself in many ways every day. Some ways more direct than others.
Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: kimba1 on May 09, 2007, 06:02:53 PM
if gunership were to eliminate these slightly slower folks I`m talking about I`d be giving them away at the steets.
but I`m just thinking these folks are a danger period.
I know one kids who bought a qvc sword and popped a overhead light.
I`m not worried about his safety
I`m worried about mine.
the boy ain`t right.
he tried to swim with a plastic bag on his head.
and he ain`t even rare.
I swear in his neighborhood,I see the dna strand shredding before my eyes.
the term proud line of cousins come to mind
Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: Michael Tee on May 09, 2007, 06:19:56 PM
<<If you are well armed you have the option to surrender >>

Granted.  You also have the temptation to draw.  You also have a suppression of your early-warning instincts that say, "Move on!  Get out of here."

<<What percent of Mugging victims are seriously hurt?   Home invasion victims?  . . . rape victims?>>

Well, you don't know and I don't know.  Again, how many escaped harm because they listened to their early-warning systems?  Nobody even keeps stats on that.  You can't record a non-event.  How many of those who DID listen to their early-warning systems would have ignored the warnings if they had been armed?

<<I personally know one person who avoided being robbed by brandishing a gun that I had loaned to him,.....>>

Lucky guy.  Lucky that his robber wasn't more aggressive.  Lucky that he got the drop on the robber.  Lucky in one way or another.  Dumb as shit for escalating a potentially lethal situation without knowing the outcome and putting life and limb in jeopardy for the sake of a few bucks.

<<If you are unarmed you have less option to fight >>

That's probably a GOOD thing for most of us, unless we still nourish our own Rambo illusions.  Far better to flee, fork over the money or just not venture into bad-guy territory.  As I've said before, there are a lot less homicidal maniacs wandering about, determined to inflict serious injury for its own sake than there are muggers, grifters, extortionists of the kind who waylaid Bernhard Goetz, street punks and juvenile delinquents.  One guy in a thousand will encounter somebody who just wants to inflict serious injury and can't be escaped; the other 999 will encounter low-lifes whose first intention is not to do harm - - but who could be provoked or terrified into doing just that if you attempt, ineptly, to draw on them.

Rambo fantasies are fine for debating clubs, but in real life I think they're a lot likelier to end up in one kind of disaster or another for the guy dreaming the Rambo dream, especially if he's a sedentary, over-40 type guy with no special firearms training or practice.  Most of us just don't have what it takes to be Rambo, to get that weapon out and fire it with deadly effect all in the few seconds or fractions of a second that it will take before your adversary beats and kicks the living shit out of you without any fear of the consequences.



Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: sirs on May 09, 2007, 07:03:11 PM
Tee, with all due seriousness, it seems that you have concluded that anytime "any" person possesses a firearm, it mutates their way of thinking, turning them into some aggressive maniac, if not worse.  The point that Plane, Ami, Professor, and so many others have made, is that those who have gone thru significant firearms training & safety, are in large part MUCH safer in their handling of firearms than the punk kid on the street, who might not think twice in killing you or your loved one.  I can't count how many stories of lives that were saved by the presence of a firearm, as well as the many other tragic scenarios where a person with a firearm would have prevented some mass carnage/killing by some crackpot.

You're applying some mutation of a person's thought if someone is simply possessing & handling a gun.....which likely IS the case for those hoodlums, punks, and gang members.  They probably are much more likely to pull it and use it, if they have one.  The ones who are much more likely to stop said punk killers, if the police aren't around, are precisely those who have been trained to handle a firearm, and are carrying a concealed weapon.
Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: Lanya on May 09, 2007, 10:08:46 PM
My huge worry about owning a gun is that I'll wound an attacker, they'll tell lies about the incident, and I'll go to jail. 

Better than being dead, yes. But it's a huge responsibility and worry.  Also I worry that, like a sheriff's deputy here, I would be disarmed and killed by my own weapon.
Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: Plane on May 09, 2007, 10:10:47 PM
My huge worry about owning a gun is that I'll wound an attacker, they'll tell lies about the incident, and I'll go to jail. 

Better than being dead, yes. But it's a huge responsibility and worry.  Also I worry that, like a sheriff's deputy here, I would be disarmed and killed by my own weapon.


That is not uncommon really .

Do you suppose the police would be better off without the pistols?
Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: sirs on May 09, 2007, 10:21:15 PM
My huge worry about owning a gun is that I'll wound an attacker, they'll tell lies about the incident, and I'll go to jail.   Better than being dead, yes. But it's a huge responsibility and worry.  Also I worry that, like a sheriff's deputy here, I would be disarmed and killed by my own weapon.  

All of those absolutely legitimate worries, Lanya.  You have to weigh the pros & cons of gun ownership.  If your cons outweigh your pros, then don't.  Just don't try to impliment your worries about having a gun with responsible gun owners.  My wife is nearly an anti-gun nut, until she met me.  she has since softned her position considerably, but she has made it clear she wants nothing to do with them.  I have made it a point to educate her on the responsibility of having a firearm in the house, but I'll be the only one who has access to it, since it's quite apparent she's not going to make any attempt to be educated in handling or using a firearm. 
Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: BT on May 09, 2007, 11:04:27 PM
My huge worry about owning a gun is that I'll wound an attacker, they'll tell lies about the incident, and I'll go to jail. 

Better than being dead, yes. But it's a huge responsibility and worry.  Also I worry that, like a sheriff's deputy here, I would be disarmed and killed by my own weapon.

Just imagine the attacker is GWBush. They'll need a vacuum to clean up the peices after you are done with him.
Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: sirs on May 09, 2007, 11:11:13 PM
Also I worry that, like a sheriff's deputy here, I would be disarmed and killed by my own weapon.

Just imagine the attacker is GWBush. They'll need a vacuum to clean up the peices after you are done with him.  

 :D
Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: Amianthus on May 09, 2007, 11:35:31 PM
Also I worry that, like a sheriff's deputy here, I would be disarmed and killed by my own weapon.

So you've decided to disarm yourself ahead of time. How convenient.
Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: Amianthus on May 09, 2007, 11:44:04 PM
(http://www.llbbl.com/data/RPG-motivational/images/gunspus.jpg)
Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: Michael Tee on May 10, 2007, 12:25:15 AM
<<Tee, with all due seriousness, it seems that you have concluded that anytime "any" person possesses a firearm, it mutates their way of thinking, turning them into some aggressive maniac, if not worse.  >>

I don't think I went that far.  I postulated an incremental change - - a little less ready to leave the scene, a little more adventurous in venturing out into bad-guy territory, a little more willing to take the next step in a gradually escalating confrontation.  I didn't claim it caused a quantum leap from Dr. Jekyll to Mr. Hyde or from Mr. Rogers to Rambo.

<<The point that Plane, Ami, Professor, and so many others have made, is that those who have gone thru significant firearms training & safety, are in large part MUCH safer in their handling of firearms than the punk kid on the street, who might not think twice in killing you or your loved one.  >>

Firearms training makes a huge difference in how effectively a gun owner can use his weapon.  That I will concede and it's a good point.  If you ARE going to get a gun, invest in some heavy-duty training and don't skimp on it.  And then practice what you learned.  And practice and practice and practice.  Don't let your skills get rusty.

However once you've received what you feel is the maximum benefit possible from your training, you should make a realistic assessment of your own reflexes, speed and accuracy in firing.  Unless you're reasonably confident that in most scenarios, under real-life pressures in various environments  you can draw in about a second or less and hit your target's body mass four times out of five in two or three seconds, I would give serious thought to leaving the gun at home when you go out.

Handgun Magazine once did a survey on cops' ability to hit a moving target with a hand-gun under stringent time and space limits, firing only at body mass (the easiest human target.)  I don't recall the results now but they were not very impressive.  And these are guys who must spend at least one hour a week or month (I forget which) on the firing range.

And then you have also to consider the quality of available ammo.  Unless you plan to use hollow-points (which I understand are illegal in most states) you can't count on stopping your man even if you hit the body mass once or twice with anything less than .45 cal. ammo.   Handgun Mag had some great anecdotal stories about guys with two or three slugs in them still able to do battle with officers of the law.  A few years ago in Toronto, we had police called to the scene to deal with a rampaging pit bull.  The cop had to put three slugs from his .38 cal Smith & Wesson Police Special service revolver into the animal but she kept on coming.  As the officer was preparing his fourth shot, the animal ran away.  She was found two or three blocks away, three slugs in her and still alive.  With 9 mm. or steel-jacket .38 ammo and they are still capable of storming over, ripping the gun right out of your hand and turning it on you.

<<I can't count how many stories of lives that were saved by the presence of a firearm, as well as the many other tragic scenarios where a person with a firearm would have prevented some mass carnage/killing by some crackpot.>>

Well, as you probably know, we have some radically different gun laws up here in Canada (thank God!!!) and I haven't heard any such stories at all.  I know for a fact we have a lot less gun violence and whether or not that's due to your own Second Amendment rights, I can't say.

<<You're applying some mutation of a person's thought if someone is simply possessing & handling a gun.....>>

I already explained this at the top of this post.

<< . . . which likely IS the case for those hoodlums, punks, and gang members.  >>

There's all kinds.  With guns, without, with knives, without, with other weapons, without . . .

<<They probably are much more likely to pull it and use it, if they have one. >>

Pure speculation as to the likely actions of a large group of disparate youth, with many varied objectives, plans, armaments, etc.

 <<The ones who are much more likely to stop said punk killers, if the police aren't around, are precisely those who have been trained to handle a firearm, and are carrying a concealed weapon.>>

I think they're just as likely to get themselves killed, especially if the punks are faster, better coordinated or better shots than they themselves are.  Or more numerous - - you might kill one and the others will get you.
Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: Amianthus on May 10, 2007, 07:47:18 AM
Handgun Magazine once did a survey on cops' ability to hit a moving target with a hand-gun under stringent time and space limits, firing only at body mass (the easiest human target.)  I don't recall the results now but they were not very impressive.  And these are guys who must spend at least one hour a week or month (I forget which) on the firing range.

Maybe in Canada, but in the US the cops are only required to show up once a year for qualifications. And the required shooting score is pretty low for them to keep their badge. I used to shoot at one of the local police ranges, and I consistently scored higher than most police officers. But then, I used to shoot several times a week and competed in PPC events.
Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: Amianthus on May 10, 2007, 07:51:03 AM
And then you have also to consider the quality of available ammo.  Unless you plan to use hollow-points (which I understand are illegal in most states) you can't count on stopping your man even if you hit the body mass once or twice with anything less than .45 cal. ammo.

I know of no states where hollow point ammo is illegal. Perhaps you can enlighten me?

Hollow point is an excellent ammo to use for self-defense. It has the property of stopping in the first object it hits, so it prevents "overpenetration" - shooting through your target and hitting something behind it. It also prevents shooting through a wall (and possibly hitting someone in another room) if you miss your target.
Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: Plane on May 10, 2007, 10:20:16 AM
And then you have also to consider the quality of available ammo.  Unless you plan to use hollow-points (which I understand are illegal in most states) you can't count on stopping your man even if you hit the body mass once or twice with anything less than .45 cal. ammo.

I know of no states where hollow point ammo is illegal. Perhaps you can enlighten me?

Hollow point is an excellent ammo to use for self-defense. It has the property of stopping in the first object it hits, so it prevents "overpenetration" - shooting through your target and hitting something behind it. It also prevents shooting through a wall (and possibly hitting someone in another room) if you miss your target.


Glazeer and prefrag is good too.


Another advantage of a hollow point is that if you shoot a tire with it the tire will flatten faster than if shot with a round point .
Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: sirs on May 10, 2007, 10:54:26 AM
<<Tee, with all due seriousness, it seems that you have concluded that anytime "any" person possesses a firearm, it mutates their way of thinking, turning them into some aggressive maniac, if not worse.  >>

I don't think I went that far.  I postulated an incremental change - - a little less ready to leave the scene, a little more adventurous in venturing out into bad-guy territory, a little more willing to take the next step in a gradually escalating confrontation.  I didn't claim it caused a quantum leap from Dr. Jekyll to Mr. Hyde or from Mr. Rogers to Rambo.

My apologies if you thought I was making a Jeckyll --> Hyde reference.  Let me be clearer.  You seem to have this notion that as soon as someone is handling a firearm they no longer are able to think and act rationally, with some switch that turns on inside, allowing them to then do anything, even wreckless endangerment of others.  I wasn't referencing "quantum leaping", merely excessive leaping


<<The point that Plane, Ami, Professor, and so many others have made, is that those who have gone thru significant firearms training & safety, are in large part MUCH safer in their handling of firearms than the punk kid on the street, who might not think twice in killing you or your loved one.  >>

Firearms training makes a huge difference in how effectively a gun owner can use his weapon.  That I will concede and it's a good point.  If you ARE going to get a gun, invest in some heavy-duty training and don't skimp on it.  And then practice what you learned.  And practice and practice and practice.  Don't let your skills get rusty.

We're pretty close on this.  One SHOULD have significant training and fireamrs safety when they purchsase a firearm to keep at home.  One should not skimp on such training or allow those skills to get rusty.  However I wouldn't make that mandatory just to have one at home.  I would make it mandatory for anyone that wishes to carry concealed


However once you've received what you feel is the maximum benefit possible from your training, you should make a realistic assessment of your own reflexes, speed and accuracy in firing.  Unless you're reasonably confident that in most scenarios, under real-life pressures in various environments  you can draw in about a second or less and hit your target's body mass four times out of five in two or three seconds, I would give serious thought to leaving the gun at home when you go out.

Ok Wyatt Earp, we're not talking gunfights at the OK corrall, but you are correct that adrenaline during a life and death moment is likely to make using a firearm somewhat problematic.  That's where the skills training comes in, especially for those that have a CCW.  Proper use of a firearm is rarely how fast you can pull yours from its holster.  Proper use is in its handling.  I've read countless stories of how and when a pistol was used in self defense, and I'm sorry to tell you this, but prescious few had anything to do with some quick draw component


Handgun Magazine once did a survey on cops' ability to hit a moving target with a hand-gun under stringent time and space limits, firing only at body mass (the easiest human target.)  I don't recall the results now but they were not very impressive.  And these are guys who must spend at least one hour a week or month (I forget which) on the firing range.

Actually, that's not entirely accurate, as Police Officers are generally only required to qualify once a year, and that doesn't include any mandating of firing range useage.  Meaning, it not uncommon at all for officers to go for months on end without practicing.  But you are right in 1 regard, many score woefully low


And then you have also to consider the quality of available ammo.  Unless you plan to use hollow-points (which I understand are illegal in most states) you can't count on stopping your man even if you hit the body mass once or twice with anything less than .45 cal. ammo.   

A) I have no idea where hollow points have been made illegal.  Perhaps you can educate us.  I have a whole slew of them myself
B) a '22 can be just as lethal as a '45, depending on where you hit 'em


<<I can't count how many stories of lives that were saved by the presence of a firearm, as well as the many other tragic scenarios where a person with a firearm would have prevented some mass carnage/killing by some crackpot.>>

Well, as you probably know, we have some radically different gun laws up here in Canada and I haven't heard any such stories at all.  I know for a fact we have a lot less gun violence and whether or not that's due to your own Second Amendment rights, I can't say.

And all I know for a fact are the referencing of countless stories I've read where the mere brandishing of a firearm saved many a familys' life.  So you see, many a time, not even a round is fired, and the gun has saved lives


<<The ones who are much more likely to stop said punk killers, if the police aren't around, are precisely those who have been trained to handle a firearm, and are carrying a concealed weapon.>>

I think they're just as likely to get themselves killed, especially if the punks are faster, better coordinated or better shots than they themselves are.  Or more numerous - - you might kill one and the others will get you.

Then obviously you have no clue or concept of the training that CCW holders go thru, not to mention the IDPA competitions many of those same CCW holders get themselves involved with, and the sheer lack of such training said punk hasn't had
Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: _JS on May 10, 2007, 11:31:15 AM
Tee might be referring to the Starpoint cartridge, which is not illegal, but was voluntarily pulled from civilian markets by Winchester and is supposed to be sold only through law enforcement vendors.

I think this is a matter of confusing lingo more than anything. Hollow-point bullets have been around since the 19th century Tee. They are often preferred for reasons given already.

The Starpoint was also known as the "cop killer" and is a type of hollow-point but is different than other types. There were concerns from police, the public, and emergency room workers.

Quote
are the referencing of countless stories I've read where the mere brandishing of a firearm saved many a familys' life

Out of curiosity Sirs, Ami, et al - where do you all live and/or find all of these "countless" stories? No wonder Europeans and others are scared of America if everyone needs a damned firearm to save their lives in their own homes. Remind me never to visit any of you! ;)

Seriously, I live and work in a rather large city. I've never had a problem. I've been to all kinds of cities in the East and a couple out West and I don't recall ever worrying about my safety. Saint Louis, Memphis, Kansas City, Denver, Philadelphia, New York, Montreal, Camden (Camden for goodness sake!), Atlanta many times, Jacksonville, Gainesville wearing my UT colors, every major city in North and South Carolina, Washington DC, Virginia Beach, Hampton Roads, Norfolk...on and on and not just the nice areas.

So where the hell are all of these horrible break-ins, home invasions, muggings happening in such a high percentage that I should carry a concealed weapon or put one within arms reach at night?
Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: BT on May 10, 2007, 11:39:50 AM
http://jama.ama-assn.org/cgi/content/abstract/273/22/1759
Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: sirs on May 10, 2007, 11:42:33 AM
Quote
are the referencing of countless stories I've read where the mere brandishing of a firearm saved many a familys' life

Out of curiosity Sirs, Ami, et al - where do you all live and/or find all of these "countless" stories?

I live in southern Calif, though have been in several locations of the country, including South Carolina.  Stories are read out of local newpapers, NRA publications, and related firearms magazines.  

And if it's your choice not to visit, that's you're perrogative of course, though as you have noted, I'm ususally referencing safe locations, were lives have been saved.  I'd strongly discourage you from visiting places where CCW's are frowned upon, if not completely abolished, such as DC.  Highest murder rate & gun violence in the country, I think
Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: Amianthus on May 10, 2007, 11:46:11 AM
So where the hell are all of these horrible break-ins, home invasions, muggings happening in such a high percentage that I should carry a concealed weapon or put one within arms reach at night?

It's not a high percentage anywhere in the US. However, there are indications that it is higher in areas with strict gun control and lower in areas where there is more lax gun control. Most bad guys go to areas where they are less likely to be shot.

You can read stories of self-defense with firearms - many times without a shot being fired - in a number of magazines, including the several that the NRA publishes. These types of self-defense happen around 3.5 million times a year around the country, with fewer than 75,000 deaths attributed to firearms.
Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: Michael Tee on May 10, 2007, 11:57:19 AM
<<I know of no states where hollow point ammo is illegal. Perhaps you can enlighten me?>>

Don't think I can.  I'm not sure where I picked up this little nugget of misinformation, probably in some half-forgotten conversation or maybe just something I misinterpreted in a story I read.  It seemed to make a lot of sense to me at the time, because I figured the real "point" of hollow-point was to maim or kill, as opposed to sport shooting, and so it was outlawed for that purpose.  I stand corrected.  Thank you
Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: Amianthus on May 10, 2007, 12:01:11 PM
It seemed to make a lot of sense to me at the time, because I figured the real "point" of hollow-point was to maim or kill, as opposed to sport shooting, and so it was outlawed for that purpose.  I stand corrected.  Thank you

In most places they are illegal to use for hunting game. Soft tips or ball ammo are generally used for hunting. But the goals of self-defense and hunting are different, so different regulations apply.
Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: kimba1 on May 10, 2007, 01:23:19 PM
concealed gun??
I only know one man who has a concealed gun permit(my supervisor)
it`s extremely hard and not profitable to have one
very few jobs require it.
are their states that allow concealed guns permit to the general public?
unless it`s for work,I just don`t see a need for one.
Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: Amianthus on May 10, 2007, 01:48:53 PM
are their states that allow concealed guns permit to the general public?

No.
Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: sirs on May 10, 2007, 01:52:10 PM
concealed gun??...it`s extremely hard and not profitable to have one  very few jobs require it.

My occupation never "required it", yet I had one.  Now you can also understand that a permit to carry a concelaed weapon is less a "profit" oritented move and more a "self defense" rationale


are their states that allow concealed guns permit to the general public?

Yes, most states in fact.  There are fairly hefty training regimines involved, appropriately so.  Some states/locales are very restrictive, such as DC & NY.  And certain counties are more stringent than other counties.  AND, funny thing here, violent crimes are less in areas with more permissive CCW laws, than those with very strict gun regulations.  It's like ami said before, criminals are more likely to hang around locales where the populace is less likely to be armed and shoot them as they commit their crime.  


unless it`s for work,I just don`t see a need for one.

Self defense would be one
Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: Amianthus on May 10, 2007, 03:08:43 PM
are their states that allow concealed guns permit to the general public?

Yes, most states in fact.  There are fairly hefty training regimines involved, appropriately so.  Some states/locales are very restrictive, such as DC & NY.  And certain counties are more stringent than other counties.  AND, funny thing here, violent crimes are less in areas with more permissive CCW laws, than those with very strict gun regulations.  It's like ami said before, criminals are more likely to hang around locales where the populace is less likely to be armed and shoot them as they commit their crime. 

"General public" implies that no standards or training requirements need be met. Anytime you are required to meet certain qualifications, it is no longer available to the "general public."
Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: sirs on May 10, 2007, 03:27:40 PM
"General public" implies that no standards or training requirements need be met. Anytime you are required to meet certain qualifications, it is no longer available to the "general public."

Ahh, then we're simply reading the question differently, since I take it as "general public" as implying anyone in the country that's not legally prevented from possessing or carrying a weapon.  But to apply and hold a CCW the "general public" is then required to go thru some extensive background checks, training, and frequently whatever other whims of the local sheriff might have
Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: kimba1 on May 10, 2007, 03:35:32 PM
the reason it`s not profitable is concealed weapons guards cost more.
so their will be less of a demand for them.
so generally it`s not worth the trouble to get the permit.
moneywise
now a guardcard is a whole other matter.
it`s worth more than it`s weight in gold.
that piece of paper allows you to work in the majority of security jobs out there.
even if i stop doing security,I`ll still keep my card active .
I know 85 year olds who keep theirs so they can make pocket money.

p.s. general public-I met anybody whose not required to have one for work.
I had a gun permit because of my job
but If I apllied for one for personnel reason,I will be denied in california.
Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: sirs on May 10, 2007, 04:29:06 PM
I had a gun permit because of my job but If I apllied for one for personnel reason, I will be denied in california.

Why would you be?  Or is that too personal a question?  I had one in Califonia
Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: _JS on May 10, 2007, 04:31:53 PM
Quote
AND, funny thing here, violent crimes are less in areas with more permissive CCW laws, than those with very strict gun regulations.  It's like ami said before, criminals are more likely to hang around locales where the populace is less likely to be armed and shoot them as they commit their crime.

You seem to be drawing a conclusion from a possible set of statistics. You are making the logical fallacy of cum hoc ergo propter hoc.

By the same reasoning you provide, I could also argue that areas with low violent crime rates are more likely to allow permissive gun regulation. Therefore it isn't that criminals are more likely to go where they won't get shot, but that violent criminals were never in those areas in the first place.

See?

The same set of events as you describe, with just as likely a conclusion. You haven't proven that a more armed populace necessarily equates to lower violent crime at all.
Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: sirs on May 10, 2007, 04:38:17 PM
Quote
AND, funny thing here, violent crimes are less in areas with more permissive CCW laws, than those with very strict gun regulations.  It's like ami said before, criminals are more likely to hang around locales where the populace is less likely to be armed and shoot them as they commit their crime.

By the same reasoning you provide, I could also argue that areas with low violent crime rates are more likely to allow permissive gun regulation. Therefore it isn't that criminals are more likely to go where they won't get shot, but that violent criminals were never in those areas in the first place.  See?

LOL....yea, that sounds so much more logical       ::)

Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: Amianthus on May 10, 2007, 04:40:45 PM
By the same reasoning you provide, I could also argue that areas with low violent crime rates are more likely to allow permissive gun regulation. Therefore it isn't that criminals are more likely to go where they won't get shot, but that violent criminals were never in those areas in the first place.

Except that there are areas where the violent crime rates shifted after gun regulations changed. It seems that the criminals respond to the legislation, not the other way around.
Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: _JS on May 10, 2007, 04:42:01 PM
Surely you can see why your argument fails Sirs?

Go beyond NRA literature and partisan hackery. I'm not someone who wants to pass laws to try and take away firearms from responsible owners.

My problem here is that you and Ami are presenting a correlation as causation. You can act the fool, but the reality is that you are making the logical error.
Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: _JS on May 10, 2007, 04:44:21 PM
Quote
Except that there are areas where the violent crime rates shifted after gun regulations changed. It seems that the criminals respond to the legislation, not the other way around.

And all other variables remained constant or were accounted for?

This was true across a wide swath of area, for a diverse group of people?

There was no common national trend of declining violent crime?

The rates shifted to a significant degree and the correlation was statistically significant?
Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: Amianthus on May 10, 2007, 04:46:15 PM
And all other variables remained constant or were accounted for?

This was true across a wide swath of area, for a diverse group of people?

There was no common national trend of declining violent crime?

The rates shifted to a significant degree and the correlation was statistically significant?

Yes, yes, accounted for, yes.
Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: _JS on May 10, 2007, 04:48:35 PM
May I see the studies?

Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: Amianthus on May 10, 2007, 04:50:46 PM
May I see the studies?

Lott and Mustard are a couple. There are others.
Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: sirs on May 10, 2007, 04:51:08 PM
Surely you can see why your argument fails Sirs?

No. since it's absolutely logical to conclude that criminals don't want to get shot.  Criminals, will more than likely traverse regions and areas where their victims are less likely to be armed and can shoot back.  "Gun Free Zones" are big bold proclaimations to criminals, "come here, we can't defend ourselves"

Do you see where your attempt to diss the stats falls, Js?


My problem here is that you and Ami are presenting a correlation as causation. You can act the fool, but the reality is that you are making the logical error.

I absolutely concur that stats can be made to say pretty much anything a person wants, by what stats are used.  We hear it everytime someone claims there are more gun crimes in the U.S. than the UK, all the while ignoring each country's population #, and violent crime rates as a % of the population vs sheer #'s.  Point being that the FACT remains there are largely less violent crime in regious where there are more permissive CCW laws.  That not only is a factual stat, but is suppoted by absolute logic.
Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: _JS on May 10, 2007, 05:03:18 PM
Quote
No. since it's absolutely logical to conclude that criminals don't want to get shot.  Criminals, will more than likely traverse regions and areas where their victims are less likely to be armed and can shoot back.  "Gun Free Zones" are big bold proclaimations to criminals, "come here, we can't defend ourselves"

Do you see where your attempt to diss the stats falls, Js?

No, because you are making an argument from emotion and not proper reason with the correct use of a statistical study. You even make another logical error in trying to infer what takes place in the mind of a criminal (who we're told are avid followers of legislative news). I'll take sound sociological studies with proper data and use of statistics over Sirs anecdotal amateur criminologist reports any day of the week.

And to the contrary, I'm not trying to "diss the stats" but question your all's use of specious reasoning. Correlation does not equal causation Sirs.

Quote
I absolutely concur that stats can be made to say pretty much anything a person wants, by what stats are used.  We hear it everytime someone claims there are more gun crimes in the U.S. than the UK, all the while ignoring each country's population #, and violent crime rates as a % of the population vs sheer #'s.  Point being that the FACT remains there are largely less violent crime in regious where there are more permissive CCW laws.  That not only is a factual stat, but is suppoted by absolute logic.

Of course there are European cities with lower violent crime rates than American cities. In fact I posted a study that the New Zealand Government did on English-speaking nations which equalised all the laws and reporting statistics (a difficult thing to do unto itself) and then reported a vastly lower violent crime rate for nearly all major westernised English-Speaking nations when compared to the United States. That is a rate, not simply the numbers in total.

One wonders what the difference is.
Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: sirs on May 10, 2007, 05:15:34 PM
Quote
No. since it's absolutely logical to conclude that criminals don't want to get shot.  Criminals, will more than likely traverse regions and areas where their victims are less likely to be armed and can shoot back.  "Gun Free Zones" are big bold proclaimations to criminals, "come here, we can't defend ourselves"  Do you see where your attempt to diss the stats falls, Js?

No, because you are making an argument from emotion and not proper reason with the correct use of a statistical study.

Actually no, I'm using logic to reinforce the actual statistics, that Ami has already referenced, that have taken into consideration the multiple variables you were applying


You even make another logical error in trying to infer what takes place in the mind of a criminal (who we're told are avid followers of legislative news).

Actually, no one is making that specific claim that criminals follow the law, only referencing that criminals, though dumb as they may be, are smart enough to not want to get shot when in the act of performing their crime, so will indeed look to hit areas less defended.  You think criminals have a death wish??  Interesting. 

And ironically, it's the "legislative news" (translated; the ever increasing gun regulations) that impact the person trying to defend themselves from the criminal who could care less about the law, since they have no intentions of following them in the 1st place

Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: kimba1 on May 10, 2007, 05:30:46 PM
Why would you be?  Or is that too personal a question?  I had one in Califonia

it`s not work related is the reason
my question how did you get one?
I took classes to get one and it stated only people of certain occupation may get one
it was 12 years since I got a permit.
has the laws changed?
wouldn`t be surprised
I found out all my baton training is illegal now.
lets just say my training is not too different from the chair & rope  scene in casino royale
I`m truely the wrong person to mess with.
useless you don`t want kids
Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: Amianthus on May 10, 2007, 05:37:00 PM
I took classes to get one and it stated only people of certain occupation may get one

In California, it depends on the county you live in. California is a "may issue" state, which means that it's up to a judge or law enforcement to decide if you're going to get a permit, even if you meet all the qualifications.

In our discussion earlier about "general public" and concealed carry, I was incorrect. I had forgotten about Vermont, which has no state firearms laws. You can carry concealed or open with no restriction and no permit needed.
Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: sirs on May 10, 2007, 05:54:57 PM
Why would you be?  Or is that too personal a question?  I had one in Califonia

it`s not work related is the reason  my question how did you get one?

I applied for a CCW, which included my reasons for having 1, (which was primairly for self defense), took the prequisate course work, provided 3 letters of recommendation, payed the required fees, 1 interview, and was granted a CCW, that required annual renewal on a firearms range
Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: kimba1 on May 10, 2007, 05:59:25 PM
I think everything is harder now.
some of my requirements now require the presence of a police officer
which limits the availability of the training classes
ex. pc832 require 8hr. instruction from a police officer
no exceptions
which makes it hard to get work in civil service security.
but that`s easy compared to nevada
those guys need way more permits than california
and their more expensive.
their done by county and I think zones.
so you may need multiple cards to work at anyone place.
Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: kimba1 on May 10, 2007, 06:07:48 PM
I remember the range requirements
pretty sad
I`ve always been a decent shot but some of my co-workers
uhhh
some people really shouldn`t have guns
it really does require some minimul ability.
broadside of the barn is the term I believe
Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: Lanya on May 10, 2007, 06:27:55 PM
I looked up Ohio's concealed carry law.

'Additionally, you must have two hours of practical training
including range time and live-fire experience. The applicant must
also complete an examination that tests his or her competency.
The test, at a minimum, includes a written section on the ability to
name and explain the rules for the safe handling of a handgun, and
proper storage practices for handguns and ammunition. Addition-
ally, the exam must include a physical demonstration of compe-
tency on handgun usage and rules for safe handling and storage of
a handgun, and an examination requiring the physical demonstra-
tion of the attitude necessary to shoot a handgun in a safe manner.'

...............
'As long as you meet the criteria listed in the law, the sheriff must
issue you a concealed handgun license within 45 days of receiving
your properly completed application. The license lasts for four years.'

http://72.14.205.104/search?q=cache:hzOY37r03ZcJ:www.ag.state.oh.us/le/prevention/pubs/cc_booklet20040319-72.pdf+Ohio+concealed+carry+gun+law&hl=en&ct=clnk&cd=2&gl=us&client=firefox-a
Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: sirs on May 10, 2007, 06:35:06 PM
I remember the range requirements  pretty sad

I agree.  It was the least problematic portion of the application process.  Having taken as many safety courses, and having been involved in several IDPA competitions, it really wasn't an issue for me personally.  That said, if you didn't take it seriously enough to pass it, you couldn't receive your CCW


Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: kimba1 on May 10, 2007, 09:39:06 PM
oh this wasn`t for the CCW
it was for the exposed gun permit
I passed without any problems
it was some of my fellow guards who couldn`t
and he was on a worker`s visa so he needed to pass to even stay here.
he practised every chance he got,but he`s just a real lousy shot.
he`s not here anymore.
before him I never thought anyone could be that bad with a gun.
but not anymore.
I will never doubt people`s inabilities to do things.
potential goes both ways.
Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: sirs on May 10, 2007, 10:04:29 PM
oh this wasn`t for the CCW  it was for the exposed gun permit

Ahhhh, big time difference.  IMHO, much more dangerous, as it puts a big bright spotlight on who's actually carrying a weapon, that criminals can target immediately.  It's unfortunate your range reqirements are as laxed as you're claiming. 

Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: kimba1 on May 11, 2007, 12:54:54 AM
laxed?
he failed
Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: Plane on May 11, 2007, 01:08:08 AM
http://pandagon.net/2005/05/27/there-is-almost-surely-some-gun-manufacturer-money-behind-this-one/
Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: sirs on May 11, 2007, 01:19:46 AM
laxed?  he failed

I was referring to how easy the apparent range requirements are, as you seem to have implied
Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: Plane on May 11, 2007, 01:52:18 AM
May I see the studies?



http://www.ojp.usdoj.gov/bjs/guns.htm



According to the 1997 Survey of State Prison Inmates, among those possessing a gun, the source of the gun was from -

a flea market or gun show for fewer than 2%
a retail store or pawnshop for about 12%
family, friends, a street buy, or an illegal source for 80%

...
http://www.neahin.org/programs/schoolsafety/gunsafety/statistics.htm

Americans for Gun Safety produced a 2003 report that reveals that 20 of the nation’s 22 national gun laws are not enforced. According to U.S. Department of Justice data (FY 2000-2002), only 2% of federal gun crimes were actually prosecuted. Eighty-five percent of cases prosecuted relate to street criminals in possession of firearms.


...
http://www.ojp.usdoj.gov/bjs/guns.htm
Incidents involving a firearm represented 9% of the 4.7 million violent crimes of rape and sexual assault, robbery, and aggravated and simple assault in 2005.
(Violent Crimes only)
http://www.homeoffice.gov.uk/crime-victims/reducing-crime/gun-crime/
Contrary to public perception, the overall level of gun crime in the UK is very low – less than 0.5% of all crime recorded by the police.
(includes non violent crimes)

...
http://www.connected.gov.uk/facts/guncrime/index.html
In 2004/05 there were a provisional 10,979 firearm offences, an increase of 6% since 2003/04. The number of offences has risen each year since 1997/98

...
http://www.ojp.usdoj.gov/bjs/pub/pdf/guic.pdf
Although most crime is not committed
with guns, most gun crime is committed
with handguns.

By definition, stolen guns are available
to criminals. The FBI's National
Crime Information Center (NCIC)
stolen gun file contains over 2 million
reports; 60% are reports of stolen
handguns.

Little information exists about the
use of assault weapons in crime. The
information that does exist uses varying
definitions of assault weapons that
were developed before the Federal
assault weapons ban was enacted.


...
http://www.guncite.com/gun_control_gcdguse.html
There are approximately two million defensive gun uses (DGU's) per year by law abiding citizens. That was one of the findings in a national survey conducted by Gary Kleck, a Florida State University criminologist


Department of Justice sponsored a survey in 1994 titled, Guns in America: National Survey on Private Ownership and Use of Firearms (text, PDF). Using a smaller sample size than Kleck's, this survey estimated 1.5 million DGU's annually.

...
http://www.saf.org/LawReviews/KleckAndGertz2.htm

(This one is a fuss between professors who do not accept each others statistical methods)

H's political intentions and strong feelings are also evident in his overstatements and in the grandiose conclusions he draws from weak or irrelevant evidence and fallacious reasoning. He does not get past his title before making his first overstatement, claiming that he had established, without benefit of any new empirical evidence, that our estimates are too high and that they are "extreme overestimates."[3] He states in his first paragraph that "it is clear that [the Kleck and Gertz] results cannot be accepted as valid."[4] He incorrectly claims that "all checks for external validity of the Kleck-Gertz finding confirm that their estimate is highly exaggerated,"[5] when in fact these checks have repeatedly confirmed our estimates.

DGUs usually involve unlawful possession of a gun by the gun-wielding victim, and sometimes other illegalities as well,[6] a point H does not dispute. Yet, in making the extraordinary and counterintuitive claim that there is a social desirability bias to people reporting their own illegal behavior,[7] H insists that such a desirability bias is not [Page 1448] only plausible, but that it is likely.[8] By the end, without having provided a scintilla of credible supporting evidence, H concludes that our research was afflicted by an "enormous problem of false positives" (persons claiming a DGU who did not have one) and "massive overestimation," flatly stating that "the Kleck and Gertz survey results do not provide reasonable estimates about the total amount of self-defense gun use in the United States."[9] It is an impressive achievement to be able to arrive at such high-powered conclusions without the inconvenience of gathering or even citing any new empirical evidence.


I. THE ILLEGITIMACY OF ONE-SIDED SPECULATION: AN OUNCE OF EVIDENCE OUTWEIGHS A TON OF SPECULATION
Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: sirs on May 11, 2007, 01:58:08 AM
"THE ILLEGITIMACY OF ONE-SIDED SPECULATION: AN OUNCE OF EVIDENCE OUTWEIGHS A TON OF SPECULATION"


Words you could practically live by
Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: Plane on May 11, 2007, 02:01:47 AM
"THE ILLEGITIMACY OF ONE-SIDED SPECULATION: AN OUNCE OF EVIDENCE OUTWEIGHS A TON OF SPECULATION"


Words you could practically live by


Yea , but the issue is so emotionally loaded that it is seriousy had to find the real numbers , almost  everyone inolved is invested too much to be trusted not to skew their study.
Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: _JS on May 11, 2007, 09:55:54 AM
Quote
Words you could practically live by

So why don't you?

Plane, I appreciate the stats, but those have little relevance on the sociological conclusion drawn by Sirs. For example, where prison inmates obtained a weapon has nothing to do with it.

Y'all seem to be under the impression that I'm some left wing nutter out to take your guns. I just dislike seeing conclusions drawn through logical fallacy, which is exactly what Sirs did.

This is the issue of the stork and babies. Just because there is a correlation does not necesarily equate to causation. In the example we are given, we are told that:

1. Loose gun laws occur in correlation with less violent crime,
2. Therefore less violent crime is caused by looser gun laws and;
3. criminals migrate to areas with more restrictive gun laws.

#1 can easily be proved or disproved with simple statistics. The correlation is either significant or not (though it would perhaps have to be phrased more specifically). International comparisons are far more difficult because laws are not always comparable across international boundaries.

#2 is no longer correlation, but instead causation. That takes a much more intense and scientific sociological study. Other variables (of which there are many) have to be accounted for or controlled. Other theories have to be addressed. True causation is almost impossible to prove, with the exception of the medical field (and only then after years of use), but general consensus on causation is probably feasible. I'm not talking politics, but social science.

#3 is also causation and would need studies of criminal habits. Criminals migrate for many reasons. including following money, finding sympathetic family or friends, finding work, hiding from law enforcement, and all of those variables will once again have to be accounted for to show that they are migrating specifically for the purpose of finding areas of strongly restricted gun laws.

I'm not attacking anyone personally, just the argument. So you can kindly drop the "one-sided speculation" unless you are posting it as a reminder for yourselves.

Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: The_Professor on May 11, 2007, 10:09:58 AM
I remember the range requirements
pretty sad
I`ve always been a decent shot but some of my co-workers
uhhh
some people really shouldn`t have guns
it really does require some minimul ability.
broadside of the barn is the term I believe

I remember when I was around 10 years old. I was sitting next to my grandfather, who was pretty old at the time, and he was using a hacksaw to saw off some of the end of his 10 gauge shotgun. I remember I asked him why he was doing this. He responded: "Son, I'm getting purdy old I reckon and I can't see very good, so if I hear a noise in the middle of the night, some varmint or another who is in my home and shouldn't be, I figure all I gotta do is just aim in that there general direction." (he was born and raised in rural Kentucky).

I still have that shotgun. I fired it once when I was 16 and severely bruised my shoulder. The buckshot spread from Kentucky to Maine. :-)
Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: sirs on May 11, 2007, 11:30:19 AM
Quote
Words you could practically live by

So why don't you?

Getting a little judgemental there, Js?


Plane, I appreciate the stats, but those have little relevance on the sociological conclusion drawn by Sirs. For example, where prison inmates obtained a weapon has nothing to do with it.  Y'all seem to be under the impression that I'm some left wing nutter out to take your guns. I just dislike seeing conclusions drawn through logical fallacy, which is exactly what Sirs did.

A) no one's claiming you're some lunatic leftist
B) no one's claiming specifically that ONLY A leads to B.  There are likely some minor causitive factors that helped influence the results
C) it appears you're going to completely ignore the studies that Ami & Plane referenced, that took into account multiple variables, that demonstrated a logical correlation, between decreased violent crime rates & more permissive CCW laws.  Why would that be, I wonder?

Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: Plane on May 11, 2007, 12:41:25 PM
The error is as sirs infers.


Singleing out gun ownership as a causitive factor in  crime prevention and ignoreing the plethera of other factors is a mistake .


Singleing out gun ownership as a causitive factor in  crime  and ignoreing the plethera of other factors is a mistake also.


This doesn't make discussion impossible , but you get to pick your facts from a shelf full of opinion slanted studys .



Did you attempt to wade thru the work of Gary Keck?

In the process of correcting for all errors and accounting for all mitigateing factors his studys become exaustive and exausting.
Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: _JS on May 11, 2007, 02:12:45 PM
Quote
it appears you're going to completely ignore the studies that Ami & Plane referenced, that took into account multiple variables, that demonstrated a logical correlation, between decreased violent crime rates & more permissive CCW laws

Not at all. Actually, I find Plane's last two studies rather fascinating. Kleck especially as he challenges some generally accepted criminology standard models (which is the mark of a thinking scholar, even if his own approaches are not entirely without flaw themselves).

Quote
no one's claiming specifically that ONLY A leads to B.  There are likely some minor causitive factors that helped influence the results

Again you make an assumption that you honestly are not certain about. Are the other factors minor? Do you know?

Quote
Singleing out gun ownership as a causitive factor in  crime prevention and ignoreing the plethera of other factors is a mistake .

Singleing out gun ownership as a causitive factor in  crime  and ignoreing the plethera of other factors is a mistake also.

I think I am the one who inferred that error and not Sirs! ;)

Quote
This doesn't make discussion impossible , but you get to pick your facts from a shelf full of opinion slanted studys.

That's fair and I probably have been a bit unduly harsh on you all to provide a reasonable amount of research on that point.

I think that some of it is because of my own experiences and let's face it there is a lot of anecdotal evidence in gun ownership arguments. I've been to some European cities and of course American cities. In Europe (and I'll grant that I have not been real recently) there is rarely a sense that one needs to be armed or that crime is an inevitability. Walking around Munich or Nuremberg late at night, looking for a nice beer hall offers no sense of impending fear. I think the same is true of many European cities from Rome to Munich to Madrid to London to Oslo.

I've never really felt terribly unsafe in most American cities, but I understand that many people do. I admit that parts of Saint Louis, Washington DC, Camden, and New York could certainly create some uneasiness in people.

So it has always fascinated me, someone who doesn't even lock his car and gives beggars change when I have it or even a buck when I have that, what the difference is between European cities and American cities and general differences on feeling safe and not.

I have shot weapons of many kinds, but I don't own one currently. I've been to gun shows, some of which were quite frankly worrisome (I can go into that if you wish), but most of the people there were OK. I've shot with rifles, handguns, and shotguns. My father-in-law makes his own bullets and is a card-carrying member of the NRA (actually he has a sticker on his truck - I have no idea if you get a card or not).

So I'm not really anti-gun, in fact I enjoy shooting targets and find it to be a lot of fun. Of course, around these parts you also have the people who get drunk and go out on their back deck and shoot into the woods at night folks. They worry me a little more.
Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: sirs on May 11, 2007, 05:13:47 PM
Quote
it appears you're going to completely ignore the studies that Ami & Plane referenced, that took into account multiple variables, that demonstrated a logical correlation, between decreased violent crime rates & more permissive CCW laws

Not at all. Actually, I find Plane's last two studies rather fascinating. Kleck especially as he challenges some generally accepted criminology standard models (which is the mark of a thinking scholar, even if his own approaches are not entirely without flaw themselves).

Yet you seem to be pretty much "pffft"ing them, as Tee does so often when so many of his baseless accusations are debunked by facts and evidence, and instead continuing to imply there must be other factors involved (decreased violent crime rates in areas with more permissive CCW allowances), than what has already been researched.....because.....there must be?


Quote
no one's claiming specifically that ONLY A leads to B.  There are likely some minor causitive factors that helped influence the results

Again you make an assumption that you honestly are not certain about. Are the other factors minor? Do you know?

A) I referenced "likely" and B) most of the other major factors appear to have been addressed in the previous research references, leaving pretty much just the minor factors left


I think that some of it is because of my own experiences and let's face it there is a lot of anecdotal evidence in gun ownership arguments. I've been to some European cities and of course American cities. In Europe (and I'll grant that I have not been real recently) there is rarely a sense that one needs to be armed or that crime is an inevitability. Walking around Munich or Nuremberg late at night, looking for a nice beer hall offers no sense of impending fear. I think the same is true of many European cities from Rome to Munich to Madrid to London to Oslo.

And do all these other countries have a similar right to keep and bear arms, as the U.S.?  Or are their significant restrictions on firearm ownership?  That does play a part in all this  And I apparently have as much anectotal evidence as you do, but pretty much specific to the U.S. only.  For "evidence" outside of the U.S., I have to refer to stats and stories


Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: Plane on May 11, 2007, 09:17:17 PM
Quote

The error is as sirs infers.
I think I am the one who inferred that error and not Sirs!  

What _JS infers ,the same as sirs, is ,sans symmetry ,sentient consideration slips, sliding into self serving sophistry.
Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: Brassmask on May 12, 2007, 01:02:34 AM
Jeez.

kimba's getting flak because people are bugging him about being asian and possibly having a gun and you guys advise him to GET ONE.

That's REAL smart.
Title: Re: I know your not gonna believe this
Post by: sirs on May 12, 2007, 01:18:24 AM
Jeez.  kimba's getting flak because people are bugging him about being asian and possibly having a gun and you guys advise him to GET ONE.

Ummmm, no.  Care to cite even 1 sentence that has someone recommending that Kimba buy a gun?  Want-ta do-over?