DebateGate

General Category => 3DHS => Topic started by: MissusDe on October 16, 2008, 11:07:51 PM

Title: Four Freedoms
Post by: MissusDe on October 16, 2008, 11:07:51 PM
The Corner (http://campaignspot.nationalreview.com/post/?q=ZDMxYjNmMzBiNDAyYWM0Y2JiZjdjZGVjNGZkNGVhNTM=)

Thank God we live in a free country, where you can speak your mind on public issues, without fear that those who disagree will respond by exposing anything you've ever done that you regret or that could embarrass your family.

Oh, wait, never mind. We have to know, according to some (http://www.politico.com/blogs/jonathanmartin/1008/Joe_not_a_licensed_plumber_McCains_enthusiasm_not_diminished.html?showall), about Joe the Plumber's tax lien, and how he doesn't have a license - which, if the smear artists bothered to check the law, he only needs (http://codes.ohio.gov/orc/4740) for commercial work, not residential work.

This is the way our opponents operate now. Destroy anyone who stands in your way. Humiliate them. Make sure that anyone else who ever wants to skeptically question Barack Obama knows that every last bit of their dirty laundry will be aired for all the world to see. Bristol Palin, Trig Palin, ? hey, it's all fair game. They've got to make an example of them. Show them that this sort of dangerous speech won't be allowed in the New America.

Remember the man in the plaid shirt, standing at the town meeting in one of Norman Rockwell's "Four Freedoms" paintings? He wouldn't recognize this country anymore.

(http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/1/17/Save_Freedom_of_Speech.png/425px-Save_Freedom_of_Speech.png)

Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: Knutey on October 16, 2008, 11:41:52 PM
The Corner (http://campaignspot.nationalreview.com/post/?q=ZDMxYjNmMzBiNDAyYWM0Y2JiZjdjZGVjNGZkNGVhNTM=)

Thank God we live in a free country, where you can speak your mind on public issues, without fear that those who disagree will respond by exposing anything you've ever done that you regret or that could embarrass your family.

Oh, wait, never mind. We have to know, according to some (http://www.politico.com/blogs/jonathanmartin/1008/Joe_not_a_licensed_plumber_McCains_enthusiasm_not_diminished.html?showall), about Joe the Plumber's tax lien, and how he doesn't have a license - which, if the smear artists bothered to check the law, he only needs (http://codes.ohio.gov/orc/4740) for commercial work, not residential work.

This is the way our opponents operate now. Destroy anyone who stands in your way. Humiliate them. Make sure that anyone else who ever wants to skeptically question Barack Obama knows that every last bit of their dirty laundry will be aired for all the world to see. Bristol Palin, Trig Palin, ? hey, it's all fair game. They've got to make an example of them. Show them that this sort of dangerous speech won't be allowed in the New America.

Remember the man in the plaid shirt, standing at the town meeting in one of Norman Rockwell's "Four Freedoms" paintings? He wouldn't recognize this country anymore.

(http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/1/17/Save_Freedom_of_Speech.png/425px-Save_Freedom_of_Speech.png)



What sanctimonious s crap from the pals of swiftboaters. You have all the right in the world to believe whatever silly shit you want and I have every right to point out that you are silly fools. I always hated the insipedness of Norman Rockwell What drivel.
Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: Michael Tee on October 16, 2008, 11:43:27 PM
I think it's terrible.  If McCain wants to manufacture a myth about the fictitious problems of a guy who can't go into business and live on $250,000 a year, who in their right mind would try to challenge that bullshit with a little smidgen of reality?  The damn press, that's who!
Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: hnumpah on October 17, 2008, 12:22:49 AM
Quote
...Joe the Plumber's tax lien, and how he doesn't have a license - which, if the smear artists bothered to check the law, he only needs for commercial work, not residential work.

The burly, bald man acknowledged he doesn't have a plumber's license, but said he didn't need one because he works for someone else at a company that does residential work.

But Wurzelbacher still would need to be a licensed apprentice or journeyman to work in Toledo, and he's not, said David Golis, manager and residential building official for the Toledo Division of Building Inspection.

State and local records show Wurzelbacher has no license, although his employer does. Golis said there are no records of inspectors citing Wurzelbacher for unlicensed work in Toledo. http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20081017/ap_on_re_us/joe_the_plumber (http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20081017/ap_on_re_us/joe_the_plumber)

So now who needs to check the law?

Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: hnumpah on October 17, 2008, 12:24:58 AM
Quote
This is the way our opponents operate now. Destroy anyone who stands in your way. Humiliate them. Make sure that anyone else who ever wants to skeptically question Barack Obama knows that every last bit of their dirty laundry will be aired for all the world to see. Bristol Palin, Trig Palin, ? hey, it's all fair game. They've got to make an example of them. Show them that this sort of dangerous speech won't be allowed in the New America.

Boo hoo.

What's fair for the goose, etc...
Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: MissusDe on October 17, 2008, 01:16:47 AM
These comments at The Corner (http://corner.nationalreview.com/) say it better than I could:

Getting a lot of emails along these lines:

I don't know why I'm e-mailing you, except that I just need to vent to someone on The Corner. Pass this around to the others if you like ? I bet I'm not the only one.

I really don't like McCain. I'll probably vote for him just as a vote for divided government. I'm far too libertarian in my leanings to be comfortable with McCain (or Obama, for that matter).

That said, the way the pro-Obama media and bloggers, and Obama himself, have responded to Joe has got me nearly shaking with rage. They are attempting to destroy a man ? a private citizen ? who had the audacity to ask The One a question. Mind you, Joe was on his front lawn playing football with his son when Obama strolled up to give him his hopenchange spiel. Obama approached Joe, not the other way around. And Joe asked Obama an honest question. And Obama gave him an honest ? and very, very revealing ? answer. Again, mind you, the embarassment was on Obama's end, not Joe's. It wasn't a gotcha question.

And yet, for that Joe is being pilloried, every aspect of his private and professional life being sorted through and exposed. To prove ... what? What does that have to do with Obama's answer? What does Joe's situation have to do with Obama's philosophical answer ? that he wants to "spread the wealth"? Obama's answer goes down the memory hole while the nation concentrates its fire on obliterating Joe the Plumber.

It's sickening, it's maddening and it's downright chilling.

Sorry for the length. But I am just SEETHING.

And:

I was at LSAT class tonight and the instructor had the audacity to state that Joe the Plumber is a "lunatic" fit to be paralized because he allegedly questioned the merits of social security. The instructor then went on to construct a sample question in which Joe the Plumber is confined to a wheel chair because he has been run down by McCain's 'straight talk express' bus.

Mind you, this professional "educator" graduated from Georgetown, Harvard Law, and Harvard Business. And I'm supposed to be worried about Sarah Palin's lack of an "elite" education?

And:

I could care less about Joe's background, whether he's legit, or whether he is a McCain operative. What I do care about is that I could be attacked like a public figure simply for asking a question, like Joe. I am chilled. No longer undecided either.
Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: BT on October 17, 2008, 01:37:09 AM
Bless Obama and all his supporters as they show their care for the working guy and the little people.

The guy asked Obama a question and Obama answered with a very revealing soundbite.

Last I heard you don't need a permit to ask a question of a politician, especially if he wanders onto your lawn.

Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: Plane on October 17, 2008, 03:29:50 AM
Quote
This is the way our opponents operate now. Destroy anyone who stands in your way. Humiliate them. Make sure that anyone else who ever wants to skeptically question Barack Obama knows that every last bit of their dirty laundry will be aired for all the world to see. Bristol Palin, Trig Palin, ? hey, it's all fair game. They've got to make an example of them. Show them that this sort of dangerous speech won't be allowed in the New America.

Boo hoo.

What's fair for the goose, etc...

What goose are you thinking of?
Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: Plane on October 17, 2008, 03:38:05 AM
Quote
...Joe the Plumber's tax lien, and how he doesn't have a license - which, if the smear artists bothered to check the law, he only needs for commercial work, not residential work.

The burly, bald man acknowledged he doesn't have a plumber's license, but said he didn't need one because he works for someone else at a company that does residential work.

But Wurzelbacher still would need to be a licensed apprentice or journeyman to work in Toledo, and he's not, said David Golis, manager and residential building official for the Toledo Division of Building Inspection.

State and local records show Wurzelbacher has no license, although his employer does. Golis said there are no records of inspectors citing Wurzelbacher for unlicensed work in Toledo. http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20081017/ap_on_re_us/joe_the_plumber (http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20081017/ap_on_re_us/joe_the_plumber)

So now who needs to check the law?



I have done some Plumbing work , for the Navy , which trains its own and does not license them. The situation is diffrent in each state and almost every city so I don't know what Joe needs as far as permits go.

But generally , a helper gets hired , then trained , then gets a union membership and licences.
Even a graduate of a tech school needs some apprentice time.

Going the otherway around would give the license ahead of the training .
Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: hnumpah on October 17, 2008, 08:18:28 AM
Quote
... the way the pro-Obama media and bloggers, and Obama himself, have responded to Joe has got me nearly shaking with rage. They are attempting to destroy a man ? a private citizen ? who had the audacity to ask The One a question. Mind you, Joe was on his front lawn playing football with his son when Obama strolled up to give him his hopenchange spiel. Obama approached Joe, not the other way around. And Joe asked Obama an honest question. And Obama gave him an honest ? and very, very revealing ? answer. Again, mind you, the embarassment was on Obama's end, not Joe's. It wasn't a gotcha question.

And yet, for that Joe is being pilloried, every aspect of his private and professional life being sorted through and exposed. To prove ... what? What does that have to do with Obama's answer? What does Joe's situation have to do with Obama's philosophical answer ? that he wants to "spread the wealth"? Obama's answer goes down the memory hole while the nation concentrates its fire on obliterating Joe the Plumber.

Then perhaps everyone should be upset with McCain, who brought Joe boy up at the debate, which resulted in his being a sudden media star. Didja notice that after he asked Obama the question and ended up on the news, no one was camped out on his lawn - until after the debate, when McCain brought him up, and the next morning he had media tripping all over themselves to talk to him? That's when they started investigating him, when he became a sudden media darling and the clock started ticking on his 15 minutes of fame. Sure, it's ridiculuos that it happens, but when he went from being 'news', as in a quick sound bite, to being 'NEWS', all of a sudden everyone wants to know more about him. It's not the media's fault he has a lien on his property for unpaid taxes, or, apparently, should not be working as an unlicensed plumber, just as it isn't their fault if someone killed in a car crash turns out to have had a blood alcohol reading of .25. We had a teenager shot and killed here recently that got quite a few people up in arms. The only picture his family could find to have the local stations put up, apparently, showed him flashing gang signs; then it came out he was carrying an illegal firearm when he was shot. The outrage toned down a bit after that, when people started seeing him not as some innocent teen gunned down on the street but a gangster wannabe who could just as well have gunned down someone else. Where should the media draw the line at what to report and what not to report?
Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: Plane on October 17, 2008, 08:59:47 AM
Is it the media or is it campaign workers , whose job it is to smear?
Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: Xavier_Onassis on October 17, 2008, 09:13:33 AM
It is not Obama's fault that Joe the Plumber was not who he said he was. Joe got his 15 minutes of fame, if he didn't want this, he could have claimed to be who he was and not who he wasn't. I feel sort of sorry for the guy, he is just trying to make a living, and to some degree living in his head, thinking about buying out his boss when he probably could not finance a new refrigerator.

If the media is to blame for disrespecting Joe the Plumber, blame them, not Obama. Not McCain, either. Both took the guy at his word.
Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: Plane on October 17, 2008, 09:18:34 AM
It is not Obama's fault that Joe the Plumber was not who he said he was. Joe got his 15 minutes of fame, if he didn't want this, he could have claimed to be who he was and not who he wasn't. I feel sort of sorry for the guy, he is just trying to make a living, and to some degree living in his head, thinking about buying out his boss when he probably could not finance a new refrigerator.

If the media is to blame for disrespecting Joe the Plumber, blame them, not Obama. Not McCain, either. Both took the guy at his word.


What did he say that was not so?
Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: Michael Tee on October 17, 2008, 09:44:28 AM
I noticed in this thread a very heavy use of the word "smear."  Is it really a smear when one reports only the truth about an individual?  And not only the truth, but a truth or truths which are matters of public record - - tax liens, licensing status?

To those who are "seething with rage" - - and I thank Missus D for bringing this to our attention - - I can acknowledge some understanding, if not necessarily sympathy.  It does seem unfair for this guy to be exposed to national ridicule, all for the terrible offence of questioning a man running for high public office.  All the more so when, as it appears now, he did not approach Obama, but rather, Obama approached him.  I would regard this as very bad luck on the part of Joe.  Maybe the answer is stay away from politicians and always keep out of the limelight.  I remember very vividly a concentration camp survivor's advice never to be the first or last in any line, never ask questions of authority and never stand out in any way, good or bad, likely to come to anyone else's notice, which might be good advice for a concentration camp inmate but very sad advice for an American citizen who wants to engage in the democratic process.  Joe interacted with Senator Obama, got his 15 minutes of fame, and is "paying the price" - - but please, people, let's keep our heads screwed on tight and straight here.

Some of our more hysterical friends on the right are screaming that Joe is being "pilloried," that "every aspect" of his private (that's a lie) and professional life is being "exposed"  and that Joe is being "obliterated."  (I hope whoever wrote that dreck never has to live under a fascist dictatorship, where he or she can find out what being "obliterated" really involves.)  That Joe is being "destroyed" (laughable, he's been handed million-dollar name recognition if he ever wants to work as "The Original Joe the Plumber of TV and Internet Fame") and humiliated (sadly, this is true.)

I think the bottom line, when you weed through all the hysterical, overblown hyperbole of the far right lunatic fringe, is that Joe spoke up and was ridiculed, embarrassed and humiliated by the national media.  The cost of some invaluable publicity and 15 minutes of fame was another 15 minutes of public ridicule, basically.  Was it some kind of irreversible tragedy?  Hardly.  Was it fair?  Probably not, but since when was life ever fair?  It is certainly survivable.  Will it "chill" or "dampen" freedom of speech in America?  Will The Man in the Checked Flannel Shirt run for cover and cower in his rec room rather than attend the next Town Hall Meeting in Libertyville, U.S.A.?  What kinda chickenshit wimp would want to?  If THAT'S how The Man in the Checked Flannel Shirt would react, then God damn him, he does not deserve the freedoms that the Founding Fathers gave him, and he should get  his ass out of the Norman Rockwell painting.  Now.    Every candidate for public office, most notably Barak Obama, has to submit himself or herself, to a barrage of ridicule, innuendo, slander, accusations of treason and "terrorism," etc. and somehow, they all manage to survive.

I think those who rush to the defence of Joe the Plumber weeping their crocodile tears and beating their breasts over the "destruction" of an outspoken citizen ought to get a life.  Get serious and start addressing some real issues of the campaign, including Joe's issues, pro and con.  When I think of what these same self-appointed "defenders of privacy" did to Bill Clinton over a consensual blow-job between adults, I just have to say, "GET REAL."
Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: Xavier_Onassis on October 17, 2008, 10:05:03 AM
What did he say that was not so?

What did Joe the Plumber say that was not so...let me see.

He claimed that he was contemplating buying out his boss. But poor Joe is, well, too poor to pay his taxes, let alone buy a business. He is also still unqualified to supervise plumbing work (unlike his present boss), since he has yet to get a license.. Joe is not going to be making $250K a year during any one of the next four yeears unless perhaps he wins the lottery, or perhaps finds a Cindy McCain with which to marry.

Joe got his 15 minutes of fame. Let us wish him well and get on with electing a president. Joe is irrelevant to this decision, even though he does seem to like to talk.
Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: richpo64 on October 17, 2008, 11:25:45 AM
>>Last I heard you don't need a permit to ask a question of a politician, especially if he wanders onto your lawn.<<

If Obama ever wanders onto your lawn, release the hounds.

It is truly revealing to see how the left has reacted to this. We already know Barry's truth squad is wandering around threatening law suites against anyone who they claim isn't telling the "truth" about Barry. Now we get to see the attack machine in all it's glory. America is getting to see exactly what these people are. Luckily it happened close enough to election to that it might just matter.

Poor Barry, he was born with a red spoon in his mouth.
Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: _JS on October 17, 2008, 01:25:34 PM
The fact is this:

McCain created a fictional character based on a real person. It was a lie just like Ronnie's welfare queen. Only this time "Joe" was supposed to be the GOP archetype of the everyman who works hard, saves all his pennies, then buys his boss' business and makes a fortune. That archetype was placed against the negative stereotype of the Democrats as "redistributing the wealth" which would prevent McCain's protagonist from succeeding against the evil, faceless bureaucracy who takes "Joe's" hard-earned pennies and sends them to lazy welfare queens across the nation.

The problem is that none of it is reality. Any intelligent person knew that without having to intrude on "Joe's" life. Yet, once it was mentioned twenty-six times in the debate - the media descended because that is what they do. Whether you like it or not is irrelevant.

It was a complete work of fiction and the proof is there for anyone to see. It is a lie that is continually propagated by the right wing Missus - the very people you vote for and will continue to vote for. Whinging that it is Obama's fault will not change that continuing fallacy.
Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: BT on October 17, 2008, 03:45:20 PM
Quote
Whinging that it is Obama's fault will not change that continuing fallacy.

I didn't see in the original post where anyone blamed Obama. So that is a fiction.

I believe the blame was assigned to the same assholes who propagate the nonsense about the Palin family. You know. SOME Obama supporters.

Shall we revisit the litany of slurs leveled at them? Incest, Bristol, Trig etc?

Proud moments in surrogate history.



Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: _JS on October 17, 2008, 04:04:32 PM
I don't know anything about Obama surrogates Bt, or what they say (or have said). Nor do I care.

I don't see the difference in that and Palin saying that Obama "pals around with terrorists." When the man in question committed the act when Obama was a kid and is now a professor and respected figure (with whom some conservatives "pal'ed around with").

The fact remains that McCain's use of "Joe" was fictional. He was an archetype falsely constructed to present a false reality to the public.

Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: Knutey on October 17, 2008, 04:06:09 PM
Quote
Whinging that it is Obama's fault will not change that continuing fallacy.

I didn't see in the original post where anyone blamed Obama. So that is a fiction.

I believe the blame was assigned to the same assholes who propagate the nonsense about the Palin family. You know. SOME Obama supporters.

Shall we revisit the litany of slurs leveled at them? Incest, Bristol, Trig etc?

Proud moments in surrogate history.





All you readers & lovers of the National Enquirer love those smears . It is the way you see reality and it gives you a chance to bitch and moan and blame this bullshit on you losing the election
Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: BT on October 17, 2008, 04:18:17 PM
The Joe who asked Obama about taxes and got the response about redistribution of wealth was a real person.

His destruction by the press and by Obama surrogates is beyond the pale.

What next, burning down homes with McCain Palin signs.

Obama needs to settle down his own mob instead of whinging about GOP crowds.

Hard to claim the high road when both parties are in the ditch.

Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: Knutey on October 17, 2008, 04:22:03 PM
The Joe who asked Obama about taxes and got the response about redistribution of wealth was a real person.

His destruction by the press and by Obama surrogates is beyond the pale.

What next, burning down homes with McCain Palin signs.

Obama needs to settle down his own mob instead of whinging about GOP crowds.

Hard to claim the high road when both parties are in the ditch.



I saw Joe on ABC and he is not a real person. He is a RW nutcase like y'all.

[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V2kTK5CrdZQ[/youtube]
Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: _JS on October 17, 2008, 04:42:02 PM
The Joe who asked Obama about taxes and got the response about redistribution of wealth was a real person.

His destruction by the press and by Obama surrogates is beyond the pale.

What next, burning down homes with McCain Palin signs.

Obama needs to settle down his own mob instead of whinging about GOP crowds.

Hard to claim the high road when both parties are in the ditch.

Oh please. Using some hyperbole?

I think that "Joe" will be just fine as none of the realities of his life are earth-shattering (or for that matter - interesting). And really...playing the victim? Isn't it a little early for that?
Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: Plane on October 17, 2008, 04:47:37 PM


I saw Joe on ABC and he is not a real person. He is a RW nutcase like y'all.




That ought to teach Obama not to speak to randomly chosen Americans , the number of genuine right wingers is high enough to make the odds even that he will be talking to someone who will ask him a question requireing thinking to answer.

Did you notice that the answer that Joe got was more sincere than the medea reporters have been getting?
Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: Xavier_Onassis on October 17, 2008, 05:17:42 PM
That ought to teach Obama not to speak to randomly chosen Americans , the number of genuine right wingers is high enough to make the odds even that he will be talking to someone who will ask him a question requireing thinking to answer.

Did you notice that the answer that Joe got was more sincere than the medea reporters have been getting?

==========================================================================
If the average Joe made $250,000 a year, we could lower the tax rate a lot.
Joe will benefit most from Obama's tax plan that from McCain's If Joe is really lucky, it may make sense for him to be a Republican  at some time in the next 20 years, but not now. It would be self-destructive for Joe to vote for McCain until he stands to benefit.
Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: Plane on October 17, 2008, 05:19:32 PM
That ought to teach Obama not to speak to randomly chosen Americans , the number of genuine right wingers is high enough to make the odds even that he will be talking to someone who will ask him a question requireing thinking to answer.

Did you notice that the answer that Joe got was more sincere than the medea reporters have been getting?

==========================================================================
If the average Joe made $250,000 a year, we could lower the tax rate a lot.
Joe will benefit most from Obama's tax plan that from McCain's If Joe is really lucky, it may make sense for him to be a Republican  at some time in the next 20 years, but not now. It would be self-destructive for Joe to vote for McCain until he stands to benefit.

Joe is ambitious , Obama wants to spread the wealth.

Should Joe become a civil servant ?
Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: Xavier_Onassis on October 17, 2008, 05:26:28 PM
Joe is ambitious , Obama wants to spread the wealth.

Should Joe become a civil servant ?


You are ambitious, you are some sort of civilian airplane repairman. Do you make $250,000 a year? Should Joe follow your example, or shouldn't he?

Of course, if you are a Civil Servant, you can forget about buying out the boss.

I am guessing that you will need to give up on the $250,000 ambition as well.
Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: richpo64 on October 17, 2008, 05:29:21 PM
>>I am guessing that you will need to give up on the $250,000 ambition as well.<<

Barry should put that in his platform.

Barry says, "Give up."
Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: Xavier_Onassis on October 17, 2008, 06:22:22 PM
I say that because I doubt that anyone can actually buy out the government.

Also, the US government does not pay almost anyone $250,000. Strange how they always seem to fill those cabinet positions, isn't it?
Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: BT on October 17, 2008, 06:37:37 PM
Quote
Oh please. Using some hyperbole?

I think that "Joe" will be just fine as none of the realities of his life are earth-shattering (or for that matter - interesting). And really...playing the victim? Isn't it a little early for that?

Two points.

Earlier you said people ae blaming Obama for what has happened to Joe. Could you show me a post by a member of this forum showing that?

And secondly noone is playing victim.

Destroying a persons reputation because he dared asked a question of Obama and Obama wishes he could rephrase his answer is not the type of country your god and your religion and your own personal credo wishes it to be , so why make fucking excuses for the low lifes who think everyone is fair game?

What happened o Joe was wrong, you and i both know it.



Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: Xavier_Onassis on October 17, 2008, 07:23:11 PM
>>Last I heard you don't need a permit to ask a question of a politician, especially if he wanders onto your lawn.<<

If Obama ever wanders onto your lawn, release the hounds.


=====================================================
Who are you pretending to be now, Monty Burns?

Would you release the hounds on McCain as well?
Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: Plane on October 17, 2008, 08:03:12 PM
Joe is ambitious , Obama wants to spread the wealth.

Should Joe become a civil servant ?


You are ambitious, you are some sort of civilian airplane repairman. Do you make $250,000 a year? Should Joe follow your example, or shouldn't he?

Of course, if you are a Civil Servant, you can forget about buying out the boss.

I am guessing that you will need to give up on the $250,000 ambition as well.


Joe did not say that he made $250,000 , he said that his prospective business would be that size.

As a Civil Servant in a skilled trade I might be makeing more than Joe right now , but I can't have the ambition to use my position for becomeing very wealthy , I have given up that potential in return for a very secure job.

For Joe to acheive his ambitions he will have to get a certificate from the school he is attending , save up a lot and have 20% of the value of this business in the bank at the time that his boss wants to retire. This is not the only path he could take but it is a reasonable one.
Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: _JS on October 18, 2008, 07:02:59 PM
Quote
Oh please. Using some hyperbole?

I think that "Joe" will be just fine as none of the realities of his life are earth-shattering (or for that matter - interesting). And really...playing the victim? Isn't it a little early for that?

Two points.

Earlier you said people ae blaming Obama for what has happened to Joe. Could you show me a post by a member of this forum showing that?

And secondly noone is playing victim.

Destroying a persons reputation because he dared asked a question of Obama and Obama wishes he could rephrase his answer is not the type of country your god and your religion and your own personal credo wishes it to be , so why make fucking excuses for the low lifes who think everyone is fair game?

What happened o Joe was wrong, you and i both know it.

From Missus:

Quote
That said, the way the pro-Obama media and bloggers, and Obama himself, have responded to Joe has got me nearly shaking with rage. They are attempting to destroy a man

Is that proof enough Bt? And before you say that the words were not hers, please note that she did say that they were written better than she could express it herself. It is right there in black and white.

I'm not defending the press, McCain, or Obama or any of the dirty politics that get played in this system. But don't you defend this damned system and then turn around and bitch about the consequences of it. Moreover, don't give me the hypocritical crap that somehow Obama is worse about it than anyone else. That's what really strikes me in all of this. As if W, McCain, Clinton, Reagan, or any of them would have let one simpleton stand in their way to the presidency. To scoff at it because Obama is the Democrat is a joke.
Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: BT on October 18, 2008, 07:38:43 PM
Quote
Is that proof enough Bt? And before you say that the words were not hers, please note that she did say that they were written better than she could express it herself. It is right there in black and white.

What the hell has happened to you _JSOV?

Quote
I'm not defending the press, McCain, or Obama or any of the dirty politics that get played in this system. But don't you defend this damned system and then turn around and bitch about the consequences of it. Moreover, don't give me the hypocritical crap that somehow Obama is worse about it than anyone else. That's what really strikes me in all of this. As if W, McCain, Clinton, Reagan, or any of them would have let one simpleton stand in their way to the presidency. To scoff at it because Obama is the Democrat is a joke.

Sure you are. Would you destroy a neighbor because you didn't like his choice in music, you didn't like the color he painted his house, the church he attends, or doesn't attend; or any other expression of choice?

Would you destroy him because he said the Cubs and Dolphins suck and was quoted on the news as saying so and the Phillies and Eagles management put the quotes in the lockerrom, firing up the players and costing your teams the championship?

Would you?

 
Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: hnumpah on October 18, 2008, 08:45:54 PM
Destroy Joe the Plumber? Please. It was pointed out - by the media, mind you - that the man had a tax lien on his property and may not have been properly licensed or certified or whatever to work as a plumber in his locality. Hardly qualifies as destroying the man. All he needs to do is pay his taxes and get whatever permit/license/certification he needs to meet the requirements. Or he can ignore it and go back to the same ole same ole, doing unlicensed work and sucking up suds with the other Joe Six-Packs on Friday night. In a month, I doubt anyone will remember him enough to even think to check to see if he is licensed to do the work.
Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: BT on October 18, 2008, 09:26:14 PM
Quote
Destroy Joe the Plumber? Please. It was pointed out - by the media, mind you ....

And what made him worthy of the descent locusts upon his house? He asked Obama a question.

And Obama gave him an answer that was heard around the world.

But the real reason was because McCain used that interaction in a debate and left Obama stuttering.

Can't have that.

What is interesting is we know more about Joe the Plumber than we do about Tony Rezko.

Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: Xavier_Onassis on October 18, 2008, 09:33:42 PM
Idon't think we know more about Joe the Plumber than we do about Tony Rezko. You just wish that Tony Rezko was important enough to cause Obama to lose. And he isn't.

Joe the plumber will no doubt benefit more from Obama's tax cuts than McCain's. It will be rather a long time before Joe can buy out his boss, I think, if ever.
Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: BT on October 18, 2008, 09:45:56 PM
Quote
You just wish that Tony Rezko was important enough to cause Obama to lose. And he isn't.

No Rezko won't cause his loss. Seeds of doubt will cause his loss.

Obama hasn't closed the deal. He knows it and so do the pollsters.

Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: hnumpah on October 18, 2008, 11:21:38 PM
Quote
And what made him worthy of the descent locusts upon his house? He asked Obama a question.

And Obama gave him an answer that was heard around the world.

But the real reason was because McCain used that interaction in a debate ...

Over and over and over and over.

And over.

The old fart wouldn't shut up about him.

Took the place of the repetition that he was a maverick.

Any stuttering I saw on Obama's part was because McCain wouldn't shut the fuck up and let him talk. He seemed to always have to get the last word in, even if he had to talk over Obama to do it.
Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: BT on October 18, 2008, 11:25:53 PM
Quote
The old fart wouldn't shut up about him.

Well that certainly explains why the media and bloggers decided that every detail of Joe's life become public record.

Not sure whether it justifies it though.



Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: Xavier_Onassis on October 18, 2008, 11:47:06 PM
Anytime some individual becomes part of a debate, the media is going to dredge up all the facts.
Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: BT on October 18, 2008, 11:48:47 PM
Quote
Anytime some individual becomes part of a debate, the media is going to dredge up all the facts.


His tax lien was pertinent to the debate?
Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: Xavier_Onassis on October 18, 2008, 11:54:01 PM
Anytime some individual becomes part of a debate, the media is going to dredge up all the facts.


His tax lien was pertinent to the debate?

=======================================
Joe claimed that he was going to buy a business that earned over $250K a year, and he couldn't not pay even $1600 in taxes. So of course it is pertinent, because Joe's case was bogus. Joe seems not to have a pot to p*ss in.


Small businesses may create most of the jobs, but that would be when it is a NEW business, not one that just changes hands. There are a finite number of drains to unclog, a finite number of houses to plumb.
Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: BT on October 19, 2008, 12:01:56 AM
Quote
Joe claimed that he was going to buy a business that earned over $250K a year, and he couldn't not pay even $1600 in taxes. So of course it is pertinent, because Joe's case was bogus. Joe seems not to have a pot to p*ss in.

Joe claimed he wanted to buy a business...

I understand Al Franken is in the same situation except he doesn't have a pot to piss in in 39 states.

Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: BT on October 19, 2008, 12:20:26 AM
Meanwhile Obama's Campaign Treasurer has a tax lien against him

http://webofdeception.com/nesbitt.html (http://webofdeception.com/nesbitt.html)
Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: Michael Tee on October 19, 2008, 10:56:13 AM
<<Joe claimed he wanted to buy a business... >>

In the memorable words of Uncle Junior Soprano, to the FBI agent who wants to nail Tony's ass to the wall   - - "And I want to fuck Angie Dickinson.  Let's see which one of us gets lucky first."

Wishing only the best to Joe the Plumber, it seems with no licence and tax liens waiting to be cleared off his house, it does look like he has rather a long row to hoe before he gets into a position to be able to buy a business that can generate a quarter-million dollars a year in annual pre-tax income for him.  One would think that Joey Baby would have more pressing problems to deal with on his plate right now.  That his "concerns" were, to say the least, a little premature.
Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: Xavier_Onassis on October 19, 2008, 10:57:42 AM
Joe claimed that he was going to buy a business that earned over $250K a year, and he couldn't not pay even $1600 in taxes. So of course it is pertinent, because Joe's case was bogus. Joe seems not to have a pot to p*ss in.

Joe claimed he wanted to buy a business...

I understand Al Franken is in the same situation except he doesn't have a pot to piss in in 39 states.

=================================
Does Al Franken want to buy a business?

Joe's problem is that he publicly announced that he is going to buy the business when he has no money to do it with.

Al Franken is funny. Minnesotans should lend him money, so he can run for the Senate.
Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: hnumpah on October 19, 2008, 11:38:21 AM
Quote
Not sure whether it justifies it though.

The American public seems to have indicated to the press that they are interested in knowing such details about anyone who becomes a public figure, whether it is by choice or by accident. The press is catering to those whims, and have been for years. Do I care that he has a tax lien and doesn't have the proper licenses to do the work he does? I could care less, other than it puts a further burden on other, honest taxpayers, and puts the people he does work for at risk. He's small potatoes in the worldwide scheme of things, as far as I'm concerned, but there are people who, having seen him dredged up over and over during the debate, want to know more about him. The information about the tax lien and the license is most likely a matter of public record. If he hadn't wanted someone to dig it out, maybe he should have stayed away from the cameras. Once he stepped into the media spotlight, he became fair game.

Is it right? Is it justified? Ask the American public.
Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: hnumpah on October 19, 2008, 12:18:31 PM
(http://cagle.msnbc.com/news/JoeThePlumber/images/arial.gif)
Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: BT on October 19, 2008, 01:24:17 PM
Quote
The information about the tax lien and the license is most likely a matter of public record. If he hadn't wanted someone to dig it out, maybe he should have stayed away from the cameras. Once he stepped into the media spotlight, he became fair game.

So when Obama walked into his yard, he should have run?

Doesn't sound right to me.

And I don't believe he needs a license if he works for a licensed plumber. Not for residential work in the state of Ohio.
Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: hnumpah on October 19, 2008, 01:34:33 PM
Quote
And I don't believe he needs a license if he works for a licensed plumber. Not for residential work in the state of Ohio.


Maybe not in the state of Ohio, but maybe you should reread my reply #3 to this thread.
Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: BT on October 19, 2008, 01:39:10 PM
This?

 
Quote
Golis said there are no records of inspectors citing Wurzelbacher for unlicensed work in Toledo.

Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: hnumpah on October 19, 2008, 02:15:05 PM
No, this:

But Wurzelbacher still would need to be a licensed apprentice or journeyman to work in Toledo, and he's not, said David Golis, manager and residential building official for the Toledo Division of Building Inspection.
Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: _JS on October 19, 2008, 02:29:01 PM
What the hell has happened to you _JSOV?

What do you want from me? I've attacked this system, both economically and politically to be called some really nasty names such as: "anti-Semitic," "hateful," "mass murderer." What is it you want from me?

Quote
Sure you are. Would you destroy a neighbor because you didn't like his choice in music, you didn't like the color he painted his house, the church he attends, or doesn't attend; or any other expression of choice?

Would you destroy him because he said the Cubs and Dolphins suck and was quoted on the news as saying so and the Phillies and Eagles management put the quotes in the lockerrom, firing up the players and costing your teams the championship?

Would you?
Quote

Of course not.
Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: BT on October 19, 2008, 02:29:51 PM
Does he work inside the city limits of Toledo?

He hasn't been cited for working without a license there.

Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: BT on October 19, 2008, 02:41:43 PM
Quote
What do you want from me? I've attacked this system, both economically and politically to be called some really nasty names such as: "anti-Semitic," "hateful," "mass murderer." What is it you want from me?

I've never called you those names. And having known you for at least 10 years on the boards and in the old chat i have always known you to avoid the cheap shot generalities that so many lesser posters are prone to make. I've always known where you were coming from, always learned something from your thoughtful posts and can even understand the why's of your political thought evolution, though i may not agree with it does not mean i don't respect the thought you have put into it.

There is an anger and impatience that seems to be coming through now that wasn't there before , is more aimed at groups of people instead of specific people, like the one you challenged to meet behind the Dairy Queen, lo all those years ago.

I would like to see that old demeanor come back. That is what i want from you.


Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: hnumpah on October 19, 2008, 05:39:08 PM
Quote
Does he work inside the city limits of Toledo?

Holland, Ohio is right outside Toledo - I'm sure you can use Google or Yahoo maps. It would be a fair guess that he does work in Toledo from time to time.

Quote
He hasn't been cited for working without a license there.


Probably because no one ever checked. Now, while he is making the media rounds lamenting his plight, he is whining that he is unable to work, possibly because now his boss and everyone else knows he is unlicensed.
Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: BT on October 19, 2008, 06:16:35 PM
Quote
Holland, Ohio is right outside Toledo - I'm sure you can use Google or Yahoo maps.

And where i live is right outside the city of atlanta, same county I'm having a hard time remembering the last time i did work inside the city limits.

Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: _JS on October 20, 2008, 03:45:34 AM
Fair points Bt. I'll endeavor to do better.
Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: Plane on October 20, 2008, 08:17:49 AM
Quote
Does he work inside the city limits of Toledo?

Holland, Ohio is right outside Toledo - I'm sure you can use Google or Yahoo maps. It would be a fair guess that he does work in Toledo from time to time.

Quote
He hasn't been cited for working without a license there.


Probably because no one ever checked. Now, while he is making the media rounds lamenting his plight, he is whining that he is unable to work, possibly because now his boss and everyone else knows he is unlicensed.

So some have greatness thrust upon them, he cannot get plumbing work , but he can make a circuit of talkshows.

If I see Obama coming into my yard I will smile and say the Hatch act.
Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: Xavier_Onassis on October 20, 2008, 12:18:23 PM
So some have greatness thrust upon them, he cannot get plumbing work , but he can make a circuit of talkshows.

If I see Obama coming into my yard I will smile and say the Hatch act.

==============================================================
I somehow don't think you will be endangered by Obama coming into your yard. Or McCain either. Probably not even Bob Barr, Alan Keyes, or even Cynthia McKinney What are the odds?

Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: Plane on October 21, 2008, 04:12:03 PM
So some have greatness thrust upon them, he cannot get plumbing work , but he can make a circuit of talkshows.

If I see Obama coming into my yard I will smile and say the Hatch act.

==============================================================
I somehow don't think you will be endangered by Obama coming into your yard. Or McCain either. Probably not even Bob Barr, Alan Keyes, or even Cynthia McKinney What are the odds?



Odds are pretty steep against , but poor Joe got struck with the lightning.

Did no one tell him how dangerous it is to speak the truth to power?
Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: hnumpah on October 21, 2008, 04:29:48 PM
Quote
Did no one tell him how dangerous it is to speak the truth to power?

And that truth was what? All I saw was that he asked a question, and got an answer. Just about every analysis I've seen of his situation shows he would come out ahead under Obama.

As for the pitfalls of becoming a public figure, this could serve as an example to everyone of what can happen in this 'information age'.
Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: Plane on October 21, 2008, 04:37:45 PM
Quote
Did no one tell him how dangerous it is to speak the truth to power?

And that truth was what? All I saw was that he asked a question, and got an answer. Just about every analysis I've seen of his situation shows he would come out ahead under Obama.



NOt if he attempts to fulfill his stated ambition.
He needs to save up a lot and finally borrow even more to buy or produce a business worth a quarter million , I know a guy locally that has built a business about that size , I know it is about that size because he has four large bulldozers and several dump trucks and assorted other gradeing equipment , he isn't especially smart or well educated , he is especially determined .He started modestly and built it for many years.

Obamas plans would put a crimp in his ability to grow his business , slowing the process if not stopping it.
Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: Michael Tee on October 21, 2008, 05:20:14 PM
<<He needs to save up a lot and finally borrow even more to buy or produce a business worth a quarter million >>


This has got nothing to do with buying a business "worth a quarter million."  The price of a business is usually based on a multiple of earnings.  Depending on the type of business, the multiplier would be higher or lower, but three to five times annual earnings wouldn't be out of line for a plumbing business like the one Joe might be interested in.  If the annual business earnings before interest and taxes are about $250K, the cost of acquisition, depending on many factors, would be at least twice that, probably more.  I am over-simplifying because the bean-counters have much more refined formulae and there are also industry-specific factors to consider that I am leaving out of the equation for simplicity's sake.

Now even if Joe could scrape up or finance a price of a half-mill to a million, all he'd get in return would be a business earning about $250K annually and paying him a salary of considerably less.  Obama's proposed tax hike for those earning a pre-tax $250K still wouldn't come close to him for at least a few years.

For a guy without a licence and unable to clear a $1600 lien off his property, Joe's "dream" of buying a business that will put his personal income within range of Obama's proposed hike is about on a par with Uncle Junior's dream of fucking Angie Dickinson.  It is pure fantasy.

<<.I know a guy locally that has built a business about that size >>

Don't we all?  The point is, really, HOW MANY guys like that do you know?  And then: how many guys do you know who will bust their ass day in and day out and never come close to owning a business that will generate $250K in annual pre-tax income for them?  What's the ratio?  100::1?  More?

Obama didn't claim that his proposed tax increase won't bite anyone.  His point is that MOST working Americans, an overwhelming majority of them, WILL NOT BE AFFECTED by the increase.  Your example, if anything, tends to confirm that.
Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: Plane on October 21, 2008, 05:43:49 PM
<<He needs to save up a lot and finally borrow even more to buy or produce a business worth a quarter million >>


This has got nothing to do with buying a business "worth a quarter million."  The price of a business is usually based on a multiple of earnings.  Depending on the type of business, the multiplier would be higher or lower, but three to five times annual earnings wouldn't be out of line for a plumbing business like the one Joe might be interested in.  If the annual business earnings before interest and taxes are about $250K, the cost of acquisition, depending on many factors, would be at least twice that, probably more.  I am over-simplifying because the bean-counters have much more refined formulae and there are also industry-specific factors to consider that I am leaving out of the equation for simplicity's sake.

Now even if Joe could scrape up or finance a price of a half-mill to a million, all he'd get in return would be a business earning about $250K annually and paying him a salary of considerably less.  Obama's proposed tax hike for those earning a pre-tax $250K still wouldn't come close to him for at least a few years.

For a guy without a licence and unable to clear a $1600 lien off his property, Joe's "dream" of buying a business that will put his personal income within range of Obama's proposed hike is about on a par with Uncle Junior's dream of fucking Angie Dickinson.  It is pure fantasy.

<<.I know a guy locally that has built a business about that size >>

Don't we all?  The point is, really, HOW MANY guys like that do you know?  And then: how many guys do you know who will bust their ass day in and day out and never come close to owning a business that will generate $250K in annual pre-tax income for them?  What's the ratio?  100::1?  More?

Obama didn't claim that his proposed tax increase won't bite anyone.  His point is that MOST working Americans, an overwhelming majority of them, WILL NOT BE AFFECTED by the increase.  Your example, if anything, tends to confirm that.


No kidding?

The value of a business is based on what it can earn in a year?

Also on what equipment it requires and owns.

Joe will have to learn the business thouroughly and make up a business plan , getting a loan of that size will be impossible without haveing a business plan laid out well enough to convince a banker to risk the brass.  If he saves up twenty percent of the cost he is very likely to get that loan. I am not aware of how many people actually start businesses of this size , but most of us in the US do business on a smaller scale and I would not be surprised if you were right at the 1:100 ratio for a success rate , but much more than half of us attempt to found or buy into a business , I have tried it , my brother tried in a bigger way , I know dozens of people busy in the attempt right now.

If Obamas taxes do no more than make it five percent harder to succeed he may find that the marginal are not linear and a five percent increase in the height of the hurdles will produce a doubleing of the runners unable to leap clear of them then your 1:100 rate of success woudl become a 1:200 rate of success and half the people who would have been hired go wanting with no idea of why business has gone sour and hireing is so slow.


Can you really demonstrate that a 5% increase in taxation is a leanear effect and ould only increase the difficulty of starting a business by 5%? I think it is non linear elese we would all be doing it , we need these people , and we need not to hobble them.
Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: Xavier_Onassis on October 21, 2008, 05:53:43 PM

The value of a business is based on what it can earn in a year?

Also on what equipment it requires and owns.

=======================================================
A business is definitely valued by what it can earn.  The liquidation value is secondary.

I hardly think that any bank is going to loan Joe, or anyone 80% of the cost of the business Joe wants to buy. A construction loan to build a house on land the lender owns outright usually does not amount to 80%.
==========================================================
we need these people , and we need not to hobble them.

I suggest what we need is not a Joe the Plumber that will buy out his boss, Bob the Plumber, but a Joe the Plumber that will start his own business, and while he is at it, find a cheaper, more efficient way to plumb a house or root out a drain or whatever.

Before Joe buys out Bob, we have a plumbing company with Bob in charge.

After he buys out Bob, we still have the same plumbing company with Joe in charge, and Bob retired in Florida or somewhere else far from leaky pipes and sewage. There is no net gain because Joe has bought out Bob.
Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: Plane on October 21, 2008, 05:58:50 PM

The value of a business is based on what it can earn in a year?

Also on what equipment it requires and owns.

=======================================================
A business is definitely valued by what it can earn.  The liquidation value is secondary.

I hardly think that any bank is going to loan Joe, or anyone 80% of the cost of the business Joe wants to buy. A construction loan to build a house on land the lender owns outright usually does not amount to 80%.
==========================================================
we need these people , and we need not to hobble them.

I suggest what we need is not a Joe the Plumber that will buy out his boss, Bob the Plumber, but a Joe the Plumber that will start his own business, and while he is at it, find a cheaper, more efficient way to plumb a house or root out a drain or whatever.

Before Joe buys out Bob, we have a plumbing company with Bob in charge.

After he buys out Bob, we still have the same plumbing company with Joe in charge, and Bob retired in Florida or somewhere else far from leaky pipes and sewage. There is no net gain because Joe has bought out Bob.

Bob needs Joe , it is a part of his retirement plan.

This is why Bob can operate on a thin profit margin , reinvest a lot on his business and pay his loans off . He wants Joe to save and borrow enough to buy him out .If he could not do that, his retirement would require saveing a lot of cash , investing in a lot other than his business , failing to pay off his loans and getting out from under his business when it was time to retire allowing it to crash with his corporate debt.

A business is not worth more than any interested buyer can pay.
Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: Michael Tee on October 21, 2008, 06:04:04 PM
Joe IIRC was talking about his dream of BUYING the business.  That means it has a track record and a purchase price based on past earnings.

The business is worth what it's worth.  What you want me to believe is that if Joe won't buy that business because he's not happy with the after-tax earnings on the salary that he'll get from it, then nobody else will buy it either.  That's crap.  The likeliest outcome would be that Joe offers something less for the business because of the change in his potential after-tax net on salary from it, or that somebody else will buy it either for vendor's price or, like Joe, discounted to allow for the bigger tax bite on the personal salary generated by the business.

The business will continue, under Joe or another buyer.  As I tried to demonstrate before, the business will be driven to expand or if it doesn't, competitors will move into its existing customer base or the base of potential customers that the business foolishly declined to run after.  Either way the potential market will be served, whether the plumbers serving it work for Joe or other plumbing companies or just for themselves.  Employment will be maintained to the extent necessary to serve the total market.  Anyone not formerly taking in pre-tax income of $250K or more will be totally unaffected by the tax increase.  Others will have to decide whether to keep on working for a lesser after-tax take-home, or get out of the market to make way for those who will.

The net effect on employment is nil.

Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: Xavier_Onassis on October 21, 2008, 06:16:29 PM
Bob needs Joe , it is a part of his retirement plan.

This is why Bob can operate on a thin profit margin , reinvest a lot on his business and pay his loans off . He wants Joe to save and borrow enough to buy him out .If he could not do that, his retirement would require saveing a lot of cash , investing in a lot other than his business , failing to pay off his loans and getting out from under his business when it was time to retire allowing it to crash with his corporate debt.

A business is not worth more than any interested buyer can pay.

=====================================
First off, Bob (assuming there IS a Bob: we have heard nothing from Joe's employer, and probably never will) is not too bright if his strategy for retirement is to depend on just what he can sell his business for. Bob needs a much more diversified portfolio, because he could be sued, his company could be ruined by a building slump, or a dozen other events.

If Joe sees he cannot make it with the current tax rates, then Joe will offer less for the business, and so will all other intelligent buyers. Taxes are a part of doing business, just like the cost of rooter snakes, pipe dope and hard hats.

If I were a gambling man, which I am not, I would lay very good odds that Joe the Plumber is just a blowhard. We are witnessing the last few seconds of his fifteen minutes of fame. Soon he will join Willie Horton and the striving flag factory and the isles of Quemoy and Matsu-- the collective debris of useless campaign issues.
Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: Plane on October 21, 2008, 07:58:52 PM
Bob needs Joe , it is a part of his retirement plan.

This is why Bob can operate on a thin profit margin , reinvest a lot on his business and pay his loans off . He wants Joe to save and borrow enough to buy him out .If he could not do that, his retirement would require saveing a lot of cash , investing in a lot other than his business , failing to pay off his loans and getting out from under his business when it was time to retire allowing it to crash with his corporate debt.

A business is not worth more than any interested buyer can pay.

=====================================
First off, Bob (assuming there IS a Bob: we have heard nothing from Joe's employer, and probably never will) is not too bright if his strategy for retirement is to depend on just what he can sell his business for. Bob needs a much more diversified portfolio, because he could be sued, his company could be ruined by a building slump, or a dozen other events.

If Joe sees he cannot make it with the current tax rates, then Joe will offer less for the business, and so will all other intelligent buyers. Taxes are a part of doing business, just like the cost of rooter snakes, pipe dope and hard hats.

If I were a gambling man, which I am not, I would lay very good odds that Joe the Plumber is just a blowhard. We are witnessing the last few seconds of his fifteen minutes of fame. Soon he will join Willie Horton and the striving flag factory and the isles of Quemoy and Matsu-- the collective debris of useless campaign issues.


You should talk to MT, he assures me that raiseing the tax rates will bring greater competition into the feild becfause it will allow people to operate on a narrower profit margin.

Yes I am not sure I understood his point.

But a guy that operates on a narrow profit margin will indeed outcompete , but he will not build a lot of saveings, If he cannot sell his business he cannot retire. So he must either save and invest a lot of the profit rather then build the business if he hopes to retire (therefore he cannot stand a narrow profit margin), or perhaps never retire, which is presently my retirement plan.
Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: Xavier_Onassis on October 21, 2008, 08:47:12 PM
If he cannot sell his business he cannot retire.

OF COURSE he can retire. He sells the trucks and tools and retires. There is no requirement that anyone sell a business in order to retire.
=========================================================
or perhaps never retire, which is presently my retirement plan.

You appear to have rather a lot of spare time on your hands. Perhaps you are among the working retired.

Like the walking wounded, but less painful.

I am sure that the government has a nice pension for you, and then there is Social Security. You could be a double dipper.
Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: Michael Tee on October 21, 2008, 09:34:10 PM
<<You should talk to MT, he assures me that raiseing the tax rates will bring greater competition into the feild becfause it will allow people to operate on a narrower profit margin.

<<Yes I am not sure I understood his point.>>

My point was simple: there will always be a buyer for a business that can afford to pay its owner a pre-tax income of $250K or more.  There may be fewer buyers and/or a lower price offered if the business, thanks to tax hikes, provides a lower after-tax income than previously to its owner.  $250K is a hefty pre-tax income; I can imagine there are plenty of people who would happily bust their ass in their own business to earn half of that.  So if Joe the Plumber doesn't like the after-Obama after-tax income that this business will provide for him, fuck Joe the Plumber because Manuel the Plumber or Abdul the Plumber will be happy to scoop up whatever wasn't lucrative enough for Joe the Plumber.

The idea that raising the tax on personal incomes of over $250K will reduce employment is pure bullshit.  As long as the need exists, there will be work for those who can service it.

<<But a guy that operates on a narrow profit margin will indeed outcompete , but he will not build a lot of saveings>>

Let's get real, here, plane.  We're only talking about guys whose pre-tax earnings exceed $250K.  You're telling me that a guy who grosses $250K pre-tax WON'T BE ABLE TO SAVE ANYTHING?  Cry me a river, brother.  If he can't save on a gross pre-tax annual income of a quarter-mill or more, he needs his fucking head examined.

<< If he cannot sell his business he cannot retire. >>

A business that earns enough to pay its owner $250K per year in salary or dividends can't be sold?  You are kidding me, right?  This is some kind of joke?

<<So he must either save and invest a lot of the profit rather then build the business if he hopes to retire . . . >>

That's every businessman's dilemma - - plough back in for the future of the biz, or drain out now for the sake of retirement.  Most of them seem to find the right proportions.  If they have kids to leave the business to, it's a little easier. 

<< . . . (therefore he cannot stand a narrow profit margin) . . . >>

Whatever the profit margin, for anyone worried about Obama's tax plan, there's gotta be enough to pay the owner at least $250K a year; I don't know anyone in their right mind who would call that a "narrow profit margin" for a small business.

<< . . .  or perhaps never retire, which is presently my retirement plan.>>

Yeah, welcome to the club. 
Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: Plane on October 22, 2008, 12:41:47 AM
"...a business that can afford to pay its owner a pre-tax income of $250K or more. "


And an after tax income of what?

Yes it does make a diffrence , the after tax amount is what the buyer would really get and more tax makes the bargan less appealing and since most such buys are dome with loans , it makes the debt bigger and the loan last longer.

We are starting with the assumption that there is a wide profit margin , but this is not always so , a lot of businesses operate with narrow margins and the most marginal ones would be driven into the red by a tax the same width as their margin.
Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: Michael Tee on October 22, 2008, 01:07:43 AM
<<And an after tax income of what?>>

Probably over $125K, because you know the total tax won't go over 50%.

<<Yes it does make a diffrence , the after tax amount is what the buyer would really get and more tax makes the bargan less appealing and since most such buys are dome with loans , it makes the debt bigger and the loan last longer.>>

You're skipping from one point to another.  I was addressing the issue of whether raising the tax on those who earn $250K a year would make any difference to the overall employment situation, and I demonstrated that it would not.  You seem to be dealing with another issue entirely, which is whether Joe's purchase of his employer's business would be as attractive after the increase in tax.  Well of course it would not, and that's because there will be less net after-tax income for Joe.  That's a no-brainer.  It's unattractive to pay tax, period.  And if the owner of the business is gonna have to pay more tax on his personal income, of course it's more unattractive to the owner and to anyone who buys the business from him.

<<We are starting with the assumption that there is a wide profit margin . . . >>

No, we are not.  We are not discussing the business or its profit margin, because Obama's tax increase doesn't target small business.  It targets the personal income of the individual, including all individuals who own businesses and earn income from them.  The tax is on the individual's income from his business, which is usually either salary or dividends.  So we don't have to assume anything, because Obama has already told us where the tax starts - - at over $250K of personal income.  If the business doesn't have enough of a profit to pay the owner $250K or more, then we don't even have to discuss the circumstances, because the tax increase won't affect him.

<< . . .  but this is not always so , a lot of businesses operate with narrow margins and the most marginal ones would be driven into the red by a tax the same width as their margin.>>

You obviously misunderstand the tax proposed.  In the situation you are describing, neither the tax on the business' earnings nor the tax on its owner's earnings would be affected by the tax increase proposed by Obama.
Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: Plane on October 22, 2008, 01:35:14 AM

You're skipping from one point to another.  I was addressing the issue of whether raising the tax on those who earn $250K a year would make any difference to the overall employment situation, and I demonstrated that it would not. 

Not really , the tax is out of the funds availible for new hires so it certainly reduces the potential for new hireing.

Joe's ambition to own his own business is slowed by paying taxes , more taxes slow him more , at some point the taxes cross the margin at which he will never be able to buy the business , and at an even greater point it crosses the point at which he would be unable to build it himself.

Kennedy reduced Taxes a lot and the effects were terriffic , why is this forgettable?
Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: Michael Tee on October 22, 2008, 02:04:50 AM
<<Not really , the tax is out of the funds availible for new hires so it certainly reduces the potential for new hireing.>>

? ? ?   The TAX is on Joe's earnings from the business.  The more the business spends on new hires, the less money there is for Joe's salary and/or dividends, and the less Joe's annual income.  Once the annual income dips to $250K or less, there is no tax increase for Joe at all.  If he DOESN'T hire new people, there's more money to pay Joe, and he will be taxed at the higher rate, unless he chooses not to distribute some of the profits to himself, leaves it in the company and keeps his income under $250K (but then can't access the funds for his own use.)

<<Joe's ambition to own his own business is slowed by paying taxes , more taxes slow him more , at some point the taxes cross the margin at which he will never be able to buy the business  . . . >>

Haven't we already been through this?  If JOE is too fucking greedy to work for $250K before taxes, SOMEBODY ELSE will be all too happy to work for $250K before taxes, even if this year it won't net him as much after tax as it did the year before.  From a $250K annual income, regardless of the tax on it, there will be plenty left over to support somebody (maybe not Greedy Joe) very nicely.  It's really Joe's choice to buy or not to buy - - somebody else will jump at the chance if he passes, maybe paying less because Joe backed out.

 <<and at an even greater point it crosses the point at which he would be unable to build it himself.>>

Joe won't bother to build a business which could earn him up to $250K in pre-tax annual earnings WITH ABSOLUTELY NO TAX INCREASE to contend with?  Well, fuck Joe!  Plenty of other plumbers would jump at the chance.  WILL jump at the chance.  Not everybody needs $250K per year just to live on.

<<Kennedy reduced Taxes a lot and the effects were terriffic , why is this forgettable?>>

I think you also forgot the circumstances in which JFK was able to reduce taxes - - the U.S. in the wake of WWII was still swimming in unprecedented prosperity, with the biggest share of the world's export trade that it has ever enjoyed.  You didn't see a single Asian car on American roads, gas and everything else was relatively cheap and the demand for consumer goods, pent up during the war, had been making everyone rich.  You may have noticed, today times aren't so good.  You've got a half-trillion dollar deficit and the costs of the Iraq war, although deferred, will have to be paid at some point, in the total sum of $3 trillion.  Your balance-of-payments situation is pretty sick, you're a net borrower, not a net creditor . . .    Must I go on?
Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: BT on October 22, 2008, 07:04:50 AM
Quote
I think you also forgot the circumstances in which JFK was able to reduce taxes - - the U.S. in the wake of WWII was still swimming in unprecedented prosperity, with the biggest share of the world's export trade that it has ever enjoyed.

You once again shoot from the hip.

Kennedy took over during a recession.

Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: Amianthus on October 22, 2008, 07:25:46 AM
I was addressing the issue of whether raising the tax on those who earn $250K a year would make any difference to the overall employment situation, and I demonstrated that it would not.

You haven't "demonstrated" anything; you stated an opinion as if it were fact.

You did the same thing when minimum wage increases were being debated a while back, and the facts are in on that - employment at the low end (where the minimum wage jobs are) is down. Even before the current financial meltdown.
Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: Plane on October 22, 2008, 07:55:47 AM
You may have noticed, today times aren't so good.  You've got a half-trillion dollar deficit and the costs of the Iraq war, although deferred, will have to be paid at some point, in the total sum of $3 trillion.  Your balance-of-payments situation is pretty sick, you're a net borrower, not a net creditor . . .    Must I go on?


What part of this is a higher tax suppose to help?
Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: Xavier_Onassis on October 22, 2008, 09:11:47 AM
What part of this is a higher tax suppose to help?
==========================================

If you owe more on a credit card than you earn, and then you get a raise, what part of your raise helps your debt situation?

Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: Xavier_Onassis on October 22, 2008, 09:13:25 AM
Kennedy reduced Taxes a lot and the effects were terriffic , why is this forgettable?

Okay, let's set taxe rates for individuals and corporations just where JFK set them.

They would be higher for everyone than where they are now.
Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: Michael Tee on October 22, 2008, 10:55:07 AM
<<Kennedy took over during a recession. >>

Yeah but "the fundamentals of the economy were strong."

The U.S. was in much better shape then than it is now.  Balance of payments and trade, relative lack of foreign competition.
Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: richpo64 on October 22, 2008, 11:48:37 AM
>>Yeah but "the fundamentals of the economy were strong."<<

As they are now. According to Barney Frank anyway.
Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: Xavier_Onassis on October 22, 2008, 12:12:35 PM
Yeah but "the fundamentals of the economy were strong."<<

As they are now. According to Barney Frank anyway.

===================================
That is what McCain said, just before he said the opposite.
SOME fundamentals are strong, others are not.

Americans still work longer hours and get fewer benefits from increases in productivity than anyone else in the first world, they get fewer days of vacation, and they have a lot more difficulty getting a union to represent them.

Financial institutions, on the other hand, pay their execs huge salaries for screwing things up.
Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: _JS on October 22, 2008, 12:38:50 PM
I was addressing the issue of whether raising the tax on those who earn $250K a year would make any difference to the overall employment situation, and I demonstrated that it would not.

You haven't "demonstrated" anything; you stated an opinion as if it were fact.

You did the same thing when minimum wage increases were being debated a while back, and the facts are in on that - employment at the low end (where the minimum wage jobs are) is down. Even before the current financial meltdown.

And were they trending down before?

Job growth (loss) studies have been mixed on minimum wage. I explained this to Plane, though he refused to let go of HS economics. Many studies in the 1990's showed a marked increase in job growth, wages, and profit after the minimum wage increases at the state level and the federal increase.
Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: Michael Tee on October 22, 2008, 12:43:01 PM
<<Americans still work longer hours and get fewer benefits from increases in productivity than anyone else in the first world, they get fewer days of vacation, and they have a lot more difficulty getting a union to represent them.>>

This is all true, but most of the poor saps don't even know it.  Their MSM hardly mentions the subject and the percentage of the working class that are union members is way down from its peak level which was probably in the 1940s or 1950s.

It's really interesting to me how all the supposed "frontier values" of hard work and self-reliance have been skillfully mobilized and turned against the working class by their exploiters and the poor dumb schmucks don't even know how they're being fucked over.

This morning on the "Your Money" segment of CNN, this Heidi Collins or Kollins babe was interviewing some expert on the economy and/or the election and they got onto the topic of how Americans tend to vote their pocketbooks and so how the economy has become the dominant issue in the election and fear (of hard times) the dominant emotion, and the guy made the interesting point that in Europe, where they have real socialists often in power, the electorate is a lot less fear-driven even in bad times, because of the government safety net - - they have free medical care, if they want to send their kids to university, all the kids need to do is pass the entrance exams, the tuition is taken care of by the government, and subsidized low-income housing is freely available. 

Yet the MSM has the U.S. public so terrified of "socialism" that mere mention of the word is enough to end the discussion.  Anything that looks like socialism is "bad."  These poor dopes are brainwashed better than Pavlov's dogs.
Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: richpo64 on October 22, 2008, 02:15:43 PM
>>Americans still work longer hours and get fewer benefits from increases in productivity than anyone else in the first world, they get fewer days of vacation, and they have a lot more difficulty getting a union to represent them.<<

I suppose Bush invented this? Oh, it must of been Cheney.  ::)

This media driven mania about the state of the economy serves one purpose, scaring people into voting for the Messiah Barry O. Barney Frank admitted as much. He's looking forward to being able to spend, spend, spend when Barry turns the bowling alley into a basketball court. Then he's said they'll just tax those rich folks more to pay for it.
Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: Plane on October 22, 2008, 06:15:46 PM
<<Kennedy took over during a recession. >>

Yeah but "the fundamentals of the economy were strong."

The U.S. was in much better shape then than it is now.  Balance of payments and trade, relative lack of foreign competition.

So when our economy is weaker it needs more taxation ?

That seems like prescribeing leeches for anemia.
Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: Michael Tee on October 22, 2008, 08:35:08 PM
<<So when our economy is weaker it needs more taxation ?>>

No, when your treasury is approaching the "empty" mark it needs more money.

<<That seems like prescribeing leeches for anemia.>>

It's more like prescribing a transfusion to a guy who's lost 50% of his blood.
Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: Plane on October 22, 2008, 09:49:41 PM
<<So when our economy is weaker it needs more taxation ?>>

No, when your treasury is approaching the "empty" mark it needs more money.

<<That seems like prescribeing leeches for anemia.>>

It's more like prescribing a transfusion to a guy who's lost 50% of his blood.

The economy is not the government.
Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: BT on October 22, 2008, 10:40:48 PM
Quote
The U.S. was in much better shape then than it is now.  Balance of payments and trade, relative lack of foreign competition.

No there was a recession in 58-59 then again in 60-61.

The economy had a cold it couldn't shake.

And an unemployed steelworker during a recession could give a damn about balance of trade and payments.

He wants food on the table
Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: Michael Tee on October 22, 2008, 11:08:40 PM
<<No there was a recession in 58-59 then again in 60-61.>>

The analysis is pathetically thin on facts.  The fundamentals of the economy would include such things as the productive capabilities of America's manufacturing plant, relative to those of the rest of the world, which is basically the ability of America to satisfy world markets, the relative abilities of America's former competitors (the U.K., Japan, the member countries of what later became the E.U.) to satisfy world markets and the ability of the U.S. to compete with other industrialized nations for the raw materials of the Third World, among other things.  Foreign currency reserves, the strength of the dollar, dollar reserves and other factors. 

All those factors and probably others that I overlooked would constitute the fundamentals of the American economy.  I am not an economist but I'd bet that the fundamentals of the U.S. economy were a lot stronger in 1961 when JFK took office than they are now.  The factors that might be favourable to a tax cut in 1961 are NOT the factors that you would find in today's U.S. economy. 

However, Obama is not proposing an across-the-board tax hike anyway, only a hike for those who earn over $250K per year - - a very SMALL portion of the American people.

<<And an unemployed steelworker during a recession could give a damn about balance of trade and payments.

<<He wants food on the table>>

Geeze.  Maybe I missed something here.  Is Obama now proposing a tax hike for unemployed steelworkers?  Or maybe unemployed steelworkers earn more that I thought they earned - - something like $250K per year?

Back in the real world, the unemployed steelworker has about as much to complain about from Obama's tax hikes as Joe the Plumber - - which is to say, zero, zip, nada.  And with the tax on the rich that Obama is proposing, there should be enough to buy burgers and chips for the unemployed steelworkers AND fish on Fridays.
Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: BT on October 22, 2008, 11:15:56 PM
Quote
The analysis is pathetically thin on facts.

Take that up with those that declare recessions.

And who cares what Obama does if elected.

Whatever he does he will be held accountable for the results.

He'll be in the center ring. No Bush to run against. Vagueness and bumperstickers just won't do.

And if he screws up the pendulum will swing back again.

Obla di Obla da


Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: Michael Tee on October 22, 2008, 11:25:50 PM
<<He'll be in the center ring. No Bush to run against. Vagueness and bumperstickers just won't do. >>

ROTFLMFAO - - THIS from a supporter of the guy who blames Clinton for an attack which took place wholly on HIS watch.
Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: BT on October 23, 2008, 07:45:06 AM
Quote
ROTFLMFAO - - THIS from a supporter of the guy who blames Clinton for an attack which took place wholly on HIS watch.

Whne did Bush blame Clunton?

And the attack didn't take place wholly on his watch, planning, training, entry into the country all took place prior to Bush taking office.

Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: Michael Tee on October 23, 2008, 08:23:41 AM
<<Whne did Bush blame Clunton?>>

You're probably right, so I'll amend that:  whose supporters blame it on Clinton.  As evidenced by the following remark.

<<And the attack didn't take place wholly on his watch, planning, training, entry into the country all took place prior to Bush taking office.>>

By any standard of reasoning the attack took place on September 11, 2001, somewhere between Bush's inauguration and the last day of his first term.  On his watch.  When he and he alone could easily have prevented it.  But did not.
Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: BT on October 23, 2008, 10:12:36 AM
Quote
By any standard of reasoning the attack took place on September 11, 2001, somewhere between Bush's inauguration and the last day of his first term.  On his watch.  When he and he alone could easily have prevented it.  But did not.


I suggest you amend your tactics now. That mindset will no be useful to you if Obama wins and you are tasked with defending the indefensible.

9-11 was not a static event. It was the accumulation of all the events that occurred prior to its successful implementation.

You argument is the equivalent of saying Nixon should get all the credit for landing a man on the moon. Because it happened on his watch.

Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: Xavier_Onassis on October 23, 2008, 10:22:09 AM
9-11 was not a static event. It was the accumulation of all the events that occurred prior to its successful implementation.

You argument is the equivalent of saying Nixon should get all the credit for landing a man on the moon. Because it happened on his watch.


=======================================================
Landing on the moon is not really the same as catching Al Qaeda before the attack. The moon landing was an entirely plannable event. Preventing an Al Qaeda attack would have required planning for various unknown contingencies. Plannng to DO something is not the same as planning to AVOID something.

Clinton was seriously distracted during mos of his presidency by those bogus impeachment hearings and all the other vile manipulations by DeLay, Gingrich, Armey and others, who only wanted him to fail.

Delay caused a near-total shutdown of the government over the rather useless Teri Shiver incident. I think that President Obama will be faced with similar blockages. With luck, Mitch McConnell will lose. He's a major threat to any positive action, but they will find others.
Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: BT on October 23, 2008, 12:08:13 PM
Quote
The moon landing was an entirely plannable event.

So was 9-11.

Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: Xavier_Onassis on October 23, 2008, 12:17:09 PM
So was 9-11.


Planning it was done by Al Qaeda, just like the moon landing was planned by NASA.

Planning to prevent it, when the time, place and method were unknown, is a much more difficult thing to do. That was my point. It would have taken Juniorbush no longer and no more talent than it would have taken Clinton. As the 9-11 commission report said, the administration was warned, and ignored the warnings.

It was reasonable to expect that the WTC would be a target. It was also reasonable to expect terrorists to use commercial passenger aircraft. It was reasonable to assume that there were Saudis in the US overstaying their visas. It was reasonable to assume that some Saudis were fanatics. There were precedents for all of this. But the missing elements were how and when, and despite the warnings, not enough.

Clinton could have had a plan in place, and Bush's people could have ignored it.

Bush's people could have figured it out, but did not.
Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: Michael Tee on October 23, 2008, 12:28:16 PM
The only validity in the case that BT is attempting to make is that both Clinton and Bush were equally culpable in failing to prevent the attacks.

However, Bush was the incumbent and just as he would have taken the credit for foiling an attack, even if the preparatory intelligence work had been done during Clinton's administration, so must he take the blame for the attack which occurred on his watch.

He was the man in charge, he is to blame for the disaster.  Otherwise, you could trace the beginnings of this all the way back to Cain and Abel.
Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: Xavier_Onassis on October 23, 2008, 01:15:14 PM
You can't really argue with that.

Didn't Reagan get credit for the Iran hostages returning about ten seconds after he took the oath of orifice?
Title: Re: Four Freedoms
Post by: Plane on October 23, 2008, 04:35:23 PM
You can't really argue with that.

Didn't Reagan get credit for the Iran hostages returning about ten seconds after he took the oath of orifice?

Not from Reagan , The new President made certain that the outgoing President was there to greet the returning hostages.

The Iranians probly did consider the effect on American unity in releaseing them after Carters retirement , but they probly did not expect it to be strengthened.