3383
« on: December 09, 2006, 08:39:53 AM »
As best I can determine, the situation in Iraq is such that no matter when we pull troops out, Iraq will be ripe for influence from Iran, leaving Iran in a position of political leadership for the entire Middle East. Other than doing to Iran what we did to Iraq, I see no way to stop this from occurring. Leaving Iraq may result in a dramatic rise in urban warfare regardless of whether Iraqis are trained as security forces. And we have no guarantee that the political constructs we have orchestrated there will remain long enough to establish the political stability in Iraq that we desire. The whole thing is a mess.
I think we are short-sighted if we try to make this about President Bush's personal interest. Certainly that will play into the situation, but his is not the only interest involved. There are the interests of the insurgents, the members of the Iraqi government, the President and Prime Minister of Iraq in particular, and the President of Iran. So even if Bush's personal interest could be taken out of the equation, I have doubts that would lead us to an amicable resolution of events.