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106
3DHS / An Overseas Perspective
« on: November 08, 2006, 12:48:22 PM »
Two articles from the Guardian:

Americans should be proud
Simon Jenkins
November 8, 2006 02:43 PM

Link

The ugly American mark two is dead. Overnight six years of glib European identification of "American" with right-wing fundamentalism is over. The gun-toting, pre-Darwinian Bushite, the Tomahawk-wielding, Halliburton-loving, Beltway neo-con, damning abortion as murder and torturing Islamo-fascists has been lain to rest, and by a decision of the American people. Americans should be proud and the world should take note.

Yesterday's result could hardly have been more emphatic. George Bush's election wizard, Karl Rove, said he would make America's midterm elections "a choice not a referendum". He would ask them to choose a congress not vote on his boss. The electorate did both. In a high turnout the majority rejected the tenets of the religious right and of "big government" neo-conservativism. They expressed concern over the corruption and warmongering of Washington and the state of their economy in Bush's hands. For the Republicans there were no consolations.

The new congress is mandated to press ahead with a higher minimum wage, an end to pork-barrel budgeting, immigrant amnesty, energy conservation, stem cell research and radical changes to the drugs bill and welfare generally.

Most of these may fall by the wayside, but they have behind them the winds of a mandate. Congress must find a way of curbing Bush's uncontrolled federal expenditure if a new Democrat president after 2008 is not to endure agonies of retrenchment. Whether Bush will decide to cooperate with such change in the hope of rescuing his floundering presidency is up to him. Certainly the only Republican of any stature, the war sceptic Senator John McCain, seems disinclined to help him.

A CNN exit poll of swing issues put Iraq, terrorism, the economy and corruption of equal concern to voters, with the Republicans scoring badly on them all. The politics of fear has now lost its post-9/11 traction. Republicans mouthing dire threats of "islamo-fascists" under every bed are scorned. The most ferocious ad I saw had a solitary figure on any empty set telling Americans that they had become less popular round the world, that terrorism had become worse, that Americans were less safe, that gasoline was more expensive and Osama bin laden was still free - all because of one thing, "the war in Iraq".

Over 60 per cent of electors want American troops withdrawn now or soon. The White House ran on a "pro-victory" ticket and lost. Yesterday's reports from Baghdad indicated widespread expectation and relief that American policy in that country is about to change. The American military is known to want to leave and Iraqis, whether those in power welcome it or not, sense the occupation is de facto over. At such a moment insurgency knows it has won, however long it takes the occupying power to go. Retreat becomes the only option. A wretched era of American interventionism has come to an end. A new day has dawned.

America has spoken
Martin Kettle
November 8, 2006 05:18 AM

Link

America has spoken, George Bush told the nation this morning two years ago, and it had given him its trust and his confidence. He would continue his policies at home and abroad, buoyed by the public's endorsement. Now, two years further on, America has spoken again - but this time in a very different tone and with the opposite conclusion, issuing a direct warning to the leader it re-elected 24 months ago to change his policy in Iraq. The cheering can be heard not just in America itself but around the planet.

So the big question this morning and over the coming weeks and months is this: which George Bush will respond to the American voters' verdict in the 2006 midterms? Will it be the same apparently humble and responsive president who said he heard the popular verdict in 2004 and would act on it? Or will it be a defiant president, who opts to spend his final two years in office in conflict with the new legislature that Americans have chosen to represent them?

If Vice-President Dick Cheney is any guide, these will be two years of defiance. Speaking in Colorado Springs last Saturday, Cheney announced that the administration would continue "full steam ahead" with its policy in Iraq, irrespective of the results of yesterday's elections. "It may not be popular with the public," he told ABC News. "It doesn't matter, in the sense that we have to continue what he think is right. That's exactly what we're doing. We're not running for office. We're doing what we think is right."

Not a good start. But the Bush administration has never had to practice either humility or compromise before. For the past six years, it has had a Republican Congress on its side. But not any longer. Now it has to adapt or die. Last night, largely because of Iraq, the Democrats finally brought an end to the most partisan period of Republican legislative rule in modern American history. The tide of the Gingrich revolution which swept in in 1994 was swept back out yesterday, 12 years later. It is far too early to say whether this represents the final eclipse of the moral, fiscal and ideological conservatism of the last dozen years. But that often brutal conservatism has at last been pushed back at the federal level. This is therefore a historic moment in American domestic politics.

The loss of the House of Representatives was a decisive one, towards the upper end of Democratic expectations signalled by recent polls. The Republican House seats tumbled as predicted in many states - Indiana, Kentucky, Connecticut, New York, Florida and Colorado among them. The likely failure, at the time of writing, to recapture the Senate was of a piece with that result. The Democrats did very well there nevertheless, capturing Senate seats in Ohio, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, edging close to victory in Montana and Virginia, and fighting off serious challenges in Maryland and New Jersey. But with Republicans battling hard to hold on in Missouri and Tennessee, the distant prospect of a Democratic double victory looked to be just out of reach.

Many conservatives will be in denial about these results this morning. They will be as angry in defeat as they have so often been angry in victory. They will try to dismiss them as a poor performance, falling short of Democratic expectations and thus in some bizarre way a vindication of the administration. But these elections have been a decisive rebuff not just to the president but also to the arrogance that has increasingly been the hallmark of both the Bush administration and the Republican congressional leadership.

Ugly triumphalism has been a central feature of the past dozen years. Too many Republicans have too often spoken and behaved as though their earlier electoral victories entitled them to ride roughshod over the very idea that large numbers of Americans passionately disagreed with their approach. The redistricting on which these elections have been fought was a case in point - a blatant gerrymander designed to prevent ethnic minorities and liberals from being properly represented in Washington. Rightly or wrongly, the new Democratic masters on Congress will be looking for some payback here.

As the results of the 2006 midterms begin to settle in, American politics will seamlessly move on to the next contest. The 2008 presidential stakes will get under way before Christmas, with John McCain announcing his bid for the Republican nomination and a clutch of other Republicans - Mitt Romney, Chuck Hagel, Bill Frist and Rudi Giuliani among them - all preparing to challenge him. On the Democratic side the big questions concern Hillary Clinton's real determination to stand (her husband has been telling friends that a run is by no means certain) and whether Barack Obama will try to translate his current wave of popularity into a White House run which many believe would be premature. This is not a revolutionary moment. Many of the Democrats who ousted Republicans in the House yesterday are strong moderates. Do not expect any important Democrat to stray very far from the centre-ground for the next two years.

In the final analysis this was, by common consent, an electoral defeat for George Bush and for his Iraq war. Nothing matters more to the world than for America to find and follow a new path in its relations with the nations with which it shares the planet. A planned withdrawal from Iraq is central to that necessary project and has been made likelier by these elections. Yet no one should delude themselves into imagining that the change of direction will be sudden, decisive or easy. Bush is a lame-duck president presiding over an unpopular war - yet it remains to be seen whether he will either wish or be forced into a reversal of the Iraq policy. Perhaps Donald Rumsfeld will ask to step down -- as the gossip in Washington has it that he will. America has indeed spoken. A new direction, the Democrats' cliche du jour, is the clear message. Bush would be mad not to listen. But the Iraq agony is not going to end any time soon.


107
3DHS / More Political Fallout
« on: November 03, 2006, 11:14:39 AM »
Top evangelist resigns over gay sex claims

Mark Tran
Friday November 3, 2006

Guardian Unlimited

The Republican party today was assessing the potential political fallout from a sex scandal that has forced one of America's most influential evangelical Christians to resign.
The Rev Ted Haggard, who is married with five children, stepped down yesterday as head of the 30 million-member National Association of Evangelicals and as senior pastor of the New Life church in Colorado Springs, Colorado, after being accused of paying for sex with a male escort.

He has denied the accusation, but said in a statement on the New Life church website that he could "not continue to minister under the cloud created by the accusations ... I hope to be able to discuss this matter in more detail at a later date. In the interim, I will seek both spiritual advice and guidance".

Named by Time Magazine as among the "25 most influential evangelicals in America", Mr Haggard reportedly talks regularly with President George Bush or his advisors. He was credited with encouraging Christians to vote for Mr Bush in his 2004 re-election.

For the Republicans, who are fighting to retain control of Congress in next Tuesday's midterm vote, Mr Haggard's resignation is at the very least an unwelcome distraction.

The pastor supported a proposed amendment to the Colorado constitution, that will be on next week's ballot, defining marriage as between a man and a woman, a "wedge issue" with which the Republicans hope to galvanise their supporters.

Voters in Colorado and seven other states are to vote on proposals banning gay marriage next week. Besides the proposed ban on the Colorado ballot, a separate measure would establish the legality of domestic partnerships, providing same-sex couples with many of the rights of married couples.

After the state of Massachusetts legalised gay marriage in 2004, Mr Haggard and others began organising state-by-state opposition. Last year, he and other Christians announced plans to push Colorado's gay marriage ban for the 2006 ballot.

At the time, Mr Haggard said that he believed marriage was a union between a man and woman rooted in centuries of tradition, and cited research saying it was the best family unit for children.

The allegations against Mr Haggard surfaced this week when Mike Jones, 49, told a Denver radio station that the pastor paid him to have sex nearly every month over three years. Mr Jones also said Mr Haggard snorted the drug methamphetamine before their sexual encounters, to heighten his experience.

Mr Jones, who says he is gay, told the Associated Press he decided to go public because he was upset when he discovered Mr Haggard and the New Life church had publicly opposed same-sex marriage.

"It made me angry that here's someone preaching about gay marriage and going behind the scenes having gay sex," Mr Jones said, adding that he was not working for any political group.

Mr Haggard has also taken to the airwaves to reject the accusations.

"I've never had a gay relationship with anyone," he said this week. "I'm steady with my wife. I'm faithful to my wife."

"Homosexual activity, like adulterous relationships, is clearly condemned in the Scriptures," the evangelicals' association says on its website. It claims the Bible says homosexuality is a sin that "brings grave consequences in this life and excludes one from the Kingdom of God".

Jerry Falwell, a prominent conservative Christian and Republican party loyalist, sought to play down Mr Haggard's importance.

"He (Haggard) doesn't really lead the (evangelical) movement. ... He is the president of an association that is very loosely knit and I've never been a member of it," Mr Falwell told CNN.

Guardian Unlimited © Guardian News and Media Limited 2006

108
3DHS / Bloody Kansas
« on: November 01, 2006, 01:10:47 PM »
Quote
Why our shift?
Steve Rose
Chairman
The Johnson County Sun
October 5, 2006

This is a sneak preview.

As we prepare ourselves to make political endorsements in subsequent issues, I can tell you unequivocally that this newspaper has never endorsed so many Democrats. Not even close.

In the 56 years we have been publishing in Johnson County, this basically has been a Republican newspaper. In the old days, before the Republican civil war that fractured the party, we were traditional Republicans. That is, we happily endorsed Jan Meyers for Congress, Bob Dole for U.S. Senate, Nancy Kassebaum for U.S. Senate; virtually every Republican state legislator from here, with a few rare exceptions; and most governors, although we did endorse the conservative Democrats George and Bob Docking and John Carlin.

The point is, I can name on two hands over a half century the number of Democrats we have endorsed for public office.

This year, we will do something different. You will read why we are endorsing Kathleen Sebelius for governor and Mark Parkinson for lieutenant governor; Dennis Moore to be re-elected to the U.S. Congress; Paul Morrison for Kansas attorney general; and a slew of local Democratic state legislative candidates. These are not liberal Democrats. They are what fairly can be described as conservative Democrats, and we can prove that in our forthcoming endorsements.

But I could not help but put in perspective a more global phenomenon that has led us to re-evaluate our traditional support for Republicans.

This change may come as no surprise to our most cynical conservative readers who would dismiss me (and others on the editorial board) as being a moderate Republican and, therefore, the same as a Democrat. To them, there is no difference.
 
But the shift, frankly, shocks me, because I have pulled the lever over and over since my first vote in 1968 for Republicans. If I was a closet Democrat, I must have hidden it well, especially from myself, since I always beat up on Democrats in my columns. I have called them leftists, socialists, and every other name in the book, because I thought they were flat-out wrong.

And, for the most part, I still do. I am opposed to big government. I have little use for unions. I never liked the welfare plans. I am opposed to weak-kneed defense policies. I have always been for fiscal prudence. I think back to the policies of most Democrats, and I cringe.

So, what in the world has happened?

The Republican Party has changed, and it has changed monumentally.

You almost cannot be a victorious traditional Republican candidate with mainstream values in Johnson County or in Kansas anymore, because these candidates never get on the ballot in the general election. They lose in low turnout primaries, where the far right shows up to vote in disproportionate numbers.

To win a Republican primary, the candidate must move to the right.

What does to-the-right mean?

It means anti-public education, though claiming to support it.

It means weak support of our universities, while praising them.

It means anti-stem cell research.

It means ridiculing global warming.

It means gay bashing. Not so much gay marriage, but just bashing gays.

It means immigrant bashing. I'm talking about the viciousness.

It means putting religion in public schools. Not just prayer.

It means mocking evolution and claiming it is not science.

It means denigrating even abstinence-based sex education.

Note, I did not say it means "anti-abortion," because I do not find that position repugnant, at all. I respect that position.

But everything else adds up to priorities that have nothing to do with the Republican Party I once knew.

That's why, in the absence of so-called traditional Republican candidates, the choice comes down to right-wing Republicans or conservative Democrats.

And now you know why we have been forced to move left.



109
3DHS / Iraq Chaos?
« on: November 01, 2006, 01:03:37 PM »
Pentagon admits extent of Iraq disorder

Mark Tran
Wednesday November 1, 2006

Guardian Unlimited

The US military has confirmed Iraq is close to chaos, in a classified briefing prepared just two weeks ago, which gives a stark assessment of the country.

With Iraq the overriding issue for voters in the elections to Congress, the grim portrayal from the US Central Command, which has responsibility for the Middle East, can only provide further ammunition for Democrats in the last few days of campaigning before next Tuesday's vote.

The polls indicate that the Democrats will gain the 15 seats needed to retake control of the House of Representatives, which the Republicans have controlled since 1994. The Senate, where the Democrats need six seats is more of long shot.

The classified briefing, obtained by the New York Times, features a colour-coded bar chart, showing the rapidly deteriorating situation in Iraq. The bar is green at one end, signifying peace, red at the other signifying chaos. The current indicator is practically in the red area.

The briefing contains a summary that includes phrases such as "urban areas experiencing 'ethnic cleansing' campaigns to consolidate control" and "violence at all-time high, spreading geographically."

The Pentagon cites increasing activity by militias and the ineffectiveness of Iraqi government security forces, which in some cases have been infiltrated by the very militias they are supposed to be fighting. The slide notes that "ineffectual" Iraqi police forces have also been a significant problem, and cites sectarian conflicts between Iraqi security forces.

The US has shown signs of increasing impatience with the Iraqi security forces and the Iraqi prime minister, Nuri al-Maliki, for failing to curb the sectarian violence. In a move that threatens to further strain his relations with the White House, Mr Maliki yesterday ordered a stop to joint US-Iraqi checkpoints around the Shia militant stronghold of Sadr city and other parts of Baghdad.

There are some bright spots in the Pentagon briefing which said "hostile rhetoric" by political and religious leaders had not increased. It also noted that Iraqi security forces were refusing less often to take orders from the central government and that there had been a drop in mass desertions. Iraq remains the dominant issue for voters and still favours the Democrats, a poll showed today, with less than a week to the midterm elections.

The latest Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll shows president George Bush benefiting from a strong economy with 46% of voters approving his economic record and 48% disapproving, a big gain from 39% approval and 56% disapproval in June.

But the Iraq war continues to dog Mr Bush and the Republicans. Most voters (36%) say Iraq is the most important issue in the election and 52% want Democrats rather Republicans to control Congress compared to 37% in favour of the Republicans. The margin matches the widest ever recorded on this question in a Journal/NBC poll.

The survey of 1,010 registered voters conducted from October 28-30, does not take into account the vagaries of races for individual Senate seats or House districts and the Republicans still have several factors in their favour in the House. The Republicans can count on the power of incumbency, district boundaries drawn to favour them and an efficient get-out-the-vote machine. They could also benefit from the resurgence of "moral values" as an issue.

Republicans have sought to make political capital of last week's New Jersey supreme court decision that same-sex couples should enjoy the same rights and benefits in the state as heterosexual married couples. But the pivotal issue for voters remains Iraq.

Guardian Unlimited © Guardian News and Media Limited 2006

110
3DHS / Losing Faith
« on: October 30, 2006, 05:00:24 PM »
Guardian Unlimited: Arts blog - books
Why I've lost faith in Richard Dawkins
Michael Dibdin
October 30, 2006

A recent book called The God Delusion addresses one of the key issues of our time - does Richard Dawkins exist, and if so how does he manifest himself to us? For my part, I truly believe that Dawkins has appeared to me at traditional places of worship such as Hay-on-Wye, Cheltenham and Edinburgh. Hundreds of my fellow pilgrims affirmed that they had also witnessed the apparition, but such evidence cannot be regarded as conclusive. We're only too well aware of the human capacity for mass hysteria, particularly considering how long it took to get served at the bar.

Others have appealed to the canonical texts as proof not only of Dawkins' existence but also the dual modalities of his being. For most believers, he is the charming, articulate media don who so loved the world that he gave his only begotten books over to explaining evolution in terms even you could understand. It is indeed a challenging test of faith to reconcile this Dawkins with the fire-and-brimstone authoritarian given to smiting the heathen and heretics such as Stephen Jay Gould, who interpret the Darwinian commandments in a revisionist form, thundering, "Thou shalt have no other gods before meme."

It's hard to know what to believe, but the basic argument will be familiar to anyone who has ever been doorstepped by proselytising atheists. The evolution of the species and the origins of the universe are now essentially understood and agreed upon by the competent authorities. Belief in any God is therefore almost certainly false and quite certainly redundant. Even if such a being did exist, it would be an irrelevance, a Holy Ghost in the machine. To adapt Whistler's retort to the woman who compared him to Velazquez, why drag God into it? Worse still, religious belief, like so many addictions, is not only foolish, but bad. Just look at all the horrors that have been perpetrated in its name. Now contemplate the infinite wonders of a God-free universe. Enjoy!

Okay, here's an equally trite response. Try telling the victims of Hitler, Stalin, Mao and Pol Pot that the world would be a better place if it were run by atheists. Try telling Samuel Beckett he should be happy to be here. Compare Edward Gibbon's cynical view that the various forms of worship in the Roman empire "were all considered by the people as equally true, by the philosopher as equally false, and by the magistrate as equally useful". Unless Dawkins can demonstrate that religious believers necessarily and consistently behave worse than anyone else - and he can't - then on this point his case collapses.

As regards belief, we now pretty much know which neuron receptors fire when you kiss your lover. The facts are not in dispute, but between that knowledge and your experience lies an explanatory abyss. The same applies to Dawkins' much-touted memetics, one of those theoretical retrofits that are unverifiable, non-predictive and exist solely to prop up an academic discipline, in this case evolutionary psychology, and the funding that comes with it. But neurological research is at least real science, while the tautological loop offered by memetics - roughly, nothing succeeds like success - is equally unhelpful at explaining why you love this person rather than that one, or the one over there. And if memes can't explain your experience, they can't explain it away, any more than they can what William James called the religious experience. You either have it or you don't, but if you do then no amount of argument is going to persuade to the contrary, any more than those "I don't know what you see in her" comments will persuade you that you aren't in love.

But Dawkins' real target is not God, or even the majority of religious believers; rather, it is the disproportionately powerful community of single-issue American fundamentalists who are trying to have intelligent design, the con-artist formerly known as creationism, put on the high school curriculum. Academics are notoriously territorial, and Dawkins' habitat is under threat from an invasive species and he feels an instinctive urge to defend it. Fair enough, but he's botched the job.

Intelligent design is a mordantly ironical term since the whole hoax is founded not on the G word but the S word: stoopid. PJ O'Rourke wrote of the Bible belt: "I almost don't have the heart to make fun of these folks. It's like hunting dairy cows with a high-powered rifle and scope." Dawkins has no such compunction, but it's pointless to argue the toss with people incapable of grasping the difference between a theory and a belief. This is a secular issue, not a religious one. If loony-tune fundies want to believe that the sun revolves around a flat earth, good luck to them. If they want the schools to teach it to my kids, I'll see them in court.

Microsoft's Charles Simonyi shelled out a couple of his millions to endow Dawkins' chair as Professor of the Public Understanding of Science at Oxford. In other words, he's a hired PR guy with a fancy title. After this shallow rant, whose tone is eerily reminiscent of Tony Blair at his most nauseatingly sanctimonious, Simonyi might well wonder whether he's getting an adequate bang for his buck. The God Delusion not only adds nothing to Dawkins' earlier impeccable contributions to the public understanding of science but is likely to have a disastrous effect on its public perception, confirming the mistaken but sadly prevalent view of scientists as mean-spirited reductionists intent on bulldozing away the fragments that millions of people around the world have shored against their ruin. I don't believe that science need be done like that and neither did Charles Darwin, so I suppose I've lost my faith. I just don't believe in Richard Dawkins any more.

111
3DHS / Banning Veils - Should they or shouldn't they?
« on: October 27, 2006, 12:46:33 PM »
City schools 'should ban veils'
 
Muslim girls could be asked not to wear veils in the classroom under new plans.
Bradford City Council is drawing up guidelines stating that pupils and staff should not wear veils in lessons.

It said veils could cause problems with communication, identifying pupils and health and safety. However, the final decision would lie with the school.

Last week teaching assistant Aishah Azmi lost a case for discrimination and harassment after being suspended for refusing to remove her veil in lessons.

But an employment tribunal decided the 23-year-old, who worked at a school run by Bradford's neighbouring authority Kirklees Council, had been victimised.

Bradford City Council leader Kris Hopkins said: "Veils in schools, for staff and pupils, has never been an issue in Bradford.

"We feel the debate over veils is distracting from the real issues in education, that is raising educational attainment across the district for all children."

'Obey rules'

Dr Abdul Bary Mailk, president of the Bradford and Leeds Ahmadiyya Muslim Association, said wearing the full face veil, or niqab, was not an obligation under Islam.

He said: "If there are rules at work which say you must not wear a veil at work then I think it's the duty of every Muslim that they should obey those rules. If they don't like it they should not join that organisation."

He said Muslim girls needed to take off their veils in certain lessons, such as those held in laboratories, for health and safety reasons and they were regularly asked to do so in Muslim countries.

But Dr Malik said he thought the veil debate had blown out of proportion, as women who wore the niqab formed less than half a percent of the population.

Story from BBC NEWS:
http://news.bbc.co.uk/go/pr/fr/-/2/hi/uk_news/england/bradford/6079798.stm

Published: 2006/10/24 11:25:22 GMT

112
3DHS / Bosnia & Iraq
« on: October 26, 2006, 02:48:49 PM »
If we can avoid the political hackery for a moment, I have a serious question.

I remember the problems associated with Bosnia pretty well. Some of them were similar to Iraq, though there were clear differences as well.

There were many people in the United States who opposed United States involvement in Bosnia. Many said it was Europe's problem and that we shouldn't be involved. Another common statement was that the Balkan's had centuries of history of violence and that we could not possibly stop that. When we sent peacekeepers in, there was apprehension. This region had seen a few years of the nastiest warfare. It was primarily meaningless violence with snipers in Sarejevo shooting any civilian they saw to an occasional village where every living creature was slaughtered, including livestock.

Indeed, Europe even saw the worst massacre since World War II with the Srebrenica Massacre in 1995.

Yet, overall and despite occasional violence and the later addition of Kosovo to the task, Bosnia has been an overall success story. It was horrible and it could have been dealt with earlier, but for that matter so could Saddam. There are still US forces in Bosnia and Kosovo as well as many other national forces. The history of violence and even early mention of Vietnam-like circumstances never came to pass.

Now, there were plenty of factional problems in Bosnia and Kosovo. I won't even list all the numerous factions involved. There were religious differences. There were outside influences from other countries. There were plenty of weapons and certainly the opportunity existed for it to become a bogged down affair.

What are the major differences in Iraq and Bosnia? Is there anything this administration could have learned from President Clinton's handling of Bosnia (let's not make this hackery, we can all remember Somalia)? Were the military and political aspects of Bosnia handled better or differently? Was having NATO and UN support a major factor in the success?

113
3DHS / The Most Hellish Place on Earth
« on: October 25, 2006, 11:50:31 AM »
Emphasis is mine

We have turned Iraq into the most hellish place on Earth

Armies claiming to bring prosperity have instead brought a misery worse than under the cruellest of modern dictators

Simon Jenkins
Wednesday October 25, 2006

The Guardian[/url]

British ministers landing in Aden in the 1960s were told always to make a reassuring speech. In view of the Arab insurrection, they should give a ringing pledge, "Britain will never, ever leave Aden". Britain promptly left Aden, in 1967 and a year earlier than planned. The last governor walked backwards up the steps to his plane, his pistol drawn against any last-minute assassin. Locals who had trusted him and worked with the British were massacred in their hundreds by the fedayeen.

Iraq's deputy prime minister, Barham Salih, was welcomed to London by the BBC on Monday with two documentaries recalling past British humiliations at the hands of Arabs, in Aden and Suez. It was not a message Salih wanted to hear. His government is retreating from its position in May, when it said that foreign forces should withdraw from 16 out of 18 provinces, including the south, by the end of this year. Tony Blair rejected this invitation to go and said he would "stay until the job is done". Salih would do well to remember what western governments do, not what they say.

Despite Suez and Aden, British foreign policy still lurches into imperial mode by default. An inherited belief in Britain's duty to order the world is triggered by some upstart ruler who must be suppressed, based on a vague desire to seek "regional stability" or protect a British interest. As Martin Woollacott remarks in his book After Suez, most people at the time resorted to denial. To them, "the worst aspect of the operation was its foolishness" rather than its wrongness. When asked by Montgomery what was his objective in invading the canal zone Eden replied, "to knock Nasser off his perch". Asked what then, Eden had no answer.

As for Iraq, the swelling chorus of born-again critics are likewise taking refuge not in denouncing the mission but in complaining about the mendacity that underpinned it and its incompetence. As always, turncoats attribute the failure of a once-favoured policy to another's inept handling of it. The truth is that the English-speaking world still cannot kick the habit of imposing its own values on the rest, and must pay the price for its arrogance.

US and UK policy in Iraq is now entering its retreat phrase. Where there is no hope of victory, the necessity for victory must be asserted ever more strongly. This was the theme of yesterday's unreal US press conference in Baghdad, identical in substance to one I attended there three years ago. There is talk of staying the course, of sticking by friends and of not cutting and running. Every day some general or diplomat hints at ultimatums, timelines and even failure - as did the British foreign secretary, Margaret Beckett, on Monday. But officially denial is all. Forr retreat to be tolerable it must be called victory.

The US and British are covering their retreat. Operation Together Forward II has been an attempt, now failed, to pacify Baghdad during Ramadan. In Basra, Britain is pursuing Operation Sinbad to win hearts and minds that it contrives constantly to lose. This may be an advance on Kissinger's bombing of Laos to cover defeat in Vietnam and Reagan's shelling of the Shouf mountains to cover his 1984 Beirut "redeployment" (two days after he had pledged not to cut and run). But retreat is retreat, even if it is called redeployment. Every exit strategy is unhappy in its own way.

Over Iraq the spin doctors are already at work. They are telling the world that the occupation will have failed only through the ingratitude and uselessness of the Iraqis themselves. The rubbishing of the prime minister, Nuri al-Maliki, has begun in Washington, coupled with much talk of lowered ambitions and seeking out that foreign policy paradigm, "a new strongman". In May, Maliki signalled to Iraq's governors, commanders and militia leaders the need to sort out local differences and take control of their provincial destinies. This has failed. Maliki is only as strong as the militias he can control, which is precious few. He does not rule Baghdad, let alone Iraq. As for the militias, they are the natural outcome of the lawlessness caused by foreign occupation. They represent Iraqis desperately defending themselves from anarchy. It is now they who will decide Iraq's fate.

The only sensible post-invasion scenario was, ironically, that once attributed to Donald Rumsfeld, to topple Saddam Hussein, give a decapitated army to the Shias and get out at once. There would have been a brief and bloody settling of accounts and some new regime would have seized power. The outcome would probably have been partial or total Kurdish and Sunni secession, but by now a new Iraq confederacy might have settled down. Instead this same partition seems likely to follow a drawn-out and bloody civil conflict. It is presaged by the fall of Amara to the Mahdist militias this month - and the patent absurdity of the British re-occupying this town.

Washington appears to have given Maliki until next year to do something to bring peace to his country. Or what? America and Britain want to leave. As a settler said in Aden, "from the moment they knew we were leaving their loyalties turned elsewhere". Keeping foreign troops in Iraq will not "prevent civil war", as if they were doing that now. They are largely preoccupied with defending their fortress bases, their presence offering target practice for insurgents and undermining any emergent civil authority in Baghdad or the provinces. American and British troops may be in occupation but they are not in power. They have not cut and run, but rather cut and stayed.

The wretched Iraqis must wait as their cities endure civil chaos until one warlord or another comes out on top. In the Sunni region it is conceivable that a neo-Ba'athist secularism might gain the ascendancy. In the bitterly contested Shia areas, a fierce fundamentalism is the likely outcome. As for Baghdad, it faces the awful prospect of being another Beirut.

This country has been turned by two of the most powerful and civilised nations on Earth into the most hellish place on Earth. Armies claiming to bring democracy and prosperity have brought bloodshed and a misery worse than under the most ruthless modern dictator. This must be the stupidest paradox in modern history. Neither America nor Britain has the guts to rule Iraq properly, yet they lack the guts to leave.

Blair speaks of staying until the job is finished. What job? The only job he can mean is his own.

simon.jenkins@guardian.co.uk


114
3DHS / U.S. Media Criticised
« on: October 23, 2006, 02:16:04 PM »
:)


Oh, why can't the Guardian be more like a US newspaper? Start by giving those mucky facts a good wash right now

Jane Bussmann
Monday October 23, 2006

Guardian

I moved to Los Angeles to get away from the Guardian and its British take on the "facts". Here in America, our facts have two showers a day and use beard trimmers all over. However, every time I come home to do a comedy show about child-snatching Ugandan warlords, I notice that the British are still buying this newspaper. It makes me so mad, I took time out from shooting fox cubs to give your news a good wash. Here are some current news stories, from the Guardian and other mucky UK sources, translated for Americans and brought up to American veracity standards.
In Guardian: Blair - troops may quit Iraq in 10-16 months

In the US: No U-turn from Blair on war

Britain's prime minister confirmed the 2007 withdrawal was planned all along and in no way a reaction to General Sir Richard Dannatt's calls for troops to pull out. Blair insisted he "agreed with every word" of Dannatt's announcement: "What sounded like him saying my entire plan for Iraq was totally fucked up and suicidal was just joshing between friends," said the prime minister. "I'm best mates with whatsisname. We often share a lager beer. Anyway, I'm not worried because he's off to Iraq so he'll probably be dead soon."

In Guardian: US troops face trial over abuse and murder claims

In the US: Marines foil insurgent origami warplane plot

Three marines are accused of abducting Hashim Ibrahim Awad, shooting him and tampering with his body. The Marine Corps' commander acknowledged that placing an AK-47 and a spade near the corpse to make it appear as if he had been shot while preparing to set a roadside bomb may have looked to observers like a clumsy attempt to frame an innocent civilian, but explained that this was only because the wind had blown away the pile of origami cranes Awad had been making with the intention of flying a crane-borne missile into the green zone.

In Guardian: Bush issues doctrine for US control of space

In the US: Oilfields found on the moon

President Bush has promised the Man in the Moon will be freed by 2008. "It is America's duty to liberate him from the tyranny of ... of ... Tony, help me on this," the president explained. A search of CIA doodle archives later established beyond doubt that a space dictator, probably looking something like a bear, had gassed 100,000 lovely little Moomintrolls.

In Guardian: Tycoon rips £75m Picasso

In the US: Elbow hole in old painting really no big deal

And this is not the first time billionaire hotelier Steve Wynn's art collection has made headlines. Last summer, Wynn's wife shrunk the Bayeux tapestry. Wynn was reportedly furious as he regularly urged his spouse to indicate she wished to reuse it by putting it back on the rails.

In Guardian: Britain now No 1 al-Qaida target

In the US: It's Britain's turn to stand up to terror

Al-Qaida hates Britain and everything it stands for. The only way for Brits to fight back is using enormous quantities of petrol to keep America strong. Al-Qaida are apparently terrified of cars, especially really big SUVs which are mentioned in the Qur'an as the utility vehicle of the infidel. The best method of ensuring your family's safety from terrorists is to sit in your car with the engine running until 2010.

In Guardian: No magic bullet to solve crisis, Bush adviser warns

In the US: Rumsfeld plans to carry on kissing lucky stone installed in Oval Office through 2007

In Guardian: US stops Venezuela planes deal

In the US: US trade analysts inform Spain that Venezuela smells of poo

Furthermore, America warns Venezuela to return its Power Rangers. Venezuela is urged to wait downstairs for its mum to collect it because America is not coming out of its bedroom.

In Guardian: Oliver Stone plans film on Afghanistan invasion

In the US: Taliban begs director to make other warlords look boring instead

Stone announces Farrell, Jolie to headline incomprehensible three-hour saga featuring long nude scene with a python that wishes it was dead.

In Guardian: America has finally taken on the grim reality of Iraq

In the US: Pentagon no longer using the term amputee

Injured veterans will now be referred to as Owners of Bonus Socks.

In Guardian: North Korea sanctions agreed

In the US: US and UK agree not to attack North Korea

"But if this carries on, we may liberate them" - Blair

In Guardian: Madonna defends Malawi adoption

In the US: Baby loses one national identity, gains four

The singer's representative stated: "The baby will be raised at Guy and Madonna's British home and will therefore speak a mixture of Trustafarian patois and mid-Atlantic mockney." Both adoptive parents have predicted a career in showbusiness for their new infant. Critics agreed, noting that the baby would be successful and popular with audiences, since it wasn't produced by Guy Ritchie.

On FemaleFirst.co.uk: Britney's yummy mummy diet

In the US: Pop star adopts 40 abandoned cheeseburgers

In Hello! magazine: Bono's wife Alison holds charity T-shirt launch

In the US: World healed: official

This landmark fashion and politics summit, added to the release of special Bono-edition Nike trainers with red bits, signals to Africans the length of the oldest continent that it's time to quit whining and get over it.

On bbc.co.uk: Michael rapped for smoking drugs

In the US: George Michael rapped for smoking drug, claims: "This stuff keeps me sane and happy"

Singer claims marijuana medically necessary, cures old-man wang addiction for literally minutes at a time.

· This week Jane read The complete texts of US politician Mark Foley to his teenage congressional pages: "Should be available in schools; would end all human intercourse overnight." Jane watched Green Wing series two: "But as luck would have it, I was already running a bath, and always travel with a boxcutter. Soon I won't remember a thing."


115
3DHS / Yunus wins Nobel Prize
« on: October 13, 2006, 12:19:21 PM »
Comment: a truly inspiring choice for Nobel Peace Prize
By Gabriel Rozenberg, Economics Reporter for The Times
 
In 1974 Muhammad Yunus led his students at Chittagong University on a field trip to a poor Bangladeshi village. They met a woman who made bamboo stools, but whose profits were eaten up by the extortionate rates of local lenders. Yunus started lending money himself in the form of "micro-loans" and in 1976 the Grameen Bank Project was born.

The bank now covers nearly 70,000 villages and makes small loans to more than 6 million customers. It is remarkable in many ways: almost all of its borrowers are women, and the loan recovery rate is above 98 per cent, an astonishingly high number.

For its success in lifting the impoverished out of penury across Bangladesh, and for providing the model for a worldwide revolution of micro-credit, Yunus and the Grameen Bank were today awarded the Nobel Peace Prize.

In the past, the Norwegian committee which hands out humanity's greatest accolade have often struck a discordant note. Some people see Henry Kissinger (joint winner, 1973) as a warmonger; others see Yasser Arafat (joint winner, 1994) as a terrorist. There is almost no one who believes that the Nobel Committee got it right both of those times. Other choices are uncreative - the United Nations, the International Labour Organisation - or tediously predictable. This award was neither.

To award a Peace Prize for an anti-poverty inititative is striking enough, but that is only half the story.

In rich Western capitals like London there is today a thriving "international development community": well-meaning, thoughtful people in charities, pressure groups and Whitehall who came together last year at Live 8 and led to the world's wealthiest nations doubling their aid budgets.

But probe beneath the surface and you will find confusion. The charities praise aid in public; yet they quietly admit that simply handing over cash to often-corrupt governments has frequently failed miserably. They call for good governance, the latest buzzword, but any attempt to cut off cash to bad governments ties them in moral knots.

Grandiose schemes are the order of the day: the UN's flagship anti-poverty Millennium Project has, as the economist William Easterly has pointed out, a bewildering 449 proposals to meet 54 different goals in a 3,800-page plan that leaves no one accountable for anything.

The Grameen Bank presents a totally different approach. It was not dreamt up by a faraway Western aid agency. It is tried and tested; it is a business solution which comes from the grassroots.

Grameen shows us the poor and the destitute not as pitiable charity cases condemned to their lot, but as thwarted entrepreneurs who just lack the means to improve their families' lives. It is a profoundly optimistic view of human nature. With this inspired choice the Nobel Committee has lit a path that could lead to the eradication of poverty in our time.

Link

Credit where it's due
Geoff Mulgan
October 13, 2006 03:14 PM

Link

Muhammad Yunus is an excellent recipient of the Nobel peace prize. He's been feted in some circles for many years but he's still largely unknown amongst the wider public. What makes him special is that he is such a perfect example of how social innovation happens - and how the best social change often comes from people addressing problems themselves rather than waiting for others to do so.

Yunus' moment of truth came in the early 1970s when, as an economics professor in Chittagong he took a group of students on a field trip to a poor village. Interviewing women there he learned that they were forced to borrow money at exorbitant rates - sometimes as much as 10% each week. Not surprisingly few were able to escape from poverty.

Yunus started lending them money himself (initially about £17 to 42 basket weavers) and then evolved the basic principle of Grameen, which allows groups of people to monitor each other's credit needs and credit worthiness. This mutual approach has helped keep recovery rates very high and transaction costs very low. The borrowers - over 90% women - turned out to be far better placed to assess who needed money and who could repay it than distant financial institutions. The methods used were very similar to the mutual and cooperative finance models developed in poor communities in Britain and elsewhere in the 19th century - but they had fallen out of favour as big banks and big development had taken over.

Since then Grameen has spread - globally where its ideas have been adopted in dozens of countries (and where organisations like Fair Finance in the East End are directly inspired by Grameen), and within Bangladesh where it has set up a network of related organisations, from telecoms companies to a university.

Yunus is a controversial figure and his award will focus attention on some of the complexities - as well as the many virtues - of his approach. In Bangladesh Grameen has increasingly been pulled into the political fray, which has brought difficult tensions. Meanwhile although the development field has enthusiastically adopted the principles of microfinance there is continuing, and healthy, argument about exactly what works where and why, and over the last decade it's become clear that microfinance isn't quite the panacea that it once looked. His success is also an interesting twist in the parallel histories of Grameen and Bangladesh's other microfinance provider - BRAC. Under the leadership of Faisal Abed BRAC has pursued a much lower key approach. He's much less of a global celebrity than Yunus but is seen by some as having achieved more and across more fronts in recent years

The most important point, however, and the reason that Yunus deserves this prize is that his basic insight has proven sound. Like Wangara Maathai and unlike the many political leaders who have won in the past he is someone who has addressed human needs from the bottom up not the top down. He also stands out as a rare visionary who connected the formal knowledge he had gained as a privileged academic with the informal knowledge in the heads of millions of poor people both in Bangladesh and around the world.

His great dream now is a social investment market - a network of stock exchanges that can connect the vast wealth of the north to social needs on the ground, not just through charity and initiatives like Make Poverty History, but through providing capital for people to find their own ways out of poverty. Winning this prize will undoubtedly help him on his way.

For Britain he is significant as a reminder of an older traditions of mutual self-help that were largely crushed in the 20th century but may be returning; as a reminder that the traffic in ideas will increasingly be from south to north rather than the other way around; and as an exemplar of how people can put their talents and energy in the service of the poor.

By coincidence we at the Young Foundation are next week publishing an overview of social innovation you can download it here - which uses Grameen as one of many examples of how people around the world have found innovative solutions to their needs. It's one of the inputs for two conferences in China happening next week - which are signs of a new vitality where innovation, social enterprise and development overlap, and of China's appetite to learn from and share with the rest of the world as it tries to balance accelerated growth with more equitable social development. Yunus' award will hopefully focus the world's attention on how innovation isn't just about new drugs or iPods. The most important innovators often don't need any technologies - just imagination and acute sensitivity to people's needs.

 

116
3DHS / Question on Iraq
« on: October 13, 2006, 11:03:47 AM »
Are we lousy imperialists?

I mean that word in a completely neutral connotation, as a nation that has essentially conquered another nation in an effort to re-shape it. I ask the question sincerely as well. Some people have said that we aren't using strong enough tactics with the local populations. Should we look back on Britain, France, Belgium, Portugal, or Spain and create a modern imperialism?

Are ideas and discussions on terrorism, Iran, WMD, hearts & minds, and sectarian violence cluttering and confusing the situation? Would a thorough policy on imperialism remove problems with mixed objectives and inconsistent goals?

117
3DHS / Tennessee Senate Race
« on: October 12, 2006, 11:32:40 AM »
Some of you might be interested in the Tennessee Senate race as it has gained some national attention of late. The race has been mentioned as part of a "firewall" by the Republican Party and has received a great deal of money from outside the state by both the Democrat and Republican national campaigns.

The candidates are:

Republican Bob Corker
Democrat Harold Ford Jr.

Mr Corker is the former mayor of Chattanooga (2001 to 2005) and before that he owned a construction company and later a real estate company. He ran for the Senate in 1994, but lost the Republican primary to eventual Senator (and current Senate leader Bill Frist). Bob Corker also served (1995 to 1999) as Commissioner of Finance and Administration during Governor Don Dunquist's administration.

Mr Ford is the current Congressmen for the 9th congressional district of Tennessee. He has served at that position since 1996 and has won each election with nearly 80% of the vote in what is a heavily Democratic Memphis district. Ford is considered a moderate Democrat and is a member of the "Blue Dog Coalition." He has voted to ban partial birth abortions, criticized Democrats over the fillibuster of judge Samuel Alito, and also supported the Iraq War far more than many other Democrats. Yet, Ford supports universal health coverage and has opposed Republican items like CAFTA.

The Campaign

Bob Corker had the tougher primary campaign and ran against ex-Congressman Ed Bryant and ex-Congressman Van Hilleary. In that race Corker was the moderate, while Bryant and Hilleary split the conservative vote. It tended to be a rather nasty campaign, but Corker had the advantage for the majority of the time. Corker's personal financial advantage was evident and his ability to run ads far and above the other two candidates helped place him well-ahead. Bryant, most famous for his position as one of the House prosecutors in President Clinton's impeachment, surprised some at the end of the day when he garnered 34% of the total primary votes, but was still far shy of Corker's 48%. Some claimed that Corker could not have won if Hilleary did not run (Hilleary even expressed some regret at that, but I don't think it is true). There was a lot of mud slinging.

Harold Ford Jr, faced no such challenge and basically walked into his nomination for the Democrats.

Corker has had the edge on money, but has spent more as well. Corker fired his campaign manager around the first of this month. Neither candidate has had any trouble with getting big names into the state. President Bush has visited twice for Bob Corker, Laura Bush has visited once. Former President Clinton has visited once for Harold Ford Jr, and other known Democrats have visited as well.

Advertisements

I don't think this state has ever seen such a negative statewide campaign with such a massive amount of advertising. The majority (from what I've seen) have come from the Corker/RNC campaign, but only slightly. Much of the state is weary of the ads, which are on all the time. I believe that Middle Tennessee is especially inundated with them as Harold Ford's support has solidified in West Tennessee and Bob Corker's support has solidified in East Tennessee (traditionally Democratic and Republican territory respectively).

Many of the ads are bizarre or just plain stupid. Frequently mocked are the Bob Corker and his mother ad (he also did a couple of these for the GOP primary race) and the Harold Ford in church ad. A running joke is that you cannot recognize Bob Corker without his mama nearby.

Bashing immigrants is a common theme in both candidate's ads (as well as the Gubernatorial race). Corker has faced some sharp criticism on this because of INS citations and fines his construction business received back in the 1990's.

Analysis

Any way you cut it Ford's campaign team has done the better job. That's not a biased assessment, just a fact (even the local Republican radio folks agreed). This can be seen in two sets of polls. First the general poll on voting intentions. Corker led this race after the nominations were confirmed by 12 or 13 points. In the span of roughly nine weeks, Ford's campaign is either in a dead heat or has a lead of upwards to 4 to 7 points. That's quite a turnaround. The Ford lead grows with registered "likely to vote" voters.

The other poll of significance is the favorable/unfavorable ratings. It may be the negative advertisements or the ability of the electorate to get to know Bob Corker, but he started with generally favorable ratings which have since been completely flipped. What Ford's team has done is define Corker.

The debates have shown some effort by Corker to define Ford. Primarily he has tried to tie Harold Ford Jr to the Ford family political machine of Memphis. Yet, again Ford has done a very good job of countering this (something he obviously foresaw before he ever ran for this seat). FOr those not familiar with Tennessee politics, the Fords are well known in Memphis politics and have had some fairly corrupt members. Though, in fairness, there is nothing that ties Harold Ford Jr to any such corruption other than he is related to them.

Right now, I'd say the state is leaning towards Ford, which would be a a Democratic pick-up. The caveat is that anything can (and often does) happen in politics. Ford has one ad that talks about Corker's time as Chattanooga's mayor where the city's garbagemen received no pay increases for the four years, while Corker (who is a millionaire) voted to give himself a couple of pay raises. I think that might hit home with a few voters. The majority of Corker's and the RNC ads are about border security and terrorism. I just don't see Corker, who uses his mama in other ads and is generally viewed as an effete wealthy country club-type, as gaining traction with that tactic. Moreover, Ford's moderate tone is capable of winning enough of those voters anyway.


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