North Korea on war readiness. US-South prepare.
Tehran watches DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis
May 25, 2010, 10:42 AM (GMT+02:00)
South Korean Cheonan sunk by North torpedoNorth Korean ruler Kim Jong-il ordered his military to prepare for all-out war after
Barack Obama sent the US military to work with Seoul to prepare for future
aggression and plan a joint submarine maneuver for the near future.
Tuesday, May 25, military observers in the Korean Peninsula and Japan were predicting
limited skirmishes on land, sea and air. Some sources found North Korea capable of
going all the way to test-firing a nuclear warhead for the first time.
Monday, May 24,
President Barack Obama ordered the 28,000 US soldiers stationed in Korea to "work closely with the Republic of Korea to ensure readiness
and deter uture aggression." President Lee Myung-bak said Pyongyang must pay
a price for the torpedo attack on a South Korean Chenan that killed 46 sailors in March.
Officials accused Kim of personally ordering a submarine to sink the corvette.
Seoul also suspended inter-Korean trade, investment and non-humanitarian aid
and banned North Korean merchant ships from passing South Korean waters.
Washington and Seoul have been hoping Beijing would step in to cool the crisis
and avert a clash on China's doorstep. But US Secretary of State
Hillary Clinton,
who attended the two-day annual US-Chinese conference in Beijing, failed to persuade Chinese President Hu Jintao to rein in the North Korean ruler and calm
the crisis.
China is also reluctant to joint South Korean plans backed by the US and Japan
to bring the issue before the UN Security Council for further sanctions against
the North. Past penalties for its nuclear activities have already ravaged the
North Korean economy.
debkafile's military sources point to the Korean crisis's grave repercussions for
current Middle East war tensions. North Korea and Iran have worked closely
together in the development of their clandestine nuclear weapons programs.
The two rogue powers often pursue the same diplomatic tactics for fobbing
off international pressures. For Syrian president Bashar Assad, the brazenly
defiant Kim Jong-Il is a role model. Above all, Pyongyang is the primary source
of nuclear technology and sophisticated missiles for Iran and Syria. The plutonium
reactor which the Israeli Air Force destroyed in September 2007 in northern
Syria was made in North Korea and, according to debkafile's intelligence sources,
North Korean nuclear scientists and technicians are back at work in the country.
While Israel regards the Korean conflict as remote, Tehran and Damascus are
spying its every twist and turn and drawing lessons on the responses of the
world powers for their own use. They are especially interested in China's handling
of this crisis as a pointer to whether or not it will veto the sanctions before the
UN Security Council against Iran.
By and large, Beijing seeks to manipulate the North Korean and Iranian nuclear
programs as levers for reducing American influence in Asia and the Middle East alike.
Therefore, a decision by Hu to go easy on Pyongyang in the current crisis may well
be a good-news signal for Tehran.