Author Topic: Iraq: A Place of Ambivalence  (Read 2497 times)

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BT

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Iraq: A Place of Ambivalence
« on: April 09, 2007, 12:30:41 AM »
Iraq: A Place of Ambivalence (63 comments )
I know I should be passionately following the showdown between Congress and the president over legislation tying the funding of American troops in Iraq to a timetable for the troops' withdrawal from Iraq. Honestly, though, I find it hard to follow it at all. Showdowns are all about certainty, and for me, Iraq has always been a place of ambivalence.


I lived in Baghdad from April 2003 through September 2004, when I left without, of course, really leaving. Even if it weren't for the endless reels of bad news, I would have reels of memory on constant re-play in my mind.

I remember Riyadh, a bright and supremely idealistic young Shi'ite who had signed on as a translator for the U.S. Army but who, on his days off, used to take me around -- in ordinary, randomly hailed share-ride vans and taxis, if you can imagine it now - to markets and mosques and people's houses, just to scrounge around for stories...until, one morning on his way to work, Riyadh was shot to death.

I remember Mohaymen, a 26-year-old Iraqi who, with my then-fiancé, co-founded JumpStart, a humanitarian organization that directly employed thousands of Iraqis in the rebuilding effort. Every morning at an ungodly hour, he would show up to pick up Sean, and the two of them would drive around in Mohaymen's white Hyundai Galloper to building sites all over the place....until one day in July 2004, when Sean and I were briefly back in the States, some gunmen pulled even with the Galloper on a busy highway in broad daylight and shot Mohaymen to death.

I remember having lunch someplace when a car bomb went off -- not, as it sounded, right under the table, but close enough so that when we - the not-yet-dead Mohaymen and I -- stepped out onto the street, it was black with smoke and littered with human remains. And I remember later interviewing the family - or was it just the son? -- of someone who had literally been scattered by that bombing. I don't recall the details of how the family had retrieved the body, but they had definitely had to go around, collecting him.

Whatever you think of the rest of this post, please do not write in to impress upon me the horrors that have descended upon innocent Iraqis since the American-led invasion. I really feel that I know.

I know other things too, though. Maybe it's just the contrarian in me, but it is these other things that I feel the need to stress, especially to those who are now reveling in their rightness about the war. Those who opposed the war seem to feel that they are the perfect opposite of those who sold the war - and of course, in the important sense of the invade-or-not-to-invade question, they are. But in their collective allergy to any fact that may complicate their position; their proud blindness to the color gray, and their fervent faith in their own infallibility, the two sides have always struck me as very much the same.

Don't get me wrong. If I felt that this post were going to be read by a bunch of war apologists, I would take them angrily to task for the manifest, manifold failures in Iraq, and the criminally self-indulgent fictions on which those failures were based. But since this post is presumably being read mostly by war critics, I will devote it to challenging anti-war activists on their apparent belief that everything they say about Iraq is, always has been, and ever shall be true.

It is not, for instance, true that it was the American-led invasion that opened season on the slaughter of innocent Iraqi civilians. Whatever else the Bush administration made up about Iraq, the rank murderousness of Saddam Hussein was not one of them. Amid the gunfire and giddiness of Baghdad right after its fall in April 2003, it was common to find people converging onto bits of infrastructure, manically fueled by the rumor mill: someone had said that there was a torture chamber underneath this stretch of highway; a secret prison built into this wall. People had no time to be interviewed; if they talked at all, they'd keep going as they panted: "My husband/brother/son disappeared twenty odd years ago; he could still be alive; I have to get him out." I remember going to a mass grave; a "minor" one, not far from Hilla. People were digging there, too: for bones, which were piled everywhere, a sickening canine bonanza. Close by there still lived a man who had seen what had happened there in the days after the war with Kuwait, but kept his mouth shut for years: busloads of innocent Shi'ites, screaming 'God is Great' at the top of their lungs, had been unloaded, rung around pre-dug graves, and shot.

Of course, it makes sense for Americans to feel more interested - and implicated -- in suffering that is inflicted in the context of an American occupation. And there is no question that - and it kills me that it has come to this -- fewer and fewer Iraqis see life after Saddam as any better than life under Saddam. Still, one needn't be a hawk, nor a rocket scientist, to give half a moment's thought to the possibility that the post-invasion suffering in Iraq, which we see and hear about constantly - as, of course, we should -- may seem disproportionately greater to us than the pre-invasion suffering, which we almost never saw or heard about at all.

It is not true that the Americans invaded Iraq against the will of the Iraqi people. They did so against the will of Saddam, against the will of those who flourished under Saddam, and against the will of numerous Sunn'is and Christians, most of them utterly blameless for the crimes of the regime, who feared what would happen to them after the Shi'ites got out from under Saddam. This last is not an inconsiderable group - except as compared to the Shi'ites and the Kurds, who overwhelmingly wanted the invasion and welcomed it.

I know that these anecdotes will sound as if Karen Hughes or somebody paid me to cook them up, but they all really happened: The day I met Riyadh, he told me what he had been doing before the war. He and his family would sit around and listen to underground BBC radio. And if the French or somebody else in the U.N. seemed to come up with something that would offer the world a glimmer of hope that war could be avoided, their reaction was not, "thank God." It was: "Oh shit."

I remember that in May - after about thirty days without a shower - I went to a beauty salon that had just re-opened. This was in Aadamiyah, which is quite a Sunn'i district. Out of gratitude for the invasion, the owner would not let me pay.

In the late spring of 2003, like hundreds of reporters, I joined the multitudes flocking to Karbala for ashura, the Shi'ite pilgrimage which had been forbidden under Saddam. Concerns about violence were high, but unfounded: As it turned out, in every possible sense, it was the brightest possible day. Flags were flying. Great ropey lines of men were stepping rhythmically and ritually beating their bare backs. Granted, the whole scene could have been a coming attraction for theocracy, but for the moment, it looked and felt like an entire country's drawing of a deep breath after years of suffocation. Like every woman there, I was swathed in black from head to toe. Throughout the day, I could feel myself being sized up by people, and this, I'll admit, made me a little nervous. No need: when they were sure of the foreignness of my face, people did not insult or attack me. They smiled and said: "Thank you Bush, thank you Blair."

None of this was really surprising. In the months prior to the war, I had spent almost all my time in neighboring, not-so-democratic countries. Among average people, the biggest sentiment expressed about the ever-more-likely prospect of American action in Iraq wasn't "how dare you come to our region and topple a sovereign government!" It was, "jeez - why don't you come here too?" Once in Iraq, when I would get e-mails from concerned friends and family as to whether people hated me because I was an American, I'd laugh. It wasn't the idea of Americans being disliked that cracked me up; it was the idea of Americans being alone on the list, or even in the top ten. Let's see: Iraqis hated the French and the Russians for doing so much business with Saddam. They hated other Arab governments for leaving them to be brutalized by him. They hated the Palestinians for having sided with Saddam in the war of '91, and they hated the Syrians for sending in - or at least allowing the sending-in of --- jihadists to make trouble now. As for anti-American sentiment, that which was most commonly expressed was not against George W. Bush for having taken Saddam out. It was that expressed against George H.W. Bush for not having done so when, as they viewed it, he had had the chance.

All this, of course, was very early days, before disillusionment set in, then anger, then rage. But that evolution was not swift, nor, I firmly believe, was it inevitable. In many areas of Iraq, generally, palpably pro-American feeling was not imaginary, it was not rare, and -- apart from the total-infatuation, flower-tossing phase which did fade quickly -- it was not all that short-lived. In fact, I'd say - with considerable anger and frustration of my own - that the U.S. had at least one year in which the overwhelming majority of Iraqis were only too willing to believe that much as they disliked and then despised the fact of foreign occupation, that occupation was going to lead them somewhere they wanted to go. This shocked me. About eight or nine months into it, the bloom was well and truly off the American rose: the initial post-Saddam chaos, far from being calmed, had simply become the rule. Crimes -- political, semi-political, and just plain old crooked - were committed with impunity. Kidnapping rings, like internet cafes and car dealerships, had begun springing up everywhere. And of course, the promise of jobs and housing and restored electricity and all the rest of it never came close to being kept. It is true that even the most brilliant, best organized administration would have been hard pressed to bridge the gap between the expectations of Iraqis and the limits of reality - but also true that the U.S. established a tyranny of ineptitude that baffles me to this day. In short, by that time, I would absolutely have bet that as far as the Iraqis were concerned, anything, including Saddam, was better than this. But I had that wrong.

For several weeks, before the first anniversary of the invasion, I made it a habit to end any interview with any Iraqi -- whether the topic was -de-Ba'athification or arranged marriage or the (extreme) availability of all kinds of weaponry on the black market - whether, knowing every negative thing - of which there were many -- that they knew now about the Americans, they would turn back the clock, have the coalition stay home, and put Saddam back in the palace. But I should mention that during this time I was not in Fallujah or Ramadi or any of the so-called Sunn'i triangle, where my "poll" would have had very different results. Still, I was and am amazed that not a single person hesitated to say 'no way.'

Now, I am sure that if I went back today and asked the same people the same question, many would answer differently. But now as then, I'd bet anything that many would also answer confusingly.

Take the night that Saddam Hussein was captured, when I went around to various parts of Baghdad and asked people what they thought. In one breath, they'd fantasize in gory detail how they'd kill him if they could: how, for instance, they wanted to personally chop him up in little pieces and then feed him to wild dogs, ideally with his heart still beating. In the next breath, they would lament that they felt sorry for him as he had his post-capture medical examination videotaped; he was, after all, their leader.

Asked, many times over many days, what, if anything, could be done to salvage the deteriorating situation, they'd insist: things would never improve unless the Americans supplied jobs, fought crime, restored the schools, guarded the banks, built homes and sewage systems, even mediated family quarrels....and also left Iraq immediately.

My point is not that Iraqis are somehow hopelessly loopy or illogical. It's that, having careened from one kind of national trauma to another kind of national trauma, they have some strongly felt but deeply conflicting feelings about things. For most Iraqis, the whole question of the invasion was extremely complicated, and, even now - without remotely minimizing the disasters that have increased in the intervening years -- I imagine that it still is.

That's what drives me crazy about the whole American discussion of Iraq now: it's treated as being so damned simple, when, if you care about the Iraqis at all, it's anything but.

If you are still reading at this point, I could forgive you for saying:

"OK, OK, enough with memory lane. Even if everything you are saying was true as of a couple of years ago, why rehash what went wrong when? It's all gotten worse and worse. Let's just get the hell out of there and be done with it."

In terms of the what-now in Iraq, that might be the only option we've got. But in terms of the what-next for the United States, it's not enough.

It's easy to rewrite a very complex story as a dark fairy tale that begins and ends with the evil of Bush and Cheney. This, presumably, is why so many people are doing it. But it's still wrong.

If none of this was ever hard - if the consensus is simply that this whole invasion was always a stupid idea and there was never, ever any reason why any good or intelligent person would have considered it - then all we have to do is elect someone nice and smart, and ignore whatever legitimate factors there may have been to mitigate our certitude. We won't have to think about what, if anything, a dictator can do to compromise his sovereignty in the eyes of the world. We won't have to think about what, if anything, should be done to enforce peace agreements that have been shredded, or international sanctions that have been ignored. We don't have to worry about where, if anywhere, we draw the line between allowing international bodies, such as the U.N., to prevent war, and allowing them to perpetuate, if only indirectly, very serious violence of other kinds.

Finally, what depresses me, and makes me despise so much war criticism even when I agree with it, is that so many of those positing it seem so happy about what's gone wrong. They seem to relish the probability that Iraq will get worse and worse so that they can be righter and righter.

This isn't new.

I remember an anti-war activist who was staying in our hotel in Baghdad, who had not come to Karbala for that first ashura. A good person trying to do good things, she had stayed behind to prepare a media alert on the horrors of the occupation -- which, especially at a time when the coverage out of Iraq was largely very upbeat, was a very worthy thing to be doing. Still, one thing really bothered me about her. When, upon everyone's return from Karbala, the activist heard that the day had actually been free of violence, and full of jubilation, she looked as if she had tasted a bad olive, and spit out her response: "Oh, fuck."

How she must be gloating now. Reality has made sages of the most dire prophets. It's perfect: Iraq really has gone to hell, and the demon neocons are the ones that sent it.

Like liberals - and thinking conservatives, and sentient beings -- everywhere, I gravely doubt that the troop surge - so little so late -- will do anything to save Iraq. But for the sake of the Iraqi people, I sure hope it does - even if that helps the Republicans.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/tish-durkin/iraq-a-place-of-ambivale_b_45145.html

Plane

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Re: Iraq: A Place of Ambivalence
« Reply #1 on: April 09, 2007, 01:15:50 AM »
"Asked, many times over many days, what, if anything, could be done to salvage the deteriorating situation, they'd insist: things would never improve unless the Americans supplied jobs, fought crime, restored the schools, guarded the banks, built homes and sewage systems, even mediated family quarrels....and also left Iraq immediately."


Very good article BT.



Let me speculate on what I have just taken in from this article and the NewYorker article Lanya brought in.

Within two years the US force , contractors and embassy staff will leave Iraq , signalling the contest for power to begin .

All of the educated and well connected will flee while everyone who remains will be forced to join a faction , fighting will become as intense as any war ever has with bodys piling unburyed .

After a while the bleeding will have sapped all the strength from Iraq , but it will be the perfect home of Al Queda which will perpetuate a serious incident involveig a lot of American deaths.

American Forces will return to Iraq , bringing with them many thousands of Iriquis who have spent a decade in exile.

But not quite enough....


Repeat iteration.

BT

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Re: Iraq: A Place of Ambivalence
« Reply #2 on: April 09, 2007, 01:27:08 AM »
You mentioned the Kurds in an earlier post, and therein lays the hope and the model for the rest of Iraq. Yes there will be the inevitable days of reckoning as the Shiites solidify their power and the Sunni's resist the loss of theirs, but Kurdistan is the ever present reminder of what can be.

Henny

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Re: Iraq: A Place of Ambivalence
« Reply #3 on: April 09, 2007, 06:42:35 AM »
Excellent article, BT. Thanks for posting it.

The_Professor

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Re: Iraq: A Place of Ambivalence
« Reply #4 on: April 09, 2007, 02:55:01 PM »
"Asked, many times over many days, what, if anything, could be done to salvage the deteriorating situation, they'd insist: things would never improve unless the Americans supplied jobs, fought crime, restored the schools, guarded the banks, built homes and sewage systems, even mediated family quarrels....and also left Iraq immediately."


Very good article BT.



Let me speculate on what I have just taken in from this article and the NewYorker article Lanya brought in.

Within two years the US force , contractors and embassy staff will leave Iraq , signalling the contest for power to begin .

All of the educated and well connected will flee while everyone who remains will be forced to join a faction , fighting will become as intense as any war ever has with bodys piling unburyed .

After a while the bleeding will have sapped all the strength from Iraq , but it will be the perfect home of Al Queda which will perpetuate a serious incident involveig a lot of American deaths.

American Forces will return to Iraq , bringing with them many thousands of Iriquis who have spent a decade in exile.

But not quite enough....


Repeat iteration.


Excellent article, BT. Thought-provoking.

I concur to a point. I also believe that once we leave, whether it is one day from now or five years, anarchy will reign. So, why bother? Let's get out. Lick our wounds. Get our national finances in order. Rebuld the military both materially and morale-wise (like having Humvees with proper armor, just possibly). Keep 'em training. Get those National Guardsmen trained for natural disastrers like they were suppsoed to be trained to do. And so on.

If you want to justify a foreign intervention, perhaps help poor Karsai (who is probably also dead if we leave).

BT

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Re: Iraq: A Place of Ambivalence
« Reply #5 on: April 09, 2007, 03:42:43 PM »
Quote
Get those National Guardsmen trained for natural disastrers like they were suppsoed to be trained to do.

The Gurads function is to be a ready military reserve. Since when is their primary directive to be in disaster control?

_JS

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Re: Iraq: A Place of Ambivalence
« Reply #6 on: April 09, 2007, 05:47:34 PM »
The Kurds are a reminder of what can be only because they have prepared for this for decades, back when we supported their repression. They have the power and basic structures already in place to govern themselves (they've basically been autonomous anyway). They also have Iran's help.

What really irritates me is that Republicans and Democrats are blaming the Iraqis for this. I heard a Democrat just the other day (pardon me for forgetting which jack ass it was) talking about how the Iraqis failed to meet all the performance targets they'd set for themselves. Well, no shit! Of course they have, they're only trying to run a government during a freaking civil war.

It always seems to be everyone elses fault... Iran, Syria, the Iraqis. We went in and turned their entire world upside down and despite a few morons (Rumsfeld) talking about ticker-tape parades, most intelligent analysts knew this was going to be bad.

Bush f***** up.
Rumsfeld f***** up.
A lot of people really f****** up.

The military never helps their own cause by oftentimes lying and misportraying events as they did with the girl from West Virginia and many others.

I don't want to be on the same side as Bill O'Reilly either, because let's face it, the guy is a lying sack of bat guano who couldn't intelligently argue his way out of a third grade recess.

But we shouldn't leave the Iraqis in a miserable civil war simply leave them with their asses in the wind. We've got to do better. This isn't about right wing pundits or presidential legacies. This isn't about Cheney's former oil company. This is about the Iraqi people and we can't just leave them and worst of all, leave them behind all the while insulting them as we run away!


Apologies for the language.
I smell something burning, hope it's just my brains.
They're only dropping peppermints and daisy-chains
   So stuff my nose with garlic
   Coat my eyes with butter
   Fill my ears with silver
   Stick my legs in plaster
   Tell me lies about Vietnam.

BT

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Re: Iraq: A Place of Ambivalence
« Reply #7 on: April 09, 2007, 06:10:46 PM »
Quote
But we shouldn't leave the Iraqis in a miserable civil war simply leave them with their asses in the wind.

Isn't that the mandate the new dem Congress has?

domer

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Re: Iraq: A Place of Ambivalence
« Reply #8 on: April 09, 2007, 07:05:34 PM »
Best I can determine, heartfelt and logically sound if untested, the Democratic opposition, in large measure, though muddled somewhat by error-of-invasion breeding error-of-continuation, believes that a palpable quagmire, Vietnam style, faces us, and that efforts to prop up the present government will almost surely collapse, bringing a reckoning we can't forestall no matter what we do. The Democrats see us as having unleashed the dogs of war, who were hungry indeed, and there is absolutely nothing suitable to act as a kennel. Thus conceived and postured, it is not our fight but the Iraqis', as it ultimately was in Vietnam.

Michael Tee

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Re: Iraq: A Place of Ambivalence
« Reply #9 on: April 09, 2007, 07:30:11 PM »
Let's see.  A lot of people didn't like Saddam and were happy to see him go.  Some other people who DID like Saddam, didn't like the Americans and decided to fight them.  Then when the people who didn't like Saddam began to side with the occupation forces, they found themselves under attack by the people who did (like Saddam.)  A whole cycle of reprisals and counter-reprisals then ensued.  Then chaos descended and the people who welcomed the invasion originally realized what a huge mistake they had made.  Proving once again that hindsight is 20-20 and you should be careful in what you wish for because . . .  etc., etc.

The significance of this article has eluded me.  It makes some kind of sense - - at least as irony - - ONLY to anyone dumb enough to have bought into the obviously demented bullshit that claims the Americans came with the very best of intentions, to bring liberation (and in its wake, real democracy) from a horrible dictator who (unlike all the other horrible dictators that they enthusiastically support) had somehow managed to offend their democratic sensibilities.  

To the rest of us, who KNOW why the Americans invaded Iraq, the article provokes only yawns and the odd, "Yeah?  So?"  The author seems to think a happy ending to the story would have been that all the people of Iraq welcomed the invasion and immediately set themselves up a democratic representative government designed on the American and/or British model and became a happy, united country of brown-skinned little Americans doing the bidding of the U.S. State Department in the region.  She then berates the anti-war critics for claiming to have predicted the current debacle when in fact (from her POV) nobody could have predicted this outcome at the time of the invasion.

Hopefully somebody will point out to her that the critics of the war did not frame their objections primarily on the impossibility of achieving an American-style democratic government in Iraq.  Our primary objection was to the immorality of aggressive war in general, and in particular of aggressive war based on deliberate lies and designed to achieve political objectives in line with the aggressor's own national interests and the strategic dominance of regions producing essential resources for the industrialized world.

BT

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Re: Iraq: A Place of Ambivalence
« Reply #10 on: April 09, 2007, 07:33:24 PM »
Domer,

In a nutshell the newly majoritized dems ran on a platform of getting us the hell out of Dodge, which is exactly the opposite of what _Jsov councils.


The_Professor

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Re: Iraq: A Place of Ambivalence
« Reply #11 on: April 09, 2007, 08:35:32 PM »
The Kurds are a reminder of what can be only because they have prepared for this for decades, back when we supported their repression. They have the power and basic structures already in place to govern themselves (they've basically been autonomous anyway). They also have Iran's help.

What really irritates me is that Republicans and Democrats are blaming the Iraqis for this. I heard a Democrat just the other day (pardon me for forgetting which jack ass it was) talking about how the Iraqis failed to meet all the performance targets they'd set for themselves. Well, no shit! Of course they have, they're only trying to run a government during a freaking civil war.

It always seems to be everyone elses fault... Iran, Syria, the Iraqis. We went in and turned their entire world upside down and despite a few morons (Rumsfeld) talking about ticker-tape parades, most intelligent analysts knew this was going to be bad.

Bush f***** up.
Rumsfeld f***** up.
A lot of people really f****** up.

The military never helps their own cause by oftentimes lying and misportraying events as they did with the girl from West Virginia and many others.

I don't want to be on the same side as Bill O'Reilly either, because let's face it, the guy is a lying sack of bat guano who couldn't intelligently argue his way out of a third grade recess.

But we shouldn't leave the Iraqis in a miserable civil war simply leave them with their asses in the wind. We've got to do better. This isn't about right wing pundits or presidential legacies. This isn't about Cheney's former oil company. This is about the Iraqi people and we can't just leave them and worst of all, leave them behind all the while insulting them as we run away!


Apologies for the language.

So, you advocate us staying there to "stay the course?"

domer

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Re: Iraq: A Place of Ambivalence
« Reply #12 on: April 09, 2007, 09:13:30 PM »
BT, I don't think at all that the Democrats lack political courage. Putting an embargo on funding is a blunt instrument that could conceivably hurt the fighting men and women. To me, it's a last resort that might yet be used if circumstances shift. One thing is definite, though: the pressure coming from the Democrats has effectively put a limit on escalation and provided a blueprint if not a timetable (yet) for withdrawal, which, on balance, are signal accomplishments.

BT

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Re: Iraq: A Place of Ambivalence
« Reply #13 on: April 09, 2007, 10:03:54 PM »
lol

the surge (escalation)was a direct response to the dems winning in November

sirs

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Re: Iraq: A Place of Ambivalence
« Reply #14 on: April 09, 2007, 10:11:14 PM »
BT, I don't think at all that the Democrats lack political courage. Putting an embargo on funding is a blunt instrument that could conceivably hurt the fighting men and women.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[size=11t]Which Is 'The Real War'?[/size]

[size=8t]By Charles Krauthammer
Friday, March 30, 2007[/size]

"Our bill calls for the redeployment of U.S. troops out of Iraq so that we can focus more fully on the real war on terror, which is in Afghanistan." -- House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, March 8

The Senate and the House have both passed bills for ending the Iraq war, or at least liquidating the American involvement in it. The resolutions, approved by the barest majorities, were underpinned by one unmistakable theme: wrong war, wrong place, distracting us from the real war that is elsewhere.

Where? In Afghanistan. The emphasis on Afghanistan echoed across the Democratic side of the aisle in Congress from Rep. Sheila Jackson-Lee to former admiral and Rep. Joe Sestak. It is a staple of the three leading Democratic candidates for the presidency, Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama and John Edwards. It is the refrain of their last presidential candidate, John Kerry, and of their current party leader, Howard Dean, who complains that "we don't have enough troops in Afghanistan. That's where the real war on terror is."

Of all the arguments for pulling out of Iraq, the greater importance of Afghanistan is the least serious.

And not just because this argument assumes that the world's one superpower, which spends more on defense every year than the rest of the world combined, does not have the capacity to fight an insurgency in Iraq as well as in Afghanistan. But because it assumes that Afghanistan is strategically more important than Iraq.

Thought experiment: Bring in a completely neutral observer -- a Martian -- and point out to him that the United States is involved in two hot wars against radical Islamic insurgents.
- One is in Afghanistan, a geographically marginal backwater with no resources and no industrial or technological infrastructure.
- One other is in Iraq, one of the three principal Arab states, with untold oil wealth, an educated population, an advanced military and technological infrastructure that, though suffering decay in the later years of Saddam Hussein's rule, could easily be revived if it falls into the right (i.e., wrong) hands. Add to that the fact that its strategic location would give its rulers inordinate influence over the entire Persian Gulf region, including Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and the Gulf states.

Then ask your Martian: Which is the more important battle? He would not even understand why you are asking the question.

Al-Qaeda has provided the answer many times. Osama bin Laden, the one whose presence in Afghanistan (or some cave on the border) presumably makes it the central front in the war on terror, has been explicit that "the most . . . serious issue today for the whole world is this Third World War that is raging in Iraq." Al-Qaeda's No. 2, Ayman Zawahiri, has declared that Iraq "is now the place for the greatest battle of Islam in this era."

And it's not just what al-Qaeda says, it's what al-Qaeda does. Where are they funneling the worldwide recruits for jihad? Where do all the deranged suicidists who want to die for Allah gravitate? It's no longer Afghanistan but Iraq. That's because they recognize the greater prize.

The Democratic insistence on the primacy of Afghanistan makes no strategic sense. Instead, it reflects a sensibility. They would rather support the Afghan war because its origins are cleaner, the casus belli clearer, the moral texture of the enterprise more comfortable. Afghanistan is a war of righteous revenge and restitution, law enforcement on the grandest of scales. As senator and presidential candidate Joe Biden put it, "If there was a totally just war since World War II, it is the war in Afghanistan."

If our resources are so stretched that we have to choose one front, the Martian would choose Iraq. But that is because, unlike a majority of Democratic senators, he did not vote four years earlier to authorize the war in Iraq, a vote for which many have a guilty conscience to be soothed retroactively by pulling out and fighting the "totally just war."

But you do not decide where to fight on the basis of history; you decide on the basis of strategic realities.

You can argue about our role in creating this new front and question whether it was worth taking that risk to topple Saddam Hussein. But you cannot reasonably argue that in 2007 Iraq is not the most critical strategic front in the war on terrorism. There's no escaping its centrality. Nostalgia for the "good war" in Afghanistan is perhaps useful in encouraging antiwar Democrats to increase funding that is needed there. But it is not an argument for abandoning Iraq.


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"The worst form of inequality is to try to make unequal things equal." -- Aristotle