Author Topic: Is al Sadr Destined to Lead Iraq?  (Read 695 times)

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gipper

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Is al Sadr Destined to Lead Iraq?
« on: May 28, 2007, 02:37:34 PM »
Committed to the "democratic process," more or less, or to the spoils of war for one faction or another that would be its substitute, the US may have to sit by helplessly as one of its great nemeses takes the reins of the country where we have expended so much blood and treasure for a generally opposite result. In particular, it is quite possible, depending on a developing politics and the more naked power arrangements in this shattered country, that the Sadr bloc, with the mukhti himself as power-broker or even supreme (strong-man) leader, will succeed to leadership and thereby defeat all that our nation was told it was fighting for. Yet, there may be a silver lining from the US perspective, summarized in this question: how compatible is the (Sunni) al-Qaeda movement with the (Shiite) al Sadr vision of Islam? But for every gain we might claim on the latter front from "internecine" conflict, we may lose in a torrent as Iranian influences come to dominate Iraq. 

Michael Tee

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Re: Is al Sadr Destined to Lead Iraq?
« Reply #1 on: May 28, 2007, 08:38:47 PM »
OTOH if you can make a deal with Iran that brings in Iraq too, that could give you more influence over both countries than you've ever had before even during the last Shah's time.  Wouldn't cost much either - - probably normalizing relations and the arms trade and backing off (behind the scenes only, natch) on the anti-nuke program.  What the hell, the nukes were never gonna be aimed at you, and Israel knows what to do if they're ever aimed at them, so what's the problem?

Plane

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Re: Is al Sadr Destined to Lead Iraq?
« Reply #2 on: May 29, 2007, 06:45:10 PM »
Electing Al Sader to the top leadership seems unlikely , but he could be a kingmaker by swinging a strong minority block.


Just because they are new at the democracy business doesn't mean that the Iriqui electroate is stupid , but even if they are very smart you can fool some of the people all of the time.


The greatest benefits of democracy accrue over time as fools reveil themselves to be so .

BT

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Re: Is al Sadr Destined to Lead Iraq?
« Reply #3 on: May 29, 2007, 10:56:39 PM »
Quote
Is al Sadr Destined to Lead Iraq?

If that is al-Sistani's wish.

Michael Tee

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Re: Is al Sadr Destined to Lead Iraq?
« Reply #4 on: May 30, 2007, 07:48:36 AM »
<<If that is al-Sistani's wish.>>

and Sistani's what?  76, 77?  Wonder how long the muscle in the street is going to go along with the old guy?  Seems like a lot of it is already gravitating towards al Sadr.  For a guy half Sistani's age, he sure does cause a lotta stir.