No, the latest loss. As I said, the core voting block can only be spit in the face, only so long
Well you can't win them all. But the fact that the "core" stuck with the party during the previous 5 elections and apparently didn't even hold their nose and vote for the lesser of two evils says this election was more complex than just a disatisfaction in the base.
Again, I must opine, you can only tolerate being slapped around just so long. Eventually, you're going to say no mas. The fact that the GOP had been winning the prior election cyles is likely a belief that the Gingrich Republicans would show themselves. Alas, it became apparent that wasn't going to happen, and Bush consistently demonstrated he wasn't going to push for it, either
BTW do you think the Adelman story and this one has a common thread.
I haven't actually been paying attention to that thread. I'll give it a look see, and get back to you, on that one