Author Topic: Here we go...  (Read 5315 times)

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Henny

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Here we go...
« on: March 26, 2011, 04:53:59 AM »
Yesterday morning, I took my son to the opening day of Little League Baseball. On the way back, I was caught up in heavy traffic - buses and buses and buses (I'm talking big buses, at least 50 of them) of protesters coming from the South. Not just in the buses, but sitting on top of the buses, on the hoods of the buses and hanging out the windows. All young men, extremely hyped up - chanting and singing. And each and every bus had a sign saying "Bani Hamida tribe."

Bani Hamida is the largest Bedouin tribe - and trouble at a protest. Very pro government, but it seems out of place because no one in Jordan has called for the King to step down... just for reforms. Anyway, it is the equivalent of finding as many uneducated bubbas as you can and setting them loose in a riot. Trouble, trouble, trouble.

Wonder what happens next? Glad to be out of these heavily populated areas.

Government backers, police attack Jordan protest

AMMAN, Jordan ? Protesters demanding reforms clashed with government supporters in the center of Jordan's capital on Friday, pelting each other stones until security forces charged in and beat protesters, as unrest intensified in this key U.S. ally.

The clashes, in which 120 were injured, were the most violent in more than two months of protests inspired by the popular uprisings in Tunisia and Egypt. One man reported to have been killed while protesting was later identified as a government supporter who died of a heart attack.

Protests in Jordan have generally been smaller than those in other Arab nations ? and in another difference have not sought the ouster of the country's leader, King Abdullah II. But the young Jordanians organizing the demonstrations said this week they are intensifying their campaign, demanding the removal of the prime minister, creation of a more reformist government, the dissolving of what is seen as a docile parliament and the dismantling of the largely feared intelligence department.

Hundreds of anti-government activists ? many of whom coordinated through Facebook ? vowed to camp out in a central Amman square in front of the Interior Ministry until their demands are met. Their numbers swelled to more than 1,500 during the day to include members of the Islamic Action Front, Jordan's largest opposition party, and their leftist allies.

In the afternoon, several hundred government supporters attacked the protesters, sparking stone-throwing clashes until about 400 riot police stormed the square. The pro-government crowd appeared to disperse as the security forces waded in, hitting protesters with clubs and firing water cannons. At least a dozen protesters were dragged into a nearby government building.

One person died. The opposition Islamic Action Front said he was a protester and that he was beaten to death by police. Later, however, a spokesman for the anti-government protest movement, Ziad al-Khawaldeh, said the man who died was not among the protesters.

Police chief Lt. Gen. Hussein Majali said the man was a government supporter who died of a heart attack while running for cover when clashes broke out. He identified him as 55-year-old Khairi Jamil Saad. Other government officials, including the foreign minister, also said he was on the pro-government side and died of a heart attack.

Majali said 120 people were hurt, including 52 policemen. Eight people were detained for questioning.

Prime Minister Marouf al-Bakhit accused the Islamic Action Front and the umbrella group it is part of, the Muslim Brotherhood, of inciting the violence.

The Muslim Brotherhood rejected the accusation. "The protesters were peaceful and didn't attack anyone," said Jamil Abu-Bakr. "The prime minister is running away from his responsibility."

Foreign Minister Nasser Judeh said police had surrounded the protesters to protect them but were then caught in the middle when counter-demonstrators attacked the crowd.

Hospital officials said more than 100 people were admitted with serious to minor injuries to the head and the body. The officials insisted on anonymity, fearing government reprisal. An Associated Press reporter saw three police officers, their faces covered with blood, being taken away in ambulances.

One of the wounded, Mohammed Maaytah, 26, said he passed out after suffering an eye injury from a hurled stone.

"As I tried to get up from the ground, five policemen attacked me with batons and kept beating me until I passed out again," he said. "The police were supposed to protect us, but they attacked us."

Noor Smadi, 23, said she was also beaten by police until "I fainted."

"Our Cabinet is a bunch of criminals," she said. "They had policemen beat us savagely, although we insisted that our protest was peaceful."

A similar clash broke out in the same square late Thursday, injuring 35 people.

Elsewhere, 3,000 pro-king loyalists took to the streets of the capital in two separate protests, waving portraits of the monarch and chanting "our lives and souls we sacrifice for you, King Abdullah."

Around 7,000 people reiterated pledges of loyalty to the king in demonstrations in the Red Sea port of Aqaba and the Jordan Valley, bordering Israel and the West Bank, the Petra state news agency said.

About 400 members of Islamic Action Front and their leftist allies also staged another demonstration outside Amman's Kalouti mosque, near the Israeli Embassy. They demanded an end to Jordan's 1994 peace treaty with Israel.

In the western city of Salt, some 300 Salafis ? an ultraconservative Islamic sect banned in Jordan ? protested in the city, demanding convicted al-Qaida prisoners be released from Jordanian jails.

Meanwhile, Petra said 15 leftists and independents quit a national dialogue committee with the government on reforms to protest police using force against the protesters. The 53-member committee was formed earlier this month to draft laws that would give wider public freedoms.

Kramer

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Re: Here we go...
« Reply #1 on: March 26, 2011, 11:56:10 AM »
Those damn community organizers!!!!!!!!!!!!

Xavier_Onassis

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Re: Here we go...
« Reply #2 on: March 26, 2011, 03:10:51 PM »
So you are saying that you suspect the government is busing in Bani Hamidi people from the South to support the monarchy by perhaps bashing or otherwise neutralizing those who are calling for reforms? Getting 50 buses filled with supporters of anything requires organization by someone.

That is how I understood it, anyway. Correct me if I am wrong.
"Time flies like an arrow; fruit flies like a banana."

Henny

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Re: Here we go...
« Reply #3 on: March 26, 2011, 03:25:16 PM »
So you are saying that you suspect the government is busing in Bani Hamidi people from the South to support the monarchy by perhaps bashing or otherwise neutralizing those who are calling for reforms? Getting 50 buses filled with supporters of anything requires organization by someone.

That is how I understood it, anyway. Correct me if I am wrong.

I really don't know, although I agree with you that this took organization. I just read something written by a very popular political blogger who was the protests and now, more than ever, it seems highly organized. I will post it next.

Henny

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Re: Here we go...
« Reply #4 on: March 26, 2011, 03:30:22 PM »
Notes: "Shabab" means a group of young men. Singular is "Sheb."

Also, I was quite concerned by the mention in the mainstream media of the Islamist involvement. In fact - and for a fact - I know that they were not formally involved, although certainly some may have attended independently of their affiliation. This clears a lot of that up.

The Quick Death Of Shabab March 24 And What It Means For Jordan
26Mar11
http://www.black-iris.com/2011/03/26/the-quick-death-of-shabab-march-24-and-what-it-means-for-jordan/

Disclaimer: the following post is long. I don?t apologize for its length. However, those wishing to comment on it should at least show me and others the respect of actually reading it all before doing so. The first part is my personal eye-witness account of the events that transpired on March 25th at the Interior Ministry circle in Amman. The second part is my personal commentary on what I believe the outcome of these events will be on the Jordanian landscape



When a group of young Jordanians from various backgrounds decided to hold a sit-in at the Interior Circle on March 24, the first thought that occurred to me was that this was a recipe for disaster. Given the security apparatus?s history with crowd control, there was no way a sit-in would be allowed outside the governorate office and so close to the Ministry of Interior. I was also filled to the brim with drawn out cliche conclusions about who these guys were and what their demands would be. I am generally weary of most protest, demonstrations and rallies in a country like Jordan as I feel they yield little results beyond getting some minor international media coverage. But I do understand the need for them in a country like Jordan where all other effective mechanisms of accountability are closed off to the public. In other words, unless people take to the streets there is little they can do by way of holding the political apparatus of this country accountable. In other words, these demonstrations do play their role in acting as organized pressure groups, in the total absence of actual organized pressure groups.

With stereotyped conclusions on one shoulder, and a low bar of expectations on the other, I decided to pay the sit-in a visit at 1am on a Thursday night after reading several ?reports? that trucks filled with rocks were being mysteriously transported to the Interior circle to arm other groups aiming to attach the March 24 shabab. Not one to buy in to conspiracies, I went. And what I saw was quite baffling. Under neath the bridge was a fairly well-organized of young 20-something year olds. They had their posters in Arabic and English. They had a truck with a sound system. They had low-level organizers will bullhorns who would walk around making sure their group kept to the sidewalk. They had brooms and garbage bags, and people designated the task of keeping the area clean. They had tents, food, laptops, Internet connections, digital cameras, camcorders, a live feed going, as well as a fire roaring in near-freezing weather. At the tip of the sidewalk, their members were lined up facing the circle, where across from them was another group, and in between them both were about two dozen policemen.



And so I spent the next few hours, in the middle of a cold night, listening. Listening to what each group was saying and trying to figure out where each stood, what each was there to do, and what the make up of each group was. At first, it was near impossible. Both groups were singing and playing patriotic or nationalistic songs, as a display of loyalty to the King and country, and both groups were chanting slogans that were pro-monarchy. This went on for quite a bit that to a large extent, it became a competition between two forces over whom was more patriotic and loyal to the King. But then came the differences.

As the hours progressed the March 24 shabab began to make a few declarations of what they sought to achieve. I do not recall a single thing that they said, which the King himself has not either said in the past few weeks, let alone the past few years. At the top of their list was having an elected government under a constitutional monarchy where the King is the sovereign ruler. At the top of their list was cutting off the interference of the security apparatus (the mukhabarat) in the lives of the average Jordanian, or more specifically, the lives of Jordanian youth, especially on campuses. This last point likely emerged due to the King having had expressed the exact same sentiment not one week ago. And so on and so forth. Their main slogan was calling for ?islah il-nitham? or, reforming the system. Why were they there? Why did they decide to have a sit-in? The general consensus seemed to be that by launching the sit-in that they could put pressure on a system to carry out the reforms the King has been calling for. Perhaps having a King who admits publicly that there have been societal and political elements who acted as obstructions to reform, can have some influence over this kind of approach. I don?t know how alive this kind of thinking was at an organizational level for the March 24 ?movement?, but many of those that I spoke to that had come to the sit-in thought along those lines. The feeling that if they presented themselves publicly, that this would some how offer political capital for the King to carry out reforms amidst an apparatus that has difficulty accepting change.



This is largely what I understood from the youth that were there. I also gleaned from the gathering that a significant portion of them, and perhaps nearly the majority, were neutral. They were not associated with political parties. There were some leftists, communists, socialists, and yes, even some Islamists - but for the most part this seemed to be a group of people who represented ?the other?. Many of those I spoke to came only because they did not feel represented by other mainstream political parties, and saw March 24 as an alternative they could get on board with. The fact that the movement had ?banned? any other flag other than the Jordanian flag to be raised, seemed to appeal to some of them, and the fact that there were also tribes and families involved, was another appeal factor (a large banner featuring the King could be seen hung from the bridge above them, donated by an Abbadi, a known Jordanian tribe). Again, this is what I gleaned from the people that were there. Most of the organizers were unknown individuals and some were from university youth groups and/or students councils, et cetera, so there?s really no history to go on. This may have been what helped create an ?Islamist? propaganda around them, but in my book, they were anything but Islamists.

The other group is a bit easier to define. What to call them was problematic. In many circles they have been commonly referred to (by myself included) as ?loyalists? - people who strictly backed the King and were interested in very little beyond that. I discovered that it was problematic to call them ?loyalists? as it was a label that actually helped them achieve their goal of categorizing everyone else as being disloyal. They later on began to call themselves, specifically in their chants and to each other, as ?Baltajeyeh?. For those who are unaware of the term, it is quite a foreign word used widely to describe the paid-by-mubarak crowd that sought to disrupt the activities in Tahrir square last month. In Jordan, its equivalent is ?zu?ran? or, just plainly, trouble-makers. The word itself carries great negative connotations. However, when this crowd began to refer itself as such, well, who are we to argue? While reporting on these events via Twitter, I used the word to describe them as such quite often, and in retrospect, despite it being the easiest word and/or label to use when typing on a phone in 140 characters, cold weather and relative chaos, it was a mistake on my part. I generally despise labels, but discovered the need for them when reporting, otherwise people consuming the information don?t know which group you are talking about. And this was an even more difficult task when describing two groups that have a great deal in common. It was not black and white. That said, I really didn?t like the word, despite their usage of it, specifically because of its negative connotations. Thus the best term perhaps to describe them was not related to their actions but rather their thinking, which was quite clearly anti-reform. Others who were not there might differ on this, but to anyone who was there, to anyone who interacted with them, to anyone who listened to what they were saying, it was quite clear, they were against any type of reform in the country, and specifically any reform being called out by the March 24 crowd. I should also state that during the Friday events, the March 24 organizers on the speakers consistently used the word baltajeyeh, which I think was a mistake on their part, especially for a group that was calling for national unity in the same breath. These words matter.

Unfortunate labels aside, this group was there for one reason and one reason only: to disrupt. Every action they took and every chant they chanted was intended to antagonize and disrupt. No more, and no less. They called the March 24 crowd ?Shia! Shia! Shia!? and chanted curses in unison (you can see video of that here). During the Fajir (morning) prayers, they brought large speakers from a minivan, put them on the street, and blared patriotic songs to disrupt the call to prayers, and any of the youth that were starting to pray. That was quite shocking for me, as anyone who has grown up here knows that it is considered a cultural and societal taboo to play music during the athan.

During this night, every now and then, one of the anti-reformists would make an attempt to charge the crowd with a stick in hand, but was moved back by the police, and this would elicit a positive response from the March 24 people who were holding the line, who usually applauded or cheered the police.

On Friday, the crowds grew larger. The police had set up barricades along the triangular part of the duwar, where the March 24 crowd was based, and so they were naturally allowed to branch out, but none of them crossed on to the path between the sidewalk and the roundabout, i.e. the asphalt where typically a car would drive around the circle. The March 24 organizers had their people hold the sidewalk line with a human chain, which was complemented this time with another human chain of police that were there to protect them. On the other side, on the roundabout itself, the anti-reformists grew in numbers and were cut off by the police.

Things began to turn ugly largely after the Friday prayers. Numbers on both sides grew (the March 24 crowd more), and as did the police, who I personally think did their best in protecting the March 24 demonstrators as per their orders. At first, the rock throwing was minimal. It was usually a young guy from behind the crowd casting the casual stone. This would cause a bit of panic amongst the March 24 crowd, that would try and move back, expecting more to come. The anti-reformists did not bring rocks with them in trucks as had been reported. They were getting them from the ground they occupied, as the duwar itself is full of rocks and dirt where trees are usually planted. On the other side of the street, where the March 24 people resided, there was nothing but sidewalk and concrete, i.e. no access to rocks other than what had been thrown at them. This was quite obvious to anyone familiar with the area.

With time, the amount of rocks being thrown increased, and the March 24 crowd propped up their tents and raised prayer mats tied to two sticks, as shields from the rocks. When the crowd was showered with rocks, both the demonstrators and police would quickly stumble behind the tents before reforming the line. This went on for quite a while until the rock throwing got out of hand and even some police were getting hurt. This seemed to encourage the police force in the middle to push back the anti-reformists and even scatter some of them to some extent. No one was being arrested, which seemed to confuse and baffle some of the people watching this all from the sidelines. They would chase a rock-thrower from one side, and he would simply run to the other side of the circle. And for a while you could see sudden running and movement of the crowd from one side, and then the other. Some of the rock-throwers went atop the bridge and cast large stones, which I assume they broke off from the concrete, and cast them down to the crowd, hitting mostly the police, who quickly closed off the bridge.



For the most part, the March 24 tried to maintain and contain their own crowd, chanting ?silmeyeh? or ?peaceful (protest)? in response to the rock throwing. At other times, things got bad, and on some occasions an anti-reformist would manage to break through and approach the barricade, which inspired some in the March 24 crowd to venture beyond the line and enter a scuffle. This was rare, and I only saw it happen on two occasions, and elicited a very quick response from the police.

At this point the March 24 crowd was quite large and diverse. There were even women there with their children, some who occupied the back and some who mingled normally with the crowd. At this point, there was a sense of full faith in the police that they were there to protect them, and the crowd constantly cheered them on. On the other side, the anti-reformists seemed to be having a tough time with the police, and while they did not turn against them (despite the rock throwing which I don?t think was aimed at them to begin with), they gave regular warnings or threats that if the police did not remove the March 24 crowd, they would.

I am not sure how things spiraled out of control, but from my point of view, having retreated to the neutral area outside the governorate office, I saw two things that contributed to what was about to happen. The first were a series of cars that seemed to be carrying anti-reformists. During the early morning period, these cars were permitted to enter the circle and circle around honking horns and unloading anti-reformists. I use he word ?permitted? because all access to the duwar had been cut off by police and the only way these cars (and buses) could get in was either by ramming through the police barricade or being allowed in by the police. This is a very binary conclusion because I really see no other explanation. During that dreadful Friday afternoon, these actions allowed the anti-reformists to grow in numbers. Little did most of the people there know, but there were dozens of cars and buses filled with these people approaching the duwar from the Sports City circle a few kilometers aware.

The second contributing element was the introduction of the darak forces, or the riot police as some are known to call them. While most Jordanian protesters trust the police?s ability to keep them safe to some extent, there is zero trust when it comes to the riot police. When they show up on the scene, everyone generally knows that things are about to turn ugly. And that?s exactly what happened when they came in to the duwar from behind the March 24 protesters. On the other side, the police had either scattered, or regrouped, and joined the darak in beating the protesters. The anti-reformists were naturally glad to have the opportunity to join the chaos and like a lit match, the March 24 group found themselves sandwiched between two armed forces, and had few access points to escape to.

Al Jazeera and others reported the use of tear gas against protesters, but from what I saw there was no tear gas. There was indeed a water cannon that basically was used to watch out the March 24 site. Now after this critical point was over, the darak moved in to the circle, not allowing anyone in, but not chasing anyone out either. At this point, most of the March 24 people had either escaped or were hurt and being carried out, while the anti-reformists cheered in the street. As darkness approached, the streetlights around the circle were kept off, immersing everyone in near pitch black, except for the lights of ambulance car sirens. I don?t know why they chose to do that, especially with people being hurt, but they eventually turned them on.

In the hours following that chaotic scene, it seems the darak were in complete control, with their people and vehicles moving in, while the police had largely withdrawn to the yard of the governor?s office. At this point, what seemed to be happening was quite shocking. I saw someone who was wearing a standard police uniform climbing on top of the shoulders of anti-reformists and leading the crowd in pro-monarchy chants. I saw a police van driven by police, where anti-reformists chanted using the van?s sound system. At this point it was obvious that this whole thing was over.

This was the event, as I saw it. No more or less.

???

So what does this mean for us?

I would be lying if I said that this event was not enlightening and perspective-changing. It really flipped my beliefs upside down, threw them on the ground and stomped on them. From a bird?s eye view I saw one group that was attempting to do something peacefully and another group that was there to hurt them. This was how it was on a very macro level and no matter what one?s political beliefs are, from an objective perspective it is tough to differ on that. The March 24 group seemed to be the beginning of a different kind of movement that was party-less, and while I didn?t quite agree with their decision to have a sit-in, I understood why they saw it necessary to have one. I also recognized their ambition of establishing a movement that was diverse. I?ll even go so far as to say I respected their approach in trying to replicate the good they saw in Tahrir square, but with different objectives in mind. These guys were young and still figuring out how to do things, making noticeable mistakes along the way (particularly with their messaging) but they seemed to at least try and apply the lessons learned from Egypt when it comes to having a sit-in: the need for technology, the need to act with restrains and responsibly, the need to be unassociated with political parties, etc. Unfortunately, none of this worked out for them. They were instantly labelled as Islamists by the anti-reformists as well as the government. And they were instantly labelled as attempting to overthrow the monarchy by both groups, although some government officials were a little more subtle in calling out their intentions, including the Prime Minister. In any case, whatever one thinks of them and their goals, it is very difficult to say that they a) these were Jordanian citizens and b) they were there peacefully.

As soon as these guys were labelled as Islamists intending to overthrow the monarchy, the game was over. The stigma managed to mobilize and even encourage others to come to the circle to beat them down. And I do not use that word lightly. Those who stood in opposition to the March 24 crowd were there to hurt them. They saw them as being disloyal Palestinians who wanted to establish a Palestinian Islamic government and kick out the King. This was the general consensus by that side. They were absolutely convinced of it. To make things worse (for the long run) they also believed that any reform that sought to take power from the King and give it to the people would lead to a Palestinian homeland being established on Jordanian soil. Speaking to several of them on a personal level, I saw this conviction in their eyes. They completely believe this to be the truth. Some even seemed to buy in to the conspiracy that Hizballah and Iran were pulling all the strings, which explained to me why they constantly chanted ?Shia, Shia, Shia!? at the March 24 crowd. They insisted that anyone on the other side of the duwar who claimed to be in support of the King was a liar. And there was just no convincing them of anything else. There was no dialog or compromise or trust. Some of them even seemed to believe that these were 1970 Palestinian fedayeen, who were actually armed (this was the response I got when I asked one of them why he was carrying a baton).

Indeed, speaking to them often felt like being in Plato?s cave, and having the entire allegory play out right before your eyes.

What I saw made me realize that many of my preconceptions regarding Jordanian society were wrong. Despite having worked and operated on the grassroots level to a large degree, and having a job that somewhat allows me to interact with the average Jordanian on a regular basis, as opposed to having a desk job, many of my beliefs garnered over the years were destroyed. It was not merely the event itself, but also the numbers and the approach that convinced me that a great portion of our population remains uneducated, addicted to the state?s beneficiary system and loaded with violent inclinations. They have no interest in reform or democracy and think and act out of what they believe to be loyalty to the King and the country. They are absolutely convinced that those of Palestinian origin are, to put it frankly, the scum of the Earth and do not believe them to be equal citizens. It is the same mentality that inspired comments congratulating Jordanians on the death of the two March 24 protesters.

What this made me realize was the mere fact that we are a population that is simply not at peace with itself. Our social fabric is torn. And this is the biggest reason why Jordan is different from the rest of the Arab world that is undergoing dramatic changes. It is not a population that is facing off with a corrupt ruler or a corrupt government, seeking to overthrow them - it is a population that is still facing off with each other. A population made up of groups that do not trust each other, and, what I genuinely believe, if it were not for the King?s role, they would likely be at each other?s throats. And this is not merely Jordanians of Jordanian origin and those of Palestinian origin; I am also talking about groups within the east bank constituency that do not get along with each other, to say nothing of the rich and the poor.

At this point I would like to emphasize one thing. These are generalizations and perceptions. I do not mean to say that this is applicable to every single Jordanian citizen. However, what I am saying is that this environment is dominant enough, and this segment of society is strong enough to really play an active role. They may not be the majority, but they are a group that is representative enough, even in numbers. At the very least, they are an accurate enough barometer for what much of the country thinks and believes, and when push comes to shove and they feel the need to come out to protect the status quo, they will, and they did. What we saw yesterday was not 100 people bought-and-paid for by the security apparatus as some media might want to paint it. This was a large constituency of people. They were in the thousands. Their caravan of cars stretched for kilometers on end, and they were coming in from all across the country, even on the day after.

I believed that the majority of Jordanians wanted reform and were merely silent. This is something I can no longer say today. I believed that we were ?ready for democracy? and those who said we were not simply did not want to see it happen; because it was the people versus their government. This is something I can no longer believe today. For how a can a society this small and yet this divided be able to function in a democratic state?

I understand the argument that it is usually a well-organized and driven minority that tends to bring about change that the majority is too busy or too scared or with too much to risk and lose, is unable to achieve - but this is different. This is not a silent majority. It might not even be a majority. But again, it is a big enough force to bring the whole train to a screeching halt; violently if need be. It is also a segment that has the backing of the security apparatus, whether on a macro level or micro (individual level). That much was obvious during the outcome of yesterday?s events.

And I know that some might want to point to Egypt?s Muslim and Christian divisions prior to January 25, but I need only point out that what makes Jordan different is the lack of symbols. Revolutions tend to have symbols, and those symbols tend to be an embodiment of something to fight for or against. The symbol manages to bring people together and it also has the power to tare them apart. In Egypt, even if Muslims and Christians were at each other?s throats, they can quickly get behind a movement that seeks to dethrone Mubarak; a symbol they can unify against. This is something being played out in most Arab countries. In Jordan, there is no real symbol. The overwhelming majority like the King and even those pushing for change see him as a symbol for that change. They have no symbol to fight against; no symbol that will bring a divided society together to achieve a goal. We saw the power of symbols in January where nearly everyone was calling for the resignation of the Samir Rifai government. Whether the origin, whatever the background, the people united around this one goal. But now what?

Overthrowing a government is easy, especially in Jordan where they come and go like the seasons. But treading the path to reform is much more difficult, and along that road a nation needs to walk together in order for things to work. The problem is, we are a nation that cannot even talk to each other without calling each other names, or even wanting to hurt each other - let alone walk together on that road; let alone run.

If they are offered alternatives; if they feel that whatever system emerges it will be one that safeguards their interests, then there is a chance. If they come to a point where they feel that those of different origins and different beliefs all have the country?s (and therefore ?their?) interests at heart, then there is a chance. But right now, I just don?t see it. Yesterday I saw a government that lost an incredible opportunity to change minds, but instead it turned against a crowd. It called them Islamists and seemingly opened the doors for the maddening crowd. It?s the political equivalent of pouring blood on bait, and casting it into shark-infested waters. The result is inevitable. This is to say nothing of the fact that simply insisting they are Islamists results in two by-products: emboldening the Muslim Brotherhood?s voice and position by making it out more than it is, and squashing any attempts at creating an independent movement.

Trust was lost. Credibility was lost. And mindsets were pushed to the extremes. Those on either side of the coin are swinging farther away from the middle ground on the ideological line. Those considering themselves ?loyalists? will only become hardened and emboldened after yesterday, believing any propaganda they are fed; and those considering themselves ?reformists? will likely begin to think that a state that has abandoned them may not be worth fighting for after all.

And the silent majority caught in the middle will lock its doors, and immerse itself in the silence.

This is what I?ve come to believe. None of this should be taken as a call to end the fight for a democratic system in Jordan (although an enraged part of me feels an absolute monarchy might be the way to go right about now), but it is something that I do not see happening without dramatic social changes. This will depend heavily on the state, which controls the educational system, which instills a sense of social justice and equality through the enforcement of laws, which restrains its security apparatus from driving the fear of God in to hearts and minds of people already frightened of each other. And in drawing that conclusion I realized how difficult, if not close to impossible this all is.

I can barely depend on the government to go out on television and not insult my intelligence with propaganda that is easily discredited in the information age - let alone rely on it to bring a broken society together.

And then again, who am I to judge?

Maybe keeping this society broken and divided is the real objective all along.

I just don?t know anymore. We are stuck in a vicious cycle of a history that is repeating itself over and over. A state that refuses to learn and evolve. A security apparatus that continues to play the game of divide and conquer, and then turn around and call for national unity with a straight face. I really just don?t know where we are anymore, or where we?re going.

COMMENTS

   1. 1 Thoraya on Mar 26th, 2011 said:

      Following this logic, it seems that living in Jordan means resigning oneself to the fact that the country is held hostage by a bunch of violent ignoramuses. If that is the case, I would rather ?vote with my feet? and leave. Sadly, this would be the only meaningful vote I would ever cast in Jordan.
 
 2. 2 FH on Mar 26th, 2011 said:

      This is probably the only post I read where I feel that my thoughts/questions/worries/concerns/emotions were taken and put to screen. I have NO clue where will we go from here, and it leaves me feeling helpless. I really had hope (unlike you, I did NOT expect this to happen at all - call me naive!) that this ?movement? would bring about real change. Maybe it was naive, wishful thinking. Maybe I too, was not aware of ?the other? - I did not even know that some of my friends would support them.

      However, and maybe this is also a naive solution: I would not label this post as ?death of Shabab March 24″ if anything, this was a mistake, and they will learn from it. I say it is a mistake due to the venue selection, the timing, and maybe this will piss you off, but had older men (from unions, 3ashaer) were involved, things would have been different. I think that the first step might be to really educate the other. But then again, the other is really just set in their ways, and they are hard to identify as well. Are they really paid-for by the security apparatus? Are they individuals like us? We cannot define them, but I have a hunch that they are just uneducated people who are in need of political education, and since they are used to being mouth-fed information and opinions, maybe we need to do just that. I know this sounds elitist, bas battal fi 3eib.

      Thoraya, a part of me is tempted to echo your thoughts, but I really cannot give up so easily, and still I have some hope. Maybe it is the naivety of youth?yesterday was another slap in the face for me!

   3. 3 Khaled Elahmad on Mar 26th, 2011 said:

      Naseem great piece

      Building on your account of what happened, there a dire need for a dialogue between people and not people Vs. Gov

      Peace,

      Khaled

      @Shusmo
 
 4. 4 Eyad on Mar 26th, 2011 said:

      Thanx for this post? it is by far the most comprehensive I?ve read, and put into words many of the things I?d been thinking?

      I didn?t spend as much time at the protest as you did, but in the couple of hours I was there I saw all that you?re talking about.

      I met a bunch of kids carrying batons and screwdrivers, so I went up to them and innocently asked ?what?s going on? to which one guy replied: we?ve kicked the Palestinians out of the square? so when I told him ?3eeb ya zalameh? ma ana falastini? he looked confused and said ?inta 3ala rasi? and another one of the guys chastised him saying ?balash nihki 3an il falastinieh, khwali falastinieh??. i ended up as confused as they were.

      As for the police, I also had some faith in the idea that the police are somewhat neutral. until i saw a police car drive by a group of guys carrying weapons and heading towards the cirlce, park next to them, exchange handshakes and kisses, take the flag from them and put it on the police car then drive off?

      the question for me is, who orchestrated the anti-reform protest? who brought all the people in from across Jordan? Who was the lead in filling their head with the various slogans (Islamists, Palestinians, Shia, etc?.) This is what I really want to know!!!!
 
 5. 5 Rand on Mar 26th, 2011 said:

      Naseeem,

      Thank you for the long and comprehensive account of what happened yesterday. I?m very ashamed to say that I didn?t make it yesterday or on thursday to the sit-in. Apart of me wanted to, but March 24?s demands were not clear to me.

      I am one example of where March 24 failed: I didn?t know 1. who they are 2. what they stand for.

      Their lack of consistent messaging and spreading one clear message contributed to them being both misunderstood and attacked.

      I still (foolishly) believe that the majority of people are NOT ready to kill each other. but until yesterday, I also believed the police were out to protect the citizens.

      THis is a very sad affair. and I really hope this isn?t the end of March 24.

sirs

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Re: Here we go...
« Reply #5 on: March 26, 2011, 03:47:59 PM »
I'll be keeping you and your loved ones in my thoughts and prayers, Miss Henn
"The worst form of inequality is to try to make unequal things equal." -- Aristotle

Kramer

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Re: Here we go...
« Reply #6 on: March 26, 2011, 03:49:06 PM »
The life lesson here is simple: Either exercise your control over others or they will do it to you. In my opinion this is a universal concept. So the question here is do you want to be oppressed? If not then you will have to fight for your rights and keep fighting and never sit back and never give up.

Home in America do Conservatives want to live in a Liberal world or do we want to live in a Conservative society? Last November showed me that Conservatives are finally getting it. We understand what Community Organizers, such as Obama, are up to. Now we shall begin using Sol Solinsky tactics!! Hooray!!!

Xavier_Onassis

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Re: Here we go...
« Reply #7 on: March 26, 2011, 04:09:19 PM »
Thanks for posting here, Henny, your personal insight is something unobtainable elsewhere. I don't know much about Jordanian politics or society, so your comments are very useful. I suppose that each of the two groups you describe was organized and brought to the location for some purpose beneficial, or assumed to be beneficial, to those who organized them. One thought is that each side wanted to show its ability to make a show of force, in order to encourage the government to accept its views and to not oppose them.

I assume that shouting "Shia Shia!" in a mostly Sunni nation is intended to be an accusation of their opponents. Could this refer to the Iraqi refugees, perhaps, many of whom I assume are Shiites? I read where Jordan is 92% Sunni and 6% Christian, so I suppose that what Shiites there are are a small minority, perhaps in the part bordering Iraq, which I assume to be mostly desert and sparsely populated.

I hope that whatever changes occur in Jordan are peaceful and do not disrupt your life too much.
 
"Time flies like an arrow; fruit flies like a banana."

Henny

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Re: Here we go...
« Reply #8 on: March 27, 2011, 01:31:59 AM »
I'll be keeping you and your loved ones in my thoughts and prayers, Miss Henn

Thanks Sirs!

Henny

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Re: Here we go...
« Reply #9 on: March 27, 2011, 01:35:34 AM »
Thanks for posting here, Henny, your personal insight is something unobtainable elsewhere. I don't know much about Jordanian politics or society, so your comments are very useful. I suppose that each of the two groups you describe was organized and brought to the location for some purpose beneficial, or assumed to be beneficial, to those who organized them. One thought is that each side wanted to show its ability to make a show of force, in order to encourage the government to accept its views and to not oppose them.

I assume that shouting "Shia Shia!" in a mostly Sunni nation is intended to be an accusation of their opponents. Could this refer to the Iraqi refugees, perhaps, many of whom I assume are Shiites? I read where Jordan is 92% Sunni and 6% Christian, so I suppose that what Shiites there are are a small minority, perhaps in the part bordering Iraq, which I assume to be mostly desert and sparsely populated.

I hope that whatever changes occur in Jordan are peaceful and do not disrupt your life too much.
 

I think the cries of "Shia" show that, much like in the other countries having revolutions, the pro-government groups use any conspiracy theory to discredit the protesters - in this case, that they are influenced by Iran. That's a huge stretch in Jordan - as you said, mostly Sunni, but also detest (and scared of) Iran.

I know how the pro-reform group was organized - young people and social media. I know some of them. The anti-reform group... no clue. I really like to think that the King is smarter than to allow something like that to be arranged on his behalf. Because it's obviously not working in any of the countries revolting - it just causes the protesters to protest louder. And no one is trying to overthrow the King!

Henny

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Re: Here we go...
« Reply #10 on: March 27, 2011, 01:41:51 AM »
Jordan's choice: democracy & unity, vs. fascist thuggery
http://www.360east.com/?p=1258

Two photos from the last 2 days in Jordan. You choose what Jordan you want to live in.


Youth of Jordan, 24 March


The so-called ?loyalists? with knifes.

Am I over-simplifying here? Aren?t there a million shades of grey between these two pictures?

At a very basic level, the choice is simple, even if the situation is complex.

There is freedom of expression on one hand, and insults, stones, sticks and concrete blocks on the other.

There are youth who want reform and democracy and youth who think that blood-thirsty slogans and flag waving are patriotism.

There are thinking men and women from all walks of life who want to push the country forward and those living in their bubbles of comfort afraid of any change in status quo.

There are those who believe that we, the people are guarantee of Jordan?s stability and those who believe that stability means business-as-usual even as our institutions crumble, societal/tribal violence flares up and corruption eat away at the soul of the country.

Friday 25 March was Jordan?s most depressing day in decades. But it also clarified stances, put the cards on the table and made choices clear.

And no, I don?t think this is time to just be ?nice? and say ?let?s all come together in harmony?.

There is no harmony between people who want to express themselves and people who insult and harm.

There is no harmony between people who are open to debate and talk in a civilized manner and the people who want to shut you up and insult you on Twitter and Facebook.

To those who tell reformers ?if you don?t like Jordan, go find another country to live in!? reformers should say: ?we?re staying here and will create a more just future and you?re welcome to join after you stop your insults.?

If we want to save the country, INCLUDING those who attempted to murder our youth with concrete blocks thrown from high building, the only way is walk the difficult road of democratic reform.

The reform movement should be consolidated, emboldened, strengthened. It needs to grow teeth and grow in numbers.

It should speak loudly to gain more momentum and it should speak clearly to break through the propaganda and ignorance that turns the so-called ?loyalty? youth into monsters and thugs, bent on harming the democracy protesters who they think are ?Shia-Palestinian-Traitor-AntiMonrachist-MuslimBrotherhood-Agents?.

The picture is clear. The region has changed. Jordan has changed. Red lines have fallen. The painful march toward people-based democracy has finally started. We?d better get on board.

It should have been easy for Jordan. We had relative freedom and the room to participate and be creative for two decades. We should have achieved our democratic jump into the 21st Century.

But the culture of fear, divisions, narrow tribalism and holding on to privileges will not simply leave the stage without a fight. Yesterday we saw the ugly face of Jordanian fascism. But we also started to see the courage of the youth of March 24.

The reform movement has no weapons but the voice of the people. Let?s not kid ourselves, the reform movement is probably a minority in Jordan. But not an insignificant minority. And as more and more people wake up from ?pretending to sleep? they too will see that the future of Jordan is better guaranteed with real democracy that allows all of us to participate in building a better future for this country.

This is not about agreeing on everything or agreeing with everything the March 24 people said. But It is about taking a moral stance against fascism and violence and taking a political stance for reform.

Xavier_Onassis

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Re: Here we go...
« Reply #11 on: March 27, 2011, 01:24:20 PM »
Would one be correct to assume that the "loyalists" are people who have managed to get jobs with government help and who are afraid that they might lose them if new standards based on education and competence rather than cronyism are used to determine who gets a job?

Are the Youth of Jordan members more likely to be unemployed or more likely to be university educated?

The loyalty people give to a king is something that Americans find really hard to grasp. I recall that when I was at the U. of Kansas in the late 1960's, we had some friends in a couple of sisters of Greek extraction who were third generation Persians. They could not mention the Shah by just calling him the Shah, he was always "His Highness, the Shah". I found that rather weird that members of a Greek minority would be so reverential toward such a nasty character as Shah Pahlevi.

It has always seemed to me that a country like Jordan is perhaps handicapped from the beginning, as say Nevada would be handicapped as an independent entity, because it has no major exports, no huge resources, and most of the country is an arid and only sparsely habitable desert.

"Time flies like an arrow; fruit flies like a banana."

Henny

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Re: Here we go...
« Reply #12 on: March 27, 2011, 02:24:11 PM »
Would one be correct to assume that the "loyalists" are people who have managed to get jobs with government help and who are afraid that they might lose them if new standards based on education and competence rather than cronyism are used to determine who gets a job?

No... loyalists are largely tribal. Rich and poor, employed and unemployed. They consider themselves to be "true" Jordanians. They consider anyone not a "true" Jordanian to be a problem.

Are the Youth of Jordan members more likely to be unemployed or more likely to be university educated?

They are more likely to unaffiliated with large tribes. The ones using Social Media to start demonstrations, etc., are definitely highly educated and either poorly paid or entirely unemployed.

The loyalty people give to a king is something that Americans find really hard to grasp. I recall that when I was at the U. of Kansas in the late 1960's, we had some friends in a couple of sisters of Greek extraction who were third generation Persians. They could not mention the Shah by just calling him the Shah, he was always "His Highness, the Shah". I found that rather weird that members of a Greek minority would be so reverential toward such a nasty character as Shah Pahlevi.

I can't grasp it either. I thought the world was past the point where people believe (or act like they believe) that a monarch is somehow tapped by god.

It has always seemed to me that a country like Jordan is perhaps handicapped from the beginning, as say Nevada would be handicapped as an independent entity, because it has no major exports, no huge resources, and most of the country is an arid and only sparsely habitable desert.

Very, very true!

Xavier_Onassis

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Re: Here we go...
« Reply #13 on: March 27, 2011, 04:02:14 PM »
I note that a large number of Jordanians are of Palestinian origin. I assume that they are less tribal, more urban, and better educated than the tribal types.

I have heard that of all the Arab nations, only Jordan easily grants citizenship to Palestinians.

I assume that people get their great reverence for royalty in the same way most people get their religion: as very young children, inherited from their parents and other grownups when they are very small. If someone is indoctrinated as an infant with a certain belief, that belief has a tendency to bypass any channels of logical thought.

In 1982, I visited London. We went to Winchester Cathedral and were looking around, and I was pretty tired, and I sat down in a pew in the cathedral. Some dumpy Hyacinth-Bucket looking British woman in a flower priny dress came running up and told me to get up immediately as I was sitting in the private pew of the Earl of Stokesbury (or something like that), and no one was to sit in it but the aforementioned Earl Himself.

And I thought it was only a place to sit in a church. But she was REALLY UPSET. Like I had spit on the King Himself or something.
"Time flies like an arrow; fruit flies like a banana."

Henny

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Re: Here we go...
« Reply #14 on: March 28, 2011, 01:43:34 AM »
I note that a large number of Jordanians are of Palestinian origin. I assume that they are less tribal, more urban, and better educated than the tribal types.

Less tribal, yes - although they have tribal affiliations (normally the same ones the Jordanians have, from before the countries were divided), but those affiliations are useless to them now.

Some are more educated, but a lot live in horrible poverty. We still have refugee camps here. The economy just can't absorb everyone. You can read more about them all over the web, but here is a map: http://www.mideastweb.org/mrefugees.htm - my house looks down on one of the camps.

It's really hard to sum up the Palestinians here in a nutshell - the only generalization you can make is that the tribal Jordanians are prejudiced against them and convinced that they want to destroy the country.

I have heard that of all the Arab nations, only Jordan easily grants citizenship to Palestinians.

They used to, but those days are long gone. I really don't understand everything behind it, but one facet of it is Israel's idea of transferring ALL Palestinians to the Jordanian side. That's impossible (even if it was wanted the infrastructure can't support it) and wrong. So Jordan is making a stand. Such a serious stand, though, that even a Jordanian marrying a Palestinian woman can't give her citizenship.

I assume that people get their great reverence for royalty in the same way most people get their religion: as very young children, inherited from their parents and other grownups when they are very small. If someone is indoctrinated as an infant with a certain belief, that belief has a tendency to bypass any channels of logical thought.

In 1982, I visited London. We went to Winchester Cathedral and were looking around, and I was pretty tired, and I sat down in a pew in the cathedral. Some dumpy Hyacinth-Bucket looking British woman in a flower priny dress came running up and told me to get up immediately as I was sitting in the private pew of the Earl of Stokesbury (or something like that), and no one was to sit in it but the aforementioned Earl Himself.

And I thought it was only a place to sit in a church. But she was REALLY UPSET. Like I had spit on the King Himself or something.

I guess it's one of those things that we can't grasp as Americans. Thankfully!