Author Topic: From a mighty ACORN an even mightier crisis did grow  (Read 5609 times)

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Plane

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Re: From a mighty ACORN an even mightier crisis did grow
« Reply #30 on: October 03, 2008, 10:07:54 AM »
Banks should have liquid assets on hand to cover 10% or more of their outstanding mortgages.

Bundling derivatives from various mortgages together separated from th mortgages themselves and selling them should be banned.

No more interest only loans, and only the most creditworthy should be able to get a loan without putting 10% down.

Ban ARM loans altogether for house flippers, defined as anyone who has sold more than one house in the past year.


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I would have been hurt a bit by rules like this , I would have had to wait longer and saved up more before buying a smaller house.

I have had VA and FHA loans with little or nothing down and they were normally resold to harvest profit for the local bank immediately and produce a bundle for sale to big investors .

I can see your tight money rules produceing the benefits of stability and reliability , at the cost of availibility .

I hope that the right balence is struck and the rules are improved to increase the stability and dependability of the system , without makeing the availibility of credit so difficult that it produces a houseing shortage.

Xavier_Onassis

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Re: From a mighty ACORN an even mightier crisis did grow
« Reply #31 on: October 03, 2008, 10:23:18 AM »
I was asked how to avoid the crisis. That's how I would do it.

If you got a VA loan, then you paid $0 down. The government subsidized you because you were a vet. I see nothing wrong with that. Plus, you had a government job in a specialized filed.That would also get you extra points. So I doubt that my rules would disqualify you.
=====================================
Being as I have always realized that brains were more important than money, I decided to use my brains more when I bought this house.


In 1977, I paid $4500 down and assumed a $26,500 loan on a house worth (according to an appraiser I hired) $31,500. It was hard to find this deal and took four or five months. I had realtors swarming all over me, telling me that there WERE no $32K houses, that there WERE no assumable loans, that I should consider a house costing at least $50K. I told them to kiss off. My wife started to believe them. I told her to kiss off. And then I found this house, which had a small efficiency apartment I could rent out easily for $135 a month.

I have also never bought a new car or refrigerator or sofa or range. I could, but I don't need to. Commissions are needless expenses that fools can pay.

If everyone treated this the way I did, houses would be a lot more affordable. There might be fewer realtors, too, but how is that a bad thing?
"Time flies like an arrow; fruit flies like a banana."

Plane

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Re: From a mighty ACORN an even mightier crisis did grow
« Reply #32 on: October 03, 2008, 10:53:28 AM »
I was asked how to avoid the crisis. That's how I would do it.

If you got a VA loan, then you paid $0 down. The government subsidized you because you were a vet. I see nothing wrong with that. Plus, you had a government job in a specialized filed.That would also get you extra points. So I doubt that my rules would disqualify you.
=====================================
Being as I have always realized that brains were more important than money, I decided to use my brains more when I bought this house.


In 1977, I paid $4500 down and assumed a $26,500 loan on a house worth (according to an appraiser I hired) $31,500. It was hard to find this deal and took four or five months. I had realtors swarming all over me, telling me that there WERE no $32K houses, that there WERE no assumable loans, that I should consider a house costing at least $50K. I told them to kiss off. My wife started to believe them. I told her to kiss off. And then I found this house, which had a small efficiency apartment I could rent out easily for $135 a month.

I have also never bought a new car or refrigerator or sofa or range. I could, but I don't need to. Commissions are needless expenses that fools can pay.

If everyone treated this the way I did, houses would be a lot more affordable. There might be fewer realtors, too, but how is that a bad thing?

Congradulations, this sounds like very sharp dealing.

I don't think that there is a potential for a large percentager of us to become quite that savvy , if we could increase the intelligence and knoledge of buyers across the board it might make us all more demanding , but wouldn't it be demanding more from the same supply?

Xavier_Onassis

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Re: From a mighty ACORN an even mightier crisis did grow
« Reply #33 on: October 03, 2008, 11:03:04 AM »
I don't think that there is a potential for a large percentager of us to become quite that savvy , if we could increase the intelligence and knoledge of buyers across the board it might make us all more demanding , but wouldn't it be demanding more from the same supply?


The sellers would just have to settle for less.
There might be fewer realtors and car dealers.

How would that be bad?
Lower priced houses, more parking. Fewer guys in ugly trendy clothes.

I am unconcerned with how other people do their business. I do not seek to change them, neither will I keep my methods a secret. My goal is not to change the world when I buy a good used car. My goal is to buy as much as I can with what I want to pay. I pay cash, and do not make payments or trade anything in. That keeps it simple.

I have bought three houses. I paid half a commission on one, as it was listed by a friend of my ex-wife who did not charge her share.



"Time flies like an arrow; fruit flies like a banana."

Universe Prince

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Re: From a mighty ACORN an even mightier crisis did grow
« Reply #34 on: October 03, 2008, 02:21:49 PM »

abolition of the "excessive" Glass-Steagal regulations wasn't responsible for the current mess because they didn't abolish ALL of the regulations (kind of like arguing that abolishing 1,000 existing border crossing watch posts wouldn't result in increased illegal immigration if twenty existing posts would still be left in place.)


You've got that completely backwards. Your argument is kind of like arguing that when 1000 posts are still there, closing 20 amounts to an uncontrolled border.


This is one of the most infuriating and deliberately deceptive arguments the Republicans can make to excuse themselves.  Hedge funds are by nature, and as is apparent in their very name, RISK-AVERSE; they cover both sides of any bet.  They are for the extremely wealthy investor who values stability over high profit.  You have tried in the past to pretend that "some" hedge funds are high-yield and risky.  That may be true for a very small percentage of them, but most hedge funds DO bet both sides, ARE very risk-averse and DO NOT produce high yields.  To argue the exception, as if the exceptions account for the fact that "the least regulated of our financial institutions" have "posed the least systemic risks" is flagrantly deceptive.


I have not pretended anything. What I said was that I believe problems with hedge funds were part of Bear Sterns' problems. If you have evidence that this is not the case, feel free to present it. To accuse me of something I did not say and call it pretending, now that is flagrantly deceptive. Which is to say, it is a lie. If you cannot even get your facts straight about something as simple as that, there is no reason to believe you have any understanding the economic crisis.

And your explanation of a hedge fund is a good example of your lack of understanding. Some hedge funds are risk averse and cautiously managed. Some hedge funds are aggressively managed with the intent to generate a high rate of return. For to you talk as if all hedge funds are the same, and as if all are low risk, tells me you don't know what you're talking about.



Similarly to blame this on the undercapitalization of some of the brokerage firms rather than deregulation is also misleading, because proper regulation would have prevented credit-granting by insufficiently capitalized lenders.   In any event there is no cap level in the world that will prevent an imprudent lender from going bust - - undercapitalization might have accelerated the collapse of some lending institutions but the primary cause has to be poor or reckless risk evaluation stimulated by greed.  PRECISELY what regulation is designed to prevent.  As well as the prevention of credit-granting by undercapitalized lenders.


That is a steaming pile of you-know-what. Regulations cannot be made that eliminate bad judgment and prevent reckless risk taking. The notion that they can is wholly unrealistic. And you can deny the influence of the government's actions on the economy that lead to this crisis all you like, but that is equally unrealistic. While it's easy to criticize businesses and banks for not acting according to what the economy might be, everyone acts according to what the economy is. Some people make good choices. Some people make bad choices. Some people/businesses take risks. Sometimes those risks pay off. Sometimes they don't. That is what makes them risky. That cannot be removed with regulation. And if it could, that would completely ruin the economy. A certain amount of risk taking is necessary for progress. Which means sometimes bad things happen. Trying to prevent all bad things from happening is unrealistic and foolish, to say the least.
Your reality, sir, is lies and balderdash and I'm delighted to say that I have no grasp of it whatsoever.
--Hieronymus Karl Frederick Baron von Munchausen ("The Adventures of Baron Munchausen" [1988])--

Universe Prince

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Re: From a mighty ACORN an even mightier crisis did grow
« Reply #35 on: October 03, 2008, 02:24:45 PM »
http://www.investopedia.com/terms/h/hedgefund.asp
         It is important to note that hedging is actually the practice of attempting to reduce risk, but the goal of most hedge funds is to maximize return on investment. The name is mostly historical, as the first hedge funds tried to hedge against the downside risk of a bear market by shorting the market (mutual funds generally can't enter into short positions as one of their primary goals). Nowadays, hedge funds use dozens of different strategies, so it isn't accurate to say that hedge funds just "hedge risk". In fact, because hedge fund managers make speculative investments, these funds can carry more risk than the overall market.
Your reality, sir, is lies and balderdash and I'm delighted to say that I have no grasp of it whatsoever.
--Hieronymus Karl Frederick Baron von Munchausen ("The Adventures of Baron Munchausen" [1988])--

Xavier_Onassis

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Re: From a mighty ACORN an even mightier crisis did grow
« Reply #36 on: October 03, 2008, 02:39:50 PM »
Hedge funds are far more risky that mutual funds. You have to have several million dollars before they will even accept you.  They also have huge operating expenses, and their managers pay themselves many times what a mutual fund manager gets.
"Time flies like an arrow; fruit flies like a banana."

sirs

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Re: From a mighty ACORN an even mightier crisis did grow
« Reply #37 on: October 03, 2008, 03:23:14 PM »
Tee says Hedge funds are risk averse.....Xo says practically the opposite, that they're far more risky than even mutual funds.......Prince says it depends on the what the fund is being applied to, and the risk involved with that particular investment. 

I think I'm going with Prince, on this one
« Last Edit: October 03, 2008, 03:38:26 PM by sirs »
"The worst form of inequality is to try to make unequal things equal." -- Aristotle

Michael Tee

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Re: From a mighty ACORN an even mightier crisis did grow
« Reply #38 on: October 03, 2008, 03:36:56 PM »
<<Your argument is kind of like arguing that when 1000 posts are still there, closing 20 amounts to an uncontrolled border.>>

The end of Glass-Steagall removed a lot of regulation from the industry and left comparatively little regulation in place.  Enough regulation was removed that the industry got the economy into the trouble it's in now.  Whether the amounts of regulation cut and regulation left alone corresponds to the 1000 fence posts remaining and 20 cut or vice versa is immaterial.  Significant regulation was cut, and the results speak for themselves.

<<What I said was that I believe problems with hedge funds were part of Bear Sterns' problems. >>

What you said was exactly this:

"Meanwhile, the least regulated firms -- hedge funds and private-equity companies -- have had the fewest problems, or have folded up their mistakes with the least amount of trauma."

<<And your explanation of a hedge fund is a good example of your lack of understanding. Some hedge funds are risk averse and cautiously managed. Some hedge funds are aggressively managed with the intent to generate a high rate of return. For to you talk as if all hedge funds are the same, and as if all are low risk, tells me you don't know what you're talking about.>>

Obviously some hedge funds are riskier than others and the general rule that you can apply to the average hedge fund would not apply to those at the extreme limits of the class.  It's possible that the infectious atmosphere of greed carried some hedge fund managers away, but their losses SHOULD be lower because they do bet both sides of the future.  Also, they can certainly "fold up their mistakes with the least amount of trauma," as you put it, because they ARE for only the wealthiest of investors, who generally can well afford the loss.

<<That [undercapitalization is the real explanation for the disaster, not under-regulation] is a steaming pile of you-know-what. Regulations cannot be made that eliminate bad judgment and prevent reckless risk taking. The notion that they can is wholly unrealistic.>>

Bullshit.  Regulations can deny the opportunity to make certain types of risky investment, or limit it to a certain percentage of fixed assets or a percentage of total invested capital. There is literally no limit to what regulations can do.] 

<<And you can deny the influence of the government's actions on the economy that lead to this crisis all you like, but that is equally unrealistic. While it's easy to criticize businesses and banks for not acting according to what the economy might be, everyone acts according to what the economy is. >>

That is meaningless gobbledeygook.  Pretty much like saying everyone puts on clothes to go outside.

<<Some people make good choices. Some people make bad choices. Some people/businesses take risks. Sometimes those risks pay off. Sometimes they don't. That is what makes them risky. That cannot be removed with regulation. >>

That's a complete crock a shit.  No one is proposing regulation to remove all risk.  The regulation can be very effective in limiting the SCOPE of the risk.

<<And if it could, that would completely ruin the economy. >>

There is no evidence of that whatsoever.

<<A certain amount of risk taking is necessary for progress. Which means sometimes bad things happen. Trying to prevent all bad things from happening is unrealistic and foolish, to say the least.>>

Once again, you try to win through misrepresentation.   The issue is not whether to "prevent all bad things from happening."  The idea behind regulation is to minimize and confine the risk.
« Last Edit: October 03, 2008, 03:42:44 PM by Michael Tee »

Xavier_Onassis

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Re: From a mighty ACORN an even mightier crisis did grow
« Reply #39 on: October 03, 2008, 04:30:57 PM »
The reason hedge funds require people to have millions to buy into them is because they are much riskier.

They make you sign an agreement that you understand that THIS INVESTMENT IS NOT INSURED. IT IS POSSIBLE TO LOSE SOME OR ALL OF YOUR INVESTMENT.
I know of none that are less risky that a S&P 500 index fund. They are LOTS more expensive, and the guy in charge takes a HUGE bite compared to a standard mutual fund. 8% off the top in lieu of .5% for some vanguard funds.

I think a lot of people invest in them for the same reason their wives wear Jimmy Choo Shoes. There are over 8500 mutual funds, of which at least 4000 and no-load funds.

"Time flies like an arrow; fruit flies like a banana."

sirs

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Re: From a mighty ACORN an even mightier crisis did grow
« Reply #40 on: October 03, 2008, 04:44:24 PM »
The reason hedge funds require people to have millions to buy into them is because they are much riskier.

May want to try and explain that to Tee.  He's under the misguided impression they're largely risk averse

"The worst form of inequality is to try to make unequal things equal." -- Aristotle

Xavier_Onassis

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Re: From a mighty ACORN an even mightier crisis did grow
« Reply #41 on: October 03, 2008, 05:07:33 PM »
May want to try and explain that to Tee.  He's under the misguided impression they're largely risk averse


I think I did, assuming he reads this.

I think people invest in these for the same reason businessmen invested in Merril Lynch, which had ghastly high fees for everything. If they had a way to tell when their clients took a dump, I am sure they would have had a fee for it.

The idea is "Bigger is better", and "You pay for what you get".

Plus, it's what they consider trendy. My guess is that there are as many losers in hedge funds as in Vanguard Funds, and more in Merrill Lynch than Schwab or Scottrade.


The hedge fund MANAGERS and the Merrill Lynch brokers, they make a LOT more, becaue their commissions are thru the roof.


"Time flies like an arrow; fruit flies like a banana."

sirs

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Re: From a mighty ACORN an even mightier crisis did grow
« Reply #42 on: October 03, 2008, 05:12:19 PM »
Quote
May want to try and explain that to Tee.  He's under the misguided impression they're largely risk averse

I think I did, assuming he reads this.

We shall see, now

"The worst form of inequality is to try to make unequal things equal." -- Aristotle

Michael Tee

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Re: From a mighty ACORN an even mightier crisis did grow
« Reply #43 on: October 03, 2008, 06:35:55 PM »
I'll defer to XO on what a hedge fund is.  My knowledge on the subject is what I learned from my cousin, who manages hedge funds in Manhattan (now Connecticut) when I asked him quite some time ago, what the hell is a hedge fund.  He gave me pretty much the same explanation I posted here, it was a fund developed for extremely wealthy investors, who were more concerned with safety than with high rates of return.  The principle of hedging, for which the hedge funds were named, is that you cover a position (for example, the purchase of 1,000 X Corp. shares @ $20) by (for example) selling a 3-month option to sell $1,000 X Corp. shares @ $30.  This limits profits but also renders a certain protection to the investor no matter which way the market moves.  That is the principle of the hedge funds.

The reason they are less regulated is that anyone who has enough money to invest in a hedge fund presumably is no babe in the woods and needs protection a lot less than Mr. & Mrs. Joe Sixpack.

<<I know of none that are less risky that a S&P 500 index fund. >>

I just can't comment on that.  I have never seen risk evaluations for either a hedge fund (which I can't afford to invest in) or any index fund.  I don't know how XO evaluated the comparative risks.

<<They are LOTS more expensive, and the guy in charge takes a HUGE bite compared to a standard mutual fund. 8% off the top in lieu of .5% for some vanguard funds.>>

This last observation is compatible with my belief that the funds were developed for the extremely rich, who are not concerned as much with a huge ROI as they are with security and stability.  So they can afford to pay more for the service, thereby reducing net ROI, because they feel they are getting their primary need (security) met.

In principle, I accept that a hedge fund too can be so mismanaged or mistakenly invested so as to lose the whole bundle, but because of the hedging technique followed, it should be harder for a hedge fund to lose money than an S&P Index Fund in the same market.

Xavier_Onassis

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Re: From a mighty ACORN an even mightier crisis did grow
« Reply #44 on: October 03, 2008, 06:51:35 PM »
I think your cousin is right in principle. I am going by what my newsletter and other articles have told me, which is that hedge funds have no real way to evaluate them such as Alpha, beta, r squared, moving averages and such. These things are possible, but not available to the heirs of large fortunes who do not like to be bothered with such trivialites that normally invest in these things.

I practice, some hedge funds have done horribly, losing damn near the whole pile.

I would not invest in a hedge fund if I could. Which I can't.

I MIGHT buy a Porsche, but no hedge funds, thanks.
"Time flies like an arrow; fruit flies like a banana."